Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat Betting Pick & Prediction 11/29/24

At 8:00 ET, the Miami Heat (-319) will host the Toronto Raptors (+259) in an Eastern Conference matchup. The Heat are currently 6th in the East, while the Raptors are 13th. The over/under line for this game is 219.5.

This game will be played at the Kaseya Center in Miami, and can be seen on SN.

TORONTO RAPTORS VS MIAMI HEAT BETTING PICK

The Pick: Miami Heat -7.5

This game will be played at Kaseya Center at 8:00 ET on Friday, November 29th.

WHY BET THE MIAMI HEAT:

• We have this one finishing with a projected score of 147-106 in favor of the Heat.
• Our projections have Tyler Herro finishing with 21 points, 5 rebounds and 5 assists.
• From the field, we have the Heat finishing with a field goal percentage of 45.7% and knocking down 17 threes.

Will the Raptors Exceed Expectations on the Road?

Toronto improved to 5-14 on the season with a 119-93 road win over the Pelicans on Wednesday. The Raptors, who entered the game as +1 point underdogs, not only secured the win but also covered the spread. The total points for the game were 212, falling short of the 222-point O/U line.

A 14-0 run by Toronto turned a close 40-37 game into a 54-37 lead. They outscored New Orleans 35-26 in the 2nd quarter and 31-17 in the 3rd, heading into the 4th with an 87-63 lead. The Raptors closed out the game by edging the Pelicans 32-30 in the final quarter.

The Raptors’ offense was firing on all cylinders in their 119-93 win over the Pelicans, shooting 49.5% from the field and hitting 21 threes at a 40.4% clip. Ochai Agbaji and Jamison Battle each knocked down 6 threes, with Agbaji shooting 85.7% from deep and Battle hitting 75% of his attempts.

Agbaji and Battle both finished with 24 points, while RJ Barrett added 22 points and 11 assists. Barrett scored 13 of his points in the 3rd quarter, while Agbaji had 11 in the 2nd and Battle added 10 in the 4th.

The Raptors put on a defensive clinic on Wednesday, holding the Pelicans to just 93 points on 38% shooting. Toronto’s defense was particularly strong in the 3rd quarter, where they allowed only 17 points. Even with a 30-point 4th quarter from New Orleans, the Raptors’ defense was solid enough to secure the win.

From beyond the arc, the Raptors limited the Pelicans to 11 made threes on 31% shooting. Toronto also sent New Orleans to the line just 16 times, where they hit 10 free throws. The Raptors finished with 11 steals and 4 blocks in the game.

Can the Heat Offense Score Enough at Home?

With a 98-94 win over the Hornets on Wednesday, the Heat evened their season record to 8-8. Miami was favored by 4.5 points but didn’t cover the spread, and the game’s total of 192 points fell well short of the 218.5-point line.

Miami took control in the 2nd quarter, outscoring Charlotte 24-13, and extended their lead to 75-58 after the 3rd. However, the Hornets made a late push, outscoring the Heat 36-23 in the 4th, but Miami held on for the win.

Tyler Herro’s 27 points and 8 rebounds led the Heat to a 98-94 win over the Hornets, with Herro adding 12 points in the 4th quarter. He hit 4 threes, shooting 33.3% from deep.

Duncan Robinson contributed 22 points, making 6 threes at 66.7% efficiency, and scored 13 points in the 1st quarter. The Heat hit 14 threes as a team, shooting 37.8% from beyond the arc.

Defensively, the Heat were outstanding in the 2nd and 3rd quarters, where they allowed just 13 and 19 points, respectively, helping them secure a 98-94 win over the Hornets. Despite giving up 36 points in the 4th quarter, Miami held Charlotte to just 94 points on 37% shooting from the field.

From beyond the arc, the Heat allowed 17 three-pointers on 33% shooting. They sent the Hornets to the free-throw line only 8 times, where Charlotte made 3. Miami also recorded 6 steals and 5 blocks in the game.