Toronto Maple Leafs vs Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Pick & Prediction 11/30/24

Making on a bet on this NHL game featuring the Maple Leafs versus the Lightning? The puck drops at 7:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on ESPN+. The game will be played at Amalie Arena in Tampa, FL. The Maple Leafs come into this Atlantic division matchup as the -1.5 goal favorite to pick up the win. Currently, the over/under for the game is at 6.5 goals.

TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS VS TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING BETTING PICK

The Pick: Tampa Bay Lightning +1.5

This game will be played at Amalie Arena at 7:00 ET on Saturday, November 30th.

WHY BET THE TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING:

• In spite of being 1.5 goal underdogs, we anticipate the Lightning winning this one 4-3.
• We like the Lightning on the moneyline (+101)
• The Lightning are also our pick on the spread at +1.5

Do the Maple Leafs Have What it Takes on the Road?

Toronto fell to 13-7-2 after a 2-1 overtime loss to the Wild. The Maple Leafs trailed early, with Minnesota scoring at 9:41 in the first period, but William Nylander tied it up at 19:08 in the first with a power-play goal. The Wild sealed the win with a goal at 2:14 in overtime.

The total for the game was set at 6 goals, but the teams combined for just 3. Toronto, as the underdog on the puck line, didn’t cover. They’ve now allowed the first goal in 11 of their 22 games this season.

Toronto’s offense managed just one goal in their 2-1 overtime loss to the Wild. William Nylander netted his 9th goal of the season on a power play, with Auston Matthews picking up his 6th assist and Mitchell Marner adding his 12th assist.

The Maple Leafs took 28 shots on goal but were held scoreless after Nylander’s goal at the 19:08 mark of the first period. They struggled with possession, recording 10 giveaways in the game.

Toronto’s defense gave up the first goal at 9:41 in the opening period and the game-winner 2:14 into overtime, but they held strong in between, not allowing another goal. Anthony Stolarz recorded 31 saves with a 93.9% save percentage, while the Maple Leafs’ defense added 30 hits and 2 takeaways.

Will the Lightning Secure A Victory as Home Underdogs?

Tampa Bay’s record fell to 12-8-2 after a 7-4 loss to the Jets. The Lightning were the underdogs on the puck line, and the total of 11 goals easily surpassed the pre-game line of 6.5.

The Lightning held a 2-0 lead early in the game, but the Jets responded with seven of the next nine goals. Four different players scored for Tampa Bay in the loss.

In their 7-4 loss to the Jets, the Lightning scored twice in the first period, with Brandon Hagel netting his 7th goal of the season and Brayden Point following with his 8th on a power play. Mitchell Chaffee added his 4th goal in the second period, and Nikita Kucherov, who now has 10 goals this season, scored in the third.

Tampa Bay took 30 shots on goal and recorded 8 giveaways. The Lightning had 4 assists, with Jake Guentzel picking up his 8th of the season and Nick Paul adding his 7th.

Defensively, the Lightning struggled late, giving up three goals in the 3rd period, including two empty-netters. They also allowed two earlier goals in the 2nd, after leading 2-1 in the 1st. Jonas Johansson made 27 saves with an 84.4% save percentage.