NC State Wolfpack vs North Carolina Tar Heels Betting Pick & Prediction 11/30/24

At 3:30 ET, the North Carolina Tar Heels will host the NC State Wolfpack at Kenan Memorial Stadium in Chapel Hill. The game will be broadcast on ACCN as the Tar Heels look to add another win to their 6-5 record. The Wolfpack come in with a 5-6 record and are the slight +3.5-point underdogs on the road. The money line odds are -167 for North Carolina and +140 for NC State, with the over/under line set at 55.5 points.

NC STATE WOLFPACK VS NORTH CAROLINA TAR HEELS BETTING PICK

The Pick: North Carolina Tar Heels -3.5

This game will be played at Kenan Memorial Stadium at 3:30 ET on Saturday, November 30th.

WHY BET THE NORTH CAROLINA TAR HEELS:

• We have the North Carolina Tar Heels winning this one by a score of 31 to 26
• Not only do we have the North Carolina Tar Heels winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -3.5
• Look for this game to go over the line of 55.5 points

Will The NC State Wolfpack Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs

NC State enters Week 14 with a 5-6 record, facing North Carolina on the road. They have a 1-2 record away from home and are ranked 69th in our power rankings. The Wolfpack have a 34.4% chance of becoming bowl-eligible, but their chances of winning the Atlantic Coast are at 0.0%.

NC State has been favored in five of their 11 games this season, going 3-2 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is -1.9 points per game, and they have a 3-7 record against the spread. On the road, they are 2-1 ATS, but at home, they’ve struggled with a 1-6 mark.

The Wolfpack’s over/under record is 7-3, with their games averaging 59.2 points. This week’s line is set at 55.5 points, higher than nine of their games this season. Their average over/under line has been 49.6 points, and they’ve exceeded it by an average of 9.6 points per game.

NC State’s offense ranks 99th in our CFB offensive power rankings heading into week 14. They are also 51st in points per game, scoring 28.6. CJ Bailey has thrown for 1,940 yards, leading the Wolfpack’s passing game, and NC State is 37th in passing completions per game. Bailey has 12 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, with a passer rating of 89.

NC State is 31st in completion percentage, completing 64.3% of their passes. They are converting just 38.1% of their third downs. On the ground, they are averaging 134.8 rushing yards per game. Jordan Waters leads the team with 410 rushing yards and four touchdowns. KC Concepcion has 415 receiving yards and five touchdowns.

NC State’s defense will look to bounce back after allowing 30 points in their recent 30-29 loss to Georgia Tech. They gave up 391 total yards, including 272 passing yards, but managed to hold Georgia Tech to 119 rushing yards on 36 attempts and forced one interception.

On the season, NC State is allowing 30.5 points per game. Opponents are averaging 238 passing yards per game, ranking NC State 120th nationally, while the defense is giving up 141.5 rushing yards per game on 31.3 attempts, which is the 25th fewest rushing attempts faced in the country.

Are The North Carolina Tar Heels Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?

North Carolina enters Week 14 with a 6-5 record and a 57th-place spot in our power rankings. They are already bowl-eligible but have no chance of winning the Atlantic Coast. The Tar Heels have gone 2-3 at home this season and have been favored in seven of their 11 games.

Against the spread, North Carolina is 2-7-1, with an average scoring margin of +5 points per game. They are 0-5 ATS at home and have gone 1-5-1 as the favorite.

Their over/under record is 4-6, with an average line of 55.2 points. North Carolina games have averaged 60.1 points, and this week’s line is set at 55.5 points.

Heading into week 14, North Carolina’s offense ranks 31st in points scored, averaging 32.5 per game. They are 56th in our offensive power rankings. The Tar Heels have leaned on their run game, averaging 189.7 rushing yards per game on 39.7 attempts, which ranks 19th nationally.

Omarion Hampton leads the rushing attack with 1,475 yards and 14 touchdowns, averaging 5 yards per carry. Quarterback Jacolby Criswell has thrown for 2,179 yards with 12 touchdowns and six interceptions. North Carolina ranks 60th in passing yards per game.

North Carolina’s defense struggled in their recent game against Boston College, allowing 41 points in a 41-21 loss. They gave up 422 total yards, including 230 rushing yards on 51 attempts and three rushing touchdowns. Through the air, they allowed 192 yards and one passing touchdown.

For the season, the Tar Heels rank 64th nationally, giving up 27.5 points per game. Opponents are averaging 139.4 rushing yards per game and 231.7 passing yards. Quarterbacks have completed 55.9% of their passes against North Carolina, posting a passer rating of 83.2.