Texas State Bobcats vs South Alabama Jaguars Betting Pick & Prediction 11/29/24
ESPN+ will be covering the week 14 matchup between the Texas State Bobcats and South Alabama Jaguars, set to kick off at 3:30 ET from Hancock Whitney Stadium in Mobile. Both teams come in with a 6-5 record this season, and the Bobcats are the slight -1 point favorites on the road. The over/under line is currently at 61.5 points for this game.
TEXAS STATE BOBCATS VS SOUTH ALABAMA JAGUARS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Texas State Bobcats -1
This game will be played at Hancock Whitney Stadium at 3:30 ET on Friday, November 29th.
WHY BET THE TEXAS STATE BOBCATS:
- We have the Texas State Bobcats winning this one by a score of 30 to 26
- Not only do we have the Texas State Bobcats winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -1
- We see this game finishing below the line of 61.5 points
Will The Texas State Bobcats Pick Up A Win On The Road?
Texas State heads into Week 14 with a 6-5 record, but they have a 0% chance of winning the Sun Belt. However, they are 100% bowl-eligible. The Bobcats are 3-3 on the road and rank 63rd in our power rankings.
They’ve been favored in 10 of their 11 games this season, going 5-5 as the favorite. Texas State has a +13.4 average scoring margin and a 5-5 record against the spread.
This week’s over/under line is 61.5 points. Texas State’s average over/under line is 58.2 points, and their over/under record is 5-4-1, with their games averaging 59.4 points.
Texas State’s offense is averaging 36.4 points per game, placing them 15th in the nation heading into week 14. They are also ranked 45th in our offensive power rankings. Their run game is strong, with 203.6 rushing yards per game, ranking 20th nationally. Ismail Mahdi leads the team with 844 rushing yards, averaging 5 yards per carry and scoring three touchdowns.
Quarterback Jordan McCloud has thrown for 2,667 yards, completing 69% of his passes. He has 28 touchdown passes and 10 interceptions, with a passer rating of 109. Texas State ranks 23rd in completions and 28th in passing yards per game. Jaden Williams leads the receivers with 644 yards and six touchdowns.
Texas State’s defense will look to bounce back after allowing 52 points in their recent game against Georgia State. They gave up 507 total yards, including 222 rushing yards on 40 attempts and 285 passing yards. Georgia State also recorded four rushing touchdowns and three passing scores.
Despite the rough outing, Texas State’s defense ranks 40th nationally, allowing 23 points per game. They’ve given up 151.2 rushing yards per game and 197 passing yards, with opposing quarterbacks completing 55.4% of their throws, the 27th-lowest rate in the country.
Will The South Alabama Jaguars Win At Home Over The Texas State Bobcats?
South Alabama enters Week 14 with a 6-5 record, already bowl-eligible but holding just a 4.7% chance of winning the Sun Belt. They are 2-2 at home and 3-3 on the road this season.
The Jaguars have been favored in seven of their 11 games, going 3-4 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is +10.9 points, and they are 4-6 against the spread.
This week’s over/under line is 61.5 points, higher than their average line of 58 points. South Alabama’s over/under record is 3-7, with their games averaging 58 points.
South Alabama’s offense is averaging 34.5 points per game, placing them 21st in the nation heading into week 14. They are also 21st in rushing, with 200.8 yards per game. Gio Lopez has thrown for 2,367 yards and has a passer rating of 106. Overall, South Alabama is ranked 51st in our offensive power rankings.
Lopez has completed 65.6% of his passes, throwing 17 touchdowns and only 3 interceptions. Leading the rushing attack is Fluff Bothwell, who has 753 yards and 11 touchdowns, averaging 7 yards per carry. Jamaal Pritchett leads the receiving corps with 1,041 yards and eight touchdowns on 81 catches.
South Alabama’s defense is coming off a strong performance, allowing just 14 points in their recent game against Southern Miss. They gave up 306 total yards, including 169 rushing yards on 43 attempts and 137 passing yards, while also forcing an interception.
On the season, the Jaguars rank 44th nationally, giving up 23.5 points per game. They’ve allowed 136.5 rushing yards per game (61st) and 253.7 passing yards per game, ranking 140th in the country.