Little Rock Trojans vs Arkansas State Red Wolves NCAA Basketball Betting Pick & Prediction 11/12/24

Looking to win big? The Trojans and Red Wolves face off at 8:00 ET on ESPN+. The Red Wolves are hosting the game at First National Bank Arena in Jonesboro, AR. The over/under for this game is set at 157.5 points, and Arkansas State is favored by -14.5 against Little Rock in a non-conference matchup.

LITTLE ROCK TROJANS VS ARKANSAS STATE RED WOLVES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Little Rock Trojans +14.5

This game will be played at First National Bank Arena at 8:00 ET on Tuesday, November 12th.

WHY BET THE LITTLE ROCK TROJANS:

• We have this one finishing with a projected score of 77-71 in favor of the Red Wolves.
• Even though we have Arkansas State winning straight-up, we like Little Rock at +14.5.
• The over/under is currently sitting at 157.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 148 points.

Does Little Rock Have a Shot at a Road Win?

Little Rock Trojans Recent Game/Games

Little Rock’s season opener didn’t go as planned, as they fell 82-67 to Winthrop on Saturday. The Trojans were +11 underdogs going into the game and didn’t cover the spread. The total points for the game were 149, falling short of the 158 O/U line.

After trailing 32-28 at halftime, Little Rock allowed 50 points in the 2nd half while scoring 39 of their own. They’ll need to tighten up defensively moving forward.

Little Rock struggled offensively in their last game, shooting just 34.4% from the field and 32% from beyond the arc. Their effective field goal percentage was 40.6%, and they managed 10 assists as a team.

Johnathan Lawson led the way with 27 points, hitting 5 of 10 threes, while K.J. Doucet added 17 points, shooting 60% from deep. Tommy Kamarad was 3 for 4 from three, finishing with 13 points in 13 minutes.

Despite Little Rock’s defensive efforts, they allowed 82 points in their previous game. The Trojans gave up 23 field goals on 41% shooting, including 14 two-pointers at a 50% clip.

From beyond the arc, Little Rock’s defense saw their opponent hit 9 threes on 27 attempts, good for 33%. They also sent them to the line 42 times, where they made 27 free throws (64%). Little Rock allowed 21 offensive rebounds.

Can the Red Wolves Pull Out the Win as Home Favorites?

Arkansas State Red Wolves Recent Game/Games

In their season opener, the Red Wolves fell 88-79 to Alabama on Friday. Despite being +25 point underdogs, Arkansas State kept the game closer than expected. The total points for the game reached 167, just under the O/U line of 171.5.

Arkansas State trailed 43-40 at halftime and were outscored 45-39 in the 2nd half. While they didn’t pull off the upset, the Red Wolves covered the spread and showed promise against a strong Alabama team.

In their latest game, Arkansas State put up 79 points, shooting 40.3% from the field. They struggled from beyond the arc, hitting just 6 of 28 threes for 21.4%, while their two-point shooting was a solid 55.9% (19/34). At the free-throw line, they connected on 63.9% of their attempts, going 23 for 36.

Kobe Julien led the way with 20 points, despite shooting 30.8% overall and 25% from three. Mark Sears added 19 points, missing all 5 of his three-point attempts. Clifford Omoruyi and Rashaud Marshall were efficient inside, both shooting 83.3% (5/6) from the field.

Despite giving up 88 points, Arkansas State’s defense held their opponent to 40% shooting from the field, with 27 made baskets on 66 attempts. They allowed 21 two-point field goals on 35 attempts, a 60% conversion rate.

From beyond the arc, the Red Wolves limited their opponent to just 6 made threes on 31 attempts, a 19% shooting performance. However, they sent their opponent to the free-throw line 44 times, where they made 28 free throws, shooting 63%. Arkansas State also gave up 14 offensive rebounds.