Oregon Ducks vs San Diego State Aztecs NCAA Basketball Betting Pick & Prediction 11/27/24

Planning on watching today’s Ducks and Aztecs game? Catch the action at MGM Grand Garden Arena in Las Vegas, NV, as the Aztecs hosts this showdown at 4:00 ET on MAX. Oregon is favored by -2.5 in this non-conference contest against San Diego State. The game’s over/under currently sits at 138 points.

OREGON DUCKS VS SAN DIEGO STATE AZTECS BETTING PICK

The Pick: San Diego State Aztecs +2.5

This game will be played at MGM Grand Garden Arena at 4:00 ET on Wednesday, November 27th.

WHY BET THE SAN DIEGO STATE AZTECS:

• We have this one finishing with a projected score of 77-69 in favor of the Aztecs.
• Not only will San Diego State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +2.5.
• The over/under is currently sitting at 138 points, and we like the over with a projected 146 points.

Can Oregon Deliver Being Favored on the Road?

The Ducks picked up a solid 80-70 road win over the Aggies on Tuesday. Entering the game as +4 underdogs, Oregon not only pulled off the upset but also covered the spread. The total points for the game hit 150, just over the O/U line of 147.

Oregon’s offense came alive in the 2nd half, scoring 51 points while holding Texas A&M to 38. After trailing 32-29 at halftime, the Ducks’ strong 2nd half performance was key to their victory.

Oregon’s offense put up 80 points in their last game, shooting 45.5% from the field. Their effective field goal percentage was 50.9%, driven by 60% shooting on two-pointers (18/30), while they struggled from beyond the arc, hitting just 28% (7/25). At the free-throw line, they connected on 23 of 31 attempts, good for 74.2%.

Zhuric Phelps led the way with 20 points, shooting 4/9 from three-point range. Brandon Angel and Jackson Shelstad each added 16 points, with Angel hitting 2/3 from deep and shooting 83.3% overall. The Ducks also got 18 points from TJ Bamba, despite his 0/3 performance from three-point land.

Oregon’s defense held strong, giving up 70 points while limiting their opponent to just 32% shooting from the field. The Ducks were particularly effective inside, where they allowed only 11 made two-point shots on 33 attempts, a 33% success rate.

From beyond the arc, Oregon’s defense gave up 11 threes on 35 attempts, with their opponent shooting 31%. The Ducks also sent them to the line 20 times, where they hit 15 free throws for a 75% rate. Oregon allowed 21 offensive rebounds in the game.

Does San Diego State Have What it Takes to Win as Home Underdogs?

San Diego State continued their strong start to the season with a 71-53 road win over Creighton on Tuesday. The Aztecs entered the game as +4.5 point underdogs but not only pulled off the upset, they covered the spread as well.

After leading 32-28 at halftime, San Diego State locked down defensively in the 2nd half, holding Creighton to just 25 points while scoring 39 of their own. The total points for the game ended at 124, well under the pre-game O/U line of 138.5.

San Diego State put up 71 points in their last game, shooting 48.4% from the field with an effective field goal percentage of 54.8%. They hit 47.1% from beyond the arc, connecting on 8 of 17 attempts, while struggling at the free-throw line, making just 3 of 7 attempts (42.9%).

BJ Davis and Pop Isaacs each scored 18 points, with Davis shooting 63.6% from the field and 60% from three-point range. Isaacs added 5 assists, despite shooting just 35% overall and 20% from deep. Miles Byrd contributed 16 points, hitting 60% of his shots and 50% from three.

San Diego State’s defense was dominant, holding their opponent to just 53 points on 33% shooting from the field. They were particularly effective at defending the three-point line, where their opponent shot just 19% (6/31).

Even when sent to the free-throw line, the opponent couldn’t capitalize, hitting only 5 of 13 attempts (38%). San Diego State did give up 14 offensive rebounds, but their strong defensive effort helped mitigate the damage.