Texas State Bobcats vs Troy Trojans NCAA Basketball Betting Pick & Prediction 1/9/25

Betting on today’s Bobcats and Trojans game? Catch the action at Trojan Arena in Troy, AL, as the Trojans hosts this showdown at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. The over/under for this Sun Belt conference contest is set at 135.5 points, with Troy being favored by -6.5 at home against Texas State.

TEXAS STATE BOBCATS VS TROY TROJANS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Troy Trojans -6.5

This game will be played at Trojan Arena at 7:00 ET on Thursday, January 9th.

WHY BET THE TROY TROJANS:

• We have this one finishing with a projected score of 78-70 in favor of the Trojans.
• Not only will Troy pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -6.5.
• The over/under is currently sitting at 135.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 148 points.

Is A Road Victory Likely for Underdog Texas State?

Texas State fell to 6-7 on the season after a 72-61 road loss to Appalachian State on Saturday. The Bobcats entered the game as +1.5 point underdogs and failed to cover the spread. The total points for the game were 133, just under the O/U line of 133.5.

Texas State trailed 38-30 at halftime and couldn’t close the gap in the second half, scoring 31 points while allowing 34.

Texas State struggled offensively in their last game, shooting just 37.7% from the field and finishing with an effective field goal percentage of 44.3%. They hit 36.4% of their three-pointers, going 8-for-22 from beyond the arc, and were perfect from the free-throw line, hitting all 7 attempts.

Myles Tate led the way with 22 points, 7 rebounds, and 6 assists, shooting 4-for-6 from three-point range. Alonzo Dodd and Dylan Dawson also shot 66.7% from deep, with Dodd finishing 6-for-9 overall and Dawson hitting 4 threes in the game.

Even with Texas State’s defense, their opponent managed to score 72 points, shooting 52% from the field. They hit 27 of their 51 shots, including 15 of 29 from two-point range, where they shot 51%.

From beyond the arc, Texas State allowed their opponent to shoot 54%, with 12 threes on 22 attempts. They also sent them to the free-throw line 9 times, where they made 6, shooting 66%. Texas State gave up 5 offensive rebounds.

Can Troy Deliver Being Favored at Home?

Troy Trojans Recent Game/Games

Troy improved to 8-4 on the season with a narrow 58-57 win over Marshall on Saturday. The Trojans were -1.5 point favorites going into the game, but they didn’t cover the spread. The game’s total points of 115 fell well short of the O/U line of 144.5.

After trailing 31-19 at halftime, Troy turned things around by outscoring Marshall 39-26 in the second half. The Trojans’ strong defensive effort and offensive adjustments were key to their comeback win.

In their recent outing, Troy’s offense struggled, putting up just 58 points on 37.3% shooting from the field. Their effective field goal percentage was 43.1%, largely due to a poor 22.6% performance from beyond the arc, hitting only 7 of 31 attempts. They were more efficient inside, connecting on 60% of their two-point shots.

The Trojans grabbed 13 offensive rebounds and dished out 10 assists. Tayton Conerway led the way with 20 points, hitting 4 of 9 from three-point range, while Obinna Anochili-Killen added 17 points and 9 rebounds, shooting 66.7% from the field.

Despite Troy giving up 16 offensive rebounds, their defense held firm, allowing just 57 points on 39% shooting. The Trojans limited their opponent’s three-point success, with only 3 made threes on 16 attempts (18%).

From the free-throw line, Troy sent their opponent to the line 17 times, where they converted 10 free throws for 58%.