Los Angeles Chargers vs Atlanta Falcons Betting Pick & Prediction 12/1/24

The Chargers are favored on the road in their week 13 non-conference matchup against the Falcons. The game, which kicks off at 1:00 ET, is being played at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta. The Chargers’ money line odds are -122, while the Falcons are at +101. The over/under line is set at 47 points, and the game is being televised on CBS.

LOS ANGELES CHARGERS VS ATLANTA FALCONS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Los Angeles Chargers -1.5

This game will be played at Mercedes-Benz Stadium at 1:00 ET on Sunday, December 1st.

WHY BET THE LOS ANGELES CHARGERS:

• We have the Chargers winning this one by a score of 21 to 18
• Not only do we have the Chargers winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -1.5
• We see this game finishing below the line of 47 points

Will The Chargers Pick Up A Win On The Road?

After three straight wins, the Chargers couldn’t keep it going in week 12, falling 30-23 at home to the Ravens. This dropped them to 7-4 on the season, putting them 2nd in the AFC West. They currently have a 91.4% chance of making the playoffs, according to our projections. Heading into week 13, they rank 11th in our NFL power rankings.

Against the spread, the Chargers are 7-3-1, with a +6.2 scoring margin. They are 7-1 as favorites but 0-2-1 as underdogs. Their O/U record is 4-7, with the over hitting in three straight games.

Heading into week 13, the Chargers are 11th in our offensive power rankings. They are averaging 22.1 points per game, which ranks 17th in the NFL, and they sit 21st in yards per game with 322.6. Los Angeles ranks 16th in both 3rd-down conversions (38.5%) and red zone attempts, but they have been efficient in the red zone, converting 42.9% of their trips, which ranks 6th in the league.

Justin Herbert threw for 218 yards in week 12, completing 21 of 36 passes without a touchdown or interception. He was sacked 4 times in the loss to the Ravens. Ladd McConkey led the team with 6 catches for 83 yards, and J.K. Dobbins had 40 rushing yards on 6 carries.

In their 30-23 loss to the Ravens, the Chargers’ defense gave up 212 rushing yards on 37 attempts, including a long of 67 yards. The Ravens’ ground game was a big factor in the game, averaging 5.7 yards per attempt. Despite allowing 212 rushing yards, the Chargers’ defense did hold the Ravens to 177 passing yards on just 16 completions.

The Chargers allowed two passing touchdowns and struggled to get off the field, as the Ravens converted on 53.3% of their third down attempts. Los Angeles also only managed one sack and had a tough time in the run game, with the Ravens controlling the clock for 37:59 compared to the Chargers’ 22:01 time of possession.

Will The Falcons Win At Home Over The Chargers?

Despite a two-game losing streak, the Falcons remain atop the NFC South with a 6-5 record, including a 4-1 mark in division play. Our projections give them a 66% chance of winning the division and a 69.9% chance of making the playoffs. Atlanta ranks 19th in our NFL power rankings heading into week 13.

Against the spread, the Falcons are 5-6 this season and have failed to cover in two straight games. Their O/U record stands at 4-7, with the under hitting in each of their last three games.

Heading into week 13, the Falcons are 16th in the NFL in scoring, with 22.2 points per game. They rank 8th in total yards, averaging 361.5 per game, and 5th in passing yards, with 243.6 per game on 33.3 attempts (14th). On the ground, they are 20th in rushing attempts and 14th in rushing yards, averaging 117.9 per game. Atlanta ranks 20th in 3rd-down conversions, with a 37.4% success rate, but they are 9th in red zone conversion percentage.

In week 11, Kirk Cousins threw for 173 yards, completing 18 of 27 passes with one interception. Bijan Robinson had 35 rushing yards on 12 carries, and Drake London led the team with 61 receiving yards on 3 catches. The Falcons struggled in the 2nd half, failing to score after putting up 6 points in the 1st half.

In their 38-6 loss to the Broncos, the Falcons’ defense struggled to get off the field, as Denver converted 54.5% of their third down attempts. Atlanta’s defense allowed four passing touchdowns and gave up 295 yards through the air on 84.8% passing. They managed just one sack and allowed the Broncos’ quarterbacks to hit on 84.8% of their passes.

The Falcons’ defense also struggled to stop the big plays, as the Broncos averaged 8.9 yards per passing attempt. In the running game, the Falcons gave up 105 yards on 26 attempts (4.0 per attempt).