San Diego State Aztecs vs Fresno State Bulldogs NCAA Basketball Betting Pick & Prediction 12/4/24

The Aztecs and Bulldogs are set to face off at 10:30 ET on FS1. The Bulldogs will host the game at Save Mart Center in Fresno, CA. San Diego State is favored by -14 in this Mountain West conference matchup the against Fresno State. The over/under for the game is set at 141 points.

SAN DIEGO STATE AZTECS VS FRESNO STATE BULLDOGS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Fresno State Bulldogs +14

This game will be played at Save Mart Center at 10:30 ET on Wednesday, December 4th.

WHY BET THE FRESNO STATE BULLDOGS:

• We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-70 in favor of the Bulldogs.
• Not only will Fresno State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +14.
• The over/under is currently sitting at 141 points, and we like the over with a projected 146 points.

Is a Road Win Possible for the Aztecs?

San Diego State improved to 3-2 on the season with a 73-70 road win over Houston on Saturday. The Aztecs entered the game as +13.5 underdogs but not only covered the spread, they pulled off the upset.

After trailing 30-25 at halftime, San Diego State turned things around by scoring 40 points in the second half while allowing 35. The game’s total points of 143 went over the pre-game O/U line of 127.

San Diego State put up 73 points in their last game, shooting 40.4% from the field with an effective field goal percentage of 49.1%. They hit 36% of their threes, going 9-for-25, and were 14-for-32 (43.8%) on two-point attempts. At the free-throw line, the Aztecs connected on 18 of 27 attempts, good for 66.7%.

Jared Coleman-Jones was efficient, shooting 66.7% from the field and hitting 3 of 4 threes. Emanuel Sharp led the team with 23 points, hitting 4 of 8 from deep, while L.J. Cryer added 21 points, making 5 threes on 13 attempts. The Aztecs grabbed 14 offensive rebounds and dished out 13 assists in the win.

San Diego State’s defense gave up 70 points in their last game, with opponents shooting 37% from the field (23/62). They held the other team to 31% shooting on two-pointers (12/38).

From beyond the arc, the Aztecs allowed 11 threes on 24 attempts (45%). The opposing team also shot 76% from the free-throw line, making 13 of 17. San Diego State gave up 17 offensive rebounds.

Will the Bulldogs Come Through as Home Underdogs?

Fresno State dropped to 3-4 on the season after an 86-81 home loss to California Baptist on Thursday. The Bulldogs entered the game as +6.5 point underdogs but managed to cover the spread. The total points for the game reached 167, surpassing the over/under line of 152.5.

Fresno State found themselves trailing 37-27 at halftime but responded by scoring 38 points in the second half while holding the Lancers to 28. Despite the strong second-half performance, the Bulldogs couldn’t complete the comeback.

Fresno State put up 81 points in their last game, shooting 42.3% from the field. Their effective field goal percentage was 44.9%, with a tough night from beyond the arc, hitting just 4 of 21 threes (19%). Inside the arc, they connected on 50.9% of their two-point attempts.

Dominique Daniels Jr. led the way with 29 points, despite shooting 32.3% overall and 23.1% from three. Amar Augillard added 26 points, and Javonte Johnson chipped in 20, hitting 5 of 8 threes (62.5%). Elijah Price and Kendal Coleman each grabbed 15 rebounds, with Price also contributing 16 points.

Even though Fresno State held their opponent to just 19% from beyond the arc, they still gave up 86 points. The Bulldogs allowed 33 field goals on 78 attempts, including 29 two-pointers at a 50% clip.

Fresno State sent their opponent to the free-throw line 17 times, where they converted 11 attempts for 64%. The Bulldogs also gave up 14 offensive rebounds in the game.