UAPB Golden Lions vs Alabama State Hornets NCAA Basketball Betting Pick & Prediction 1/6/25

Looking to win big? The Golden Lions and Hornets face off at 7:00 ET on SWAC. The Hornets are hosting the game at Dunn-Oliver Acadome in Montgomery, AL. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 164.5 points, and Alabama State is favored by -16.5 to win at home against UAPB.

UAPB GOLDEN LIONS VS ALABAMA STATE HORNETS BETTING PICK

The Pick: UAPB Golden Lions +16.5

This game will be played at Dunn-Oliver Acadome at 7:00 ET on Monday, January 6th.

WHY BET THE UAPB GOLDEN LIONS:

• We have this one finishing with a projected score of 77-71 in favor of the Hornets.
• Even though we have Alabama State winning straight-up, we like UAPB at +16.5.
• The over/under is currently sitting at 164.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 148 points.

Can the Golden Lions Lock in a Win at Montgomery?

UAPB’s season continued to be a struggle after their 89-79 loss to Alabama A&M on Saturday, dropping them to 1-11. The Golden Lions were +9.5 point underdogs going into the game and failed to cover the spread.

UAPB trailed 41-34 at halftime and couldn’t close the gap in the second half, despite scoring 45 points. They allowed 48 points in the second half, and the game’s total points of 168 went over the pre-game O/U line of 162.5.

Doctor Bradley led the way for UAPB with 30 points and 8 rebounds, shooting 61.1% from the field in their last game. Chad Moodie was also efficient, going 8-for-10 from the field and adding 19 points and 9 rebounds. Bilal Abdur-Rahman was perfect from the field, hitting all 3 of his shots, including 2 threes, for 18 points in just 15 minutes.

As a team, UAPB shot 44.8% from the field and 35.3% from three, with an effective field goal percentage of 50%. They struggled at the free-throw line, hitting just 58.3% of their attempts. The Golden Lions grabbed 17 offensive rebounds and finished with 10 assists in the game.

Despite UAPB’s efforts, their defense couldn’t contain the opposition, allowing 89 points on 49% shooting. The Golden Lions struggled to defend inside, giving up 62% shooting on two-point attempts (23/37).

From beyond the arc, UAPB held the other team to 27% shooting (6/22). However, they sent them to the line 38 times, where they converted 25 free throws (65%). UAPB also allowed 15 offensive rebounds.

Will Alabama State Live Up to Expectations at Home?

Alabama State improved to 4-9 on the season with a dominant 84-55 win over Mississippi Valley State on Saturday. Playing at home, the Hornets were -22 favorites and covered the spread. The total points for the game hit 139, just over the 138.5 O/U line.

Leading 39-29 at halftime, Alabama State clamped down defensively in the second half, allowing just 26 points while scoring 45 of their own to seal the win.

Alabama State put up 84 points in their last game, shooting 50% from the field and 44.4% from beyond the arc. Their effective field goal percentage was 57.1%, and they hit 76.9% of their free throws, going 20-for-26 from the line.

Alvin Stredic led the way with 21 points and 9 rebounds, while Micah Octave and CJ Hines each added 14 points. Hines also dished out 6 assists. The Hornets grabbed 12 offensive rebounds and finished with 14 assists as a team.

Despite Alabama State’s defense allowing 55 points, they couldn’t capitalize offensively, giving up 28 made field goals on 50% shooting. The Hornets allowed 20 two-point baskets on 38 attempts, a 52% success rate for their opponent.

From beyond the arc, Alabama State’s defense allowed 8 threes on 18 attempts, with their opponent shooting 44%. They also sent the other team to the free-throw line 26 times, where they converted 20 free throws at a 76% clip. Alabama State gave up 12 offensive rebounds.