Dallas Stars vs Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Pick & Prediction 11/23/24

Planning on watching today’s Stars and Lightning game? Catch the action at Amalie Arena in Tampa, FL, as the Lightning hosts this showdown at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. The Stars are favored by -1.5 goals in this non-conference showdown. The game’s over/under is currently at 6.5 goals.
DALLAS STARS VS TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING BETTING PICK
The Pick: Tampa Bay Lightning +1.5
This game will be played at Amalie Arena at 7:00 ET on Saturday, November 23rd.
WHY BET THE TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING:
- Even though they are 1.5 goal underdogs, we see the Lightning winning this game by a score of 4-3.
- We like the Lightning on the moneyline (-103)
- The Lightning are also our pick on the spread at +1.5
Will the Stars Defense Show Up in Tampa?
Dallas dropped to 12-6-0 after a 4-2 road loss to the Panthers. The Stars were underdogs on the puck line, and the total was set at 6.5 goals, but the combined score of 6 fell short of that number.
After falling behind 2-0, Dallas tied it up with two goals in the second period. However, the Panthers pulled ahead with a goal early in the third and added an empty-netter to seal the win.
In their recent 4-2 loss to the Panthers, the Stars were held scoreless in the first period before Evgenii Dadonov netted his second goal of the season, followed by Matt Duchene’s seventh. Duchene also picked up his eighth assist on Dadonov’s goal.
The Stars took 25 shots on goal and recorded 32 giveaways. Dallas scored their first goal on a power play, with Wyatt Johnston earning his fifth assist, while Miro Heiskanen added his fourth assist on Duchene’s goal.
Dallas’ defense gave up the first two goals of the game, one at 5:15 in the first period and another at 8:47 in the second. After the Stars tied it at 2-2, they allowed two more, including the game-winner at 2:32 in the third and an empty-netter with 1:00 left. Goalie Casey DeSmith made 21 saves with a save percentage of 87.5%.
Can the Lightning Pull Off a Home Win?
After a 7-4 loss to the Jets, Tampa Bay’s record now stands at 10-7-2. The Lightning, who were underdogs on the puck line, couldn’t hold onto an early lead, as the game’s total of 11 goals easily surpassed the pre-game line of 6.5.
Tampa Bay jumped out to a 2-0 lead, but the Jets responded with seven of the next nine goals. Four different Lightning players found the net in the loss.
Brandon Hagel got things started for the Lightning, netting his 7th goal of the season at 13:11 in the first period. Brayden Point followed with his 8th goal, which came on a power play. Mitchell Chaffee added his 4th goal in the second period, and Nikita Kucherov scored his 10th, tying the game 4-4 in the third period.
The Lightning took 30 shots on goal and recorded 8 giveaways. They finished with 4 assists, including the 10th of the season for both Nikita Kucherov and Victor Hedman on Brayden Point’s power play goal.
Tampa Bay’s defense struggled in their last game, giving up 7 goals on 32 shots from the Jets. Goalie Jonas Johansson made 27 saves with an 84.4% save percentage. The Lightning had tied the game at 4-4 in the 3rd period, but their defense gave up three late goals, including two empty-netters.