UT Arlington Mavericks vs Tarleton State Texans NCAA Basketball Betting Pick & Prediction 1/4/25
This article was published on Jan 4, 2025. Today’s picks College Basketball picks

Betting on today’s Mavericks and Texans game? Catch the action at Wisdom Gym in Stephenville, TX, as the Texans hosts this showdown at 8:00 ET on ESPN+. UT Arlington come into this Western Athletic conference matchup as the -5.5 favorite. The over/under line currently sits at 138.5 points.
UT ARLINGTON MAVERICKS VS TARLETON STATE TEXANS BETTING PICK
The Pick: UT Arlington Mavericks -5.5
This game will be played at Wisdom Gym at 8:00 ET on Saturday, January 4th.
WHY BET THE UT ARLINGTON MAVERICKS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 81-70 in favor of the Mavericks.
- Not only will UT Arlington pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -5.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 138.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 151 points.
Taking a Look at the Mavericks Chances in Stephenville
UT Arlington Mavericks Recent Game/Games
UT Arlington improved to 5-7 on the season with an 80-72 road win over Texas State on Sunday, December 29th. The Mavericks, who entered the game as +6.5 underdogs, not only pulled off the upset but also covered the spread.
After trailing 39-32 at halftime, UT Arlington turned things around by scoring 48 points in the 2nd half while holding Texas State to 33. The game’s total points of 152 exceeded the O/U line of 147.5.
UT Arlington’s offense put up 80 points in their last game, shooting 51% from the field with an effective field goal percentage of 54.9%. They hit just 3 of 10 from beyond the arc, but made 23 of 41 two-point attempts, shooting 56.1% inside the arc. At the free-throw line, they connected on 25 of 32 attempts, good for 78.1%.
Diante Smith led the way with 24 points, hitting 9 of 11 shots, including 2 of 3 from deep. Tyrel Morgan added 22 points and 8 rebounds, while Lance Ware contributed 19 points and 12 boards, shooting 8 of 10 from the field.
Even with UT Arlington holding them to 38% shooting, the Mavericks still gave up 72 points. They allowed 16 two-point field goals on 35 attempts, a 45% shooting rate.
From beyond the arc, UT Arlington’s defense limited their opponent to just 4 made threes on 17 attempts, a 23% success rate. However, they sent the other team to the free-throw line 35 times, where they converted 28 free throws at an 80% clip.
Are Tarleton State Ready for a Home Win?
Tarleton State Texans Recent Game/Games
Tarleton State improved to 2-10 on the season with a 70-60 win over Florida A&M on Sunday, December 29th. Playing at home, the Texans were favored by 9 points and covered the spread. The total points for the game were 130, just under the O/U line of 133.5.
Tarleton State took control early, leading 39-26 at halftime. In the 2nd half, they scored 31 points while allowing 34, but held on for the win.
Tarleton State put up 70 points in their last game, shooting 41.7% from the field and 44.4% from beyond the arc, hitting 4 of 9 three-point attempts. Their effective field goal percentage was 45%, and they made 16 of 24 free throws, good for 66.7%.
Keitenn Bristow led the way with 23 points, shooting 9 of 14 overall and hitting both of his three-point attempts. Bubu Benjamin added 17 points and 11 rebounds, while Sterling Young contributed 16 points, connecting on 2 of 4 from deep.
Tarleton State’s defense held their opponent to 60 points, with a field goal percentage of 41% on 25 made shots from 60 attempts. They limited two-point shooting to 41%, with the opposing team hitting 21 of 51 shots.
From beyond the arc, the opponent shot 44%, making 4 of 9 three-point attempts. Tarleton State sent them to the line 24 times, where they converted 16 free throws for a 66% rate. Tarleton also gave up 12 offensive rebounds.
