Los Angeles Rams vs New Orleans Saints Betting Pick & Prediction 12/1/24

FOX will broadcast this week 13 NFC matchup between the Rams and Saints, taking place at the Caesars Superdome in New Orleans. The game will kick off at 4:05 ET, with the Rams favored on the road with a point spread of -3. The Rams’ money line odds are -153, while the Saints’ money line odds are +129. The over/under line is set at 48.5 points.

LOS ANGELES RAMS VS NEW ORLEANS SAINTS BETTING PICK

The Pick: New Orleans Saints +3

This game will be played at Caesars Superdome at 4:05 ET on Sunday, December 1st.

WHY BET THE NEW ORLEANS SAINTS:

• We have the Rams winning this one by a score of 24 to 23
• Even though we like the Rams to win, our ATS pick is to take the Saints at +3
• We see this game finishing below the line of 48.5 points

Will The Rams Pick Up A Win On The Road?

After a week 11 win over the Patriots, the Rams couldn’t keep the momentum going in week 12, losing 37-20 at home to the Eagles. This dropped them to 5-6 on the season, putting them 3rd in the NFC West. Los Angeles has a 2-1 record in division games, but they are 3-5 against conference opponents.

Heading into week 13, the Rams have a 14.2% chance of making the playoffs and a 12.6% chance of winning the NFC West. They are 17th in our NFL power rankings. So far, LA has an average scoring margin of -3.9 points per game and is 4-7 against the spread. Their O/U record is 6-5, with the over hitting in their last two games.

Matthew Stafford has posted passer ratings of 104 in week 12, 142 in week 11, and 77 in week 10. Against the Eagles in week 12, he threw for 243 yards and 2 touchdowns, completing 24 of 36 passes. In week 11, he had 295 yards and 4 touchdowns, with no interceptions. Stafford was sacked 5 times in week 12 after not being sacked in week 11.

Puka Nacua led the Rams with 9 catches for 117 yards in week 12. Kyren Williams had 72 rushing yards on 16 carries, scoring a touchdown. The Rams struggled on third down, failing to convert any of their 8 attempts, but they scored on 2 of their 4 red zone trips.

The Rams’ defense gave up 314 rushing yards to the Eagles in their 37-20 loss, with Philadelphia finishing with 481 total yards. Despite their struggles against the run, the Rams defended the pass well, allowing just 167 yards through the air. The Eagles averaged 7 yards per rushing attempt, exploiting the Rams on the ground.

Los Angeles’ defense managed only one sack in the game and allowed the Eagles to convert on 60% of their third down attempts. The Rams also struggled in generating pressure, losing the quarterback hit differential by -9.

Will The Saints Win At Home Over The Rams?

After snapping a six-game losing streak, the Saints have now won two in a row, including a 35-14 victory over the Browns in week 11. They were 1-point underdogs at home but covered the spread with ease. The O/U line was 44 points, and the teams combined for 49. In week 10, New Orleans edged the Falcons 20-17, ending their losing streak.

New Orleans is 4-7 and ranks 20th in our power rankings. They have a +0.2 scoring margin and are 5-6 against the spread. Their O/U record is 7-4, with their games averaging 47.5 points (43.5 O/U line). The Saints have a 3.7% chance of making the playoffs and a 2.0% chance of winning the NFC South.

Heading into week 13, the Saints’ offense ranks 16th in our power rankings. They are 11th in the NFL in points per game (23.8) and yards per game (347.4). New Orleans ranks 17th in passing yards per game (216.6) and 18th in passing attempts per game (31.2). On the ground, they are 9th in rushing yards per game (130.7) on 28.4 attempts per game.

Derek Carr has been playing well, posting a passer rating of 129 in week 11, with 248 yards and 2 touchdowns on 21/27 passing. Marquez Valdes-Scantling had 87 yards on 2 catches, while Taysom Hill rushed for 138 yards and 3 touchdowns on 7 carries. The Saints scored 21 points in the 4th quarter against the Browns.

Despite giving up 377 passing yards to the Browns, the Saints’ defense held them to just a 23.1% conversion rate on third down in their 35-14 win. The Saints allowed 443 total yards but limited Cleveland to 66 rushing yards on 20 attempts. New Orleans also recorded three sacks and won the quarterback hit differential.