Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat Betting Pick & Prediction 11/26/24

At 7:30 ET, the Miami Heat (-136) will host the Milwaukee Bucks (+114) in an Eastern Conference matchup. The Heat are favored by 2.5 points and have won two straight games. The Bucks (+2.5) have won four in a row and are 6th in the East.

This game will be played at the Kaseya Center in Miami and can be seen on TNT. The over/under line is currently 225 points.

MILWAUKEE BUCKS VS MIAMI HEAT BETTING PICK

The Pick: Miami Heat -2.5

This game will be played at Kaseya Center at 7:30 ET on Tuesday, November 26th.

WHY BET THE MIAMI HEAT:

• We have this one finishing with a projected score of 148-125 in favor of the Heat.
• Our projections have Tyler Herro finishing with 21 points, 5 rebounds and 5 assists.
• From the field, we have the Heat finishing with a field goal percentage of 45.3% and knocking down 17 threes.

Does Milwaukee Have What it Takes on the Road?

With a 125-119 win over the Hornets on Saturday, the Bucks improved to 8-9 for the season. Milwaukee, who were favored by 7.5 points at home, didn’t cover the spread. The total points for the game reached 244, surpassing the O/U line of 224.

After a 28-28 tie in the 1st quarter, the Bucks took control by outscoring Charlotte 31-23 in the 2nd and 37-34 in the 3rd. Heading into the 4th with a 96-85 lead, Milwaukee allowed the Hornets to go on a 10-0 run, narrowing the gap to 126-103.

Giannis Antetokounmpo and Damian Lillard combined for 63 points in the Bucks’ win over the Hornets, with Giannis contributing 32 points and 11 rebounds, while Lillard added 31 points. Gary Trent Jr. chipped in 16 points, hitting 4 threes at an 80% clip.

Milwaukee connected on 18 threes, shooting 48.6% from beyond the arc and 48.3% overall. Giannis scored 11 points in the 1st quarter, and another 10 in the 3rd, while Lillard added 11 in the 2nd period.

Defensively, the Bucks were strong in the 2nd quarter, holding the Hornets to 23 points, but they struggled in the 3rd and 4th, giving up 34 points in each. Despite this, Milwaukee managed to win, thanks in part to limiting Charlotte to 41% shooting overall.

The Bucks had trouble defending the three-point line, where the Hornets hit 19 threes at a 40% clip. Milwaukee also sent Charlotte to the line 21 times, where they made 18 free throws. The Bucks finished with 41 defensive rebounds, allowing 14 offensive boards, and recorded 9 blocks.

Are Miami Ready for a Home Win?

Miami improved to 7-7 on the season with a 123-118 win over the Mavericks on Sunday. The Heat were favored by 2.5 points and covered the spread, while the game’s total of 241 points went well over the 220.5-point line.

A 14-0 run early in the game helped Miami take control, turning a 28-27 deficit into a 41-28 lead. The Heat held a 5-point lead heading into the 4th quarter, but the Mavericks outscored them 30-25 in the final period.

Jimmy Butler’s 33 points and 9 rebounds powered the Heat’s 123-118 win over the Mavericks, as he shot 64.7% from the field. Bam Adebayo added 19 points, knocking down 3 threes at a 50% rate, while Tyler Herro contributed 18 points despite shooting just 32%.

Miami hit 14 threes, shooting 34.1% from deep and 43% overall. Alec Burks scored 9 of his 15 points in the 4th quarter, and Pelle Larsson added 9 of his 14 in the 3rd.

Defensively, the Heat were solid in the 2nd quarter, giving up just 23 points, but they allowed 33 in the 3rd and 30 in the 4th. Overall, Miami gave up 118 points but still managed to secure the win.

Miami did a great job defending the three, holding the Mavericks to just 10 made threes on 25% shooting. The Heat also recorded 6 steals and 6 blocks in the game.