Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Pick & Prediction 11/17/24

At 7:00 ET, the Dallas Mavericks (6-7, 10th in the Western Conference) will travel to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder (11-2, 1st in the Western Conference). The Thunder are currently favored by 5.5 points and have won three straight games.

This Western Conference matchup can be seen on KFAA and will be played at the Paycom Center in Oklahoma City.

DALLAS MAVERICKS VS OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER BETTING PICK

The Pick: Dallas Mavericks +5.5

This game will be played at Paycom Center at 7:00 ET on Sunday, November 17th.

WHY BET THE DALLAS MAVERICKS:

• We have this one finishing with a projected score of 140-98 in favor of the Mavericks.
• Our projections have Luka Doncic finishing with Luka Doncic points, 10 rebounds and 9 assists.
• From the field, we have the Mavericks finishing with a field goal percentage of 47.7% and knocking down 17 threes.

Can the Mavericks Offense Score Enough on the Road?

The Mavericks improved to 6-7 on the season with a 110-93 win over the Spurs on Saturday. Dallas covered the -13.5 point spread, and the game total of 203 points fell well short of the 229-point line.

After a 10-0 run by the Spurs, Dallas responded by dominating the 2nd and 3rd quarters, outscoring San Antonio 70-41 during that stretch. The Mavericks went into the 4th quarter with a 93-69 lead, allowing them to coast to victory despite being outscored 24-17 in the final period.

In their win over the Spurs, the Mavericks shot 46.8% from the field and struggled from beyond the arc, hitting just 8 threes at a 25.8% rate. Daniel Gafford and Kyrie Irving led the way with 22 points each, with Gafford shooting 90% from the field.

Irving added 11 points in the 3rd quarter, while Gafford contributed 12 in the same period. Luka Doncic finished with 16 points, 6 rebounds, and 6 assists, making 3 threes at 33.3%.

The Mavericks put on a defensive clinic against the Spurs, holding them to just 93 points on Saturday. Dallas tightened up in the 3rd quarter, giving up only 18 points, and allowed 28 points in the 1st, 23 in the 2nd, and 24 in the 4th.

Dallas limited San Antonio to 31% shooting, including 27% from three-point range, where the Spurs hit just 11 threes. The Mavericks also recorded 9 steals and 7 blocks in the game.

Can the Thunder Hold Strong at Home?

On Friday, the Thunder improved to 11-2 this season with a 99-83 win over the Suns at home. Oklahoma City, favored by 8 points, covered the spread, while the game’s total of 182 points fell well short of the 227.5-point line.

A key 12-0 run helped the Thunder jump out to a 28-10 lead early. Although the Suns won the 2nd quarter 22-19, the Thunder took control in the 3rd, outscoring Phoenix 35-24. Heading into the 4th with an 83-60 lead, the Thunder coasted to victory despite being outscored 23-16 in the final period.

In their win over the Suns, the Thunder managed just 99 points, shooting 39.6% from the field and hitting only 25% of their three-point attempts, making 10 threes overall. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the way with 28 points, 6 rebounds, and 4 assists, shooting 44% from the field and connecting on 2 threes at 28.6%.

Luguentz Dort added 15 points and 9 rebounds, also making 2 threes at 28.6%. Jalen Williams contributed 14 points and 8 rebounds. Gilgeous-Alexander scored 15 of his points in the 3rd quarter, while Dort added 5 points in the 4th.

The Thunder put on a defensive clinic against the Suns, holding them to just 83 points on Friday. Oklahoma City set the tone early, allowing only 14 points in the 1st quarter and keeping Phoenix in check throughout the game. The Thunder gave up 22 points in the 2nd, 24 in the 3rd, and 23 in the 4th, limiting the Suns to 29% shooting from the field.

Oklahoma City also excelled at defending the three, where Phoenix managed just 9 made threes on 24% shooting. The Thunder finished with 40 defensive rebounds while allowing 11 offensive boards. They also contributed 6 steals and 11 blocked shots.