Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Betting Pick & Prediction 1/14/25

The Denver Nuggets are currently favored by 4.5 points over the Dallas Mavericks in tonight’s Western Conference matchup. The over/under line is currently set at 232.5 points.

Denver is currently on a three-game winning streak and is 4th in the Western Conference. The Mavericks are 5th in the West and have a record of 22-17.

DENVER NUGGETS VS DALLAS MAVERICKS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Denver Nuggets -4.5

This game will be played at American Airlines Center at 9:30 ET on Tuesday, January 14th.

WHY BET THE DENVER NUGGETS:

• We have this one finishing with a projected score of 129-112 in favor of the Nuggets.
• Our projections have Nikola Jokic finishing with 29 points, 13 rebounds and 9 assists.
• From the field, we have the Nuggets finishing with a field goal percentage of 49.5% and knocking down 12 threes.

Can the Nuggets Pull Off a Win at Dallas?

Denver improved to 23-15 on the season with a 112-101 road win over the Mavericks on Sunday. The Nuggets, who were favored by 5.5 points, covered the spread, while the game’s total of 213 points fell short of the 232.5-point over/under line.

After Dallas went on a 10-0 run early, Denver responded by outscoring the Mavericks 41-29 in the 2nd quarter. The Nuggets entered the 4th quarter trailing 89-79 but dominated the final period, holding Dallas to just 12 points while putting up 33 of their own.

Russell Westbrook led the Nuggets with 21 points, 10 rebounds, and 7 assists in their win over the Mavericks, shooting 58.8% from the field. Nikola Jokic added 19 points and 18 rebounds, while Jamal Murray contributed 17 points, scoring 8 in the 4th quarter.

The Nuggets struggled from three-point range, hitting just 7 threes at 21.9%, but finished with a 48.9% overall shooting percentage. Westbrook scored 8 points in both the 2nd and 4th quarters, and Murray also added 8 in the final period.

Despite a slow start defensively, the Nuggets tightened up in the 4th quarter, giving up just 12 points to secure a 112-101 win over the Mavericks. Denver held Dallas to 41% shooting from the field.

The Nuggets limited the Mavericks to 12 made threes on 35% shooting from deep. Denver also controlled the boards, allowing 8 offensive rebounds while collecting 6 steals and 5 blocks.

Will the Mavericks Come Through as Home Underdogs?

The Mavericks fell to 22-17 on the season after a 112-101 loss to the Nuggets on Sunday. Dallas was +5.5 point underdogs but couldn’t cover the spread. The game’s total of 213 points fell short of the 232.5-point line.

Dallas started strong, going on a 10-0 run to extend their lead from 11-3 to 21-3. However, the Nuggets responded by outscoring the Mavericks 41-29 in the 2nd quarter. Dallas regained control in the 3rd quarter, outscoring Denver 28-21, but the Mavericks’ offense stalled in the 4th, scoring just 12 points while allowing 33.

In their 112-101 loss to the Nuggets, the Mavericks shot just 41.2% from the field, with Klay Thompson leading the way, hitting 6 threes at a 46.2% rate and finishing with 25 points. Overall, the team made 12 threes, shooting 35.3% from beyond the arc.

Spencer Dinwiddie and Naji Marshall each contributed 16 points, with Dinwiddie adding 10 assists despite shooting just 30.8%. Thompson scored 11 points in the 3rd quarter, while Marshall and Dereck Lively both added 6 points in the period.

Defensively, the Mavericks had strong performances in the 1st and 3rd quarters, holding the Nuggets to 17 and 21 points, respectively. However, a 41-point 2nd quarter and a 33-point 4th quarter proved costly in their 112-101 loss. Dallas allowed Denver to shoot 48% from the field.

From beyond the arc, the Mavericks were solid, limiting the Nuggets to just 7 threes on 21% shooting. Denver also went 13/20 from the free-throw line. The Mavericks gave up 15 offensive rebounds while recording 7 steals and 5 blocks.