Texas State Bobcats vs TCU Horned Frogs NCAA Basketball Betting Pick & Prediction 11/12/24
Looking to win big? The Bobcats and Horned Frogs face off at 8:00 ET on ESPN+. The Horned Frogs are hosting the game at Ed and Rae Schollmaier Arena in Fort Worth, TX. The odds for this non-conference game currently have TCU as the -15 favorite, with the over/under line sitting at 137.5 points.
TEXAS STATE BOBCATS VS TCU HORNED FROGS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Texas State Bobcats +15
This game will be played at Ed and Rae Schollmaier Arena at 8:00 ET on Tuesday, November 12th.
WHY BET THE TEXAS STATE BOBCATS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 79-68 in favor of the Horned Frogs.
- Even though we have TCU winning straight-up, we like Texas State at +15.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 137.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 147 points.
Is an Upset Waiting to Happen on the Road?
Texas State opened their season with a 64-44 win over Eastern Michigan on Monday. Playing at home, the Bobcats entered as -8.5 favorites and covered the spread with the 20-point victory.
Texas State led 35-22 at halftime and maintained their defensive intensity in the 2nd half, allowing just 22 points while scoring 29. The game’s total points of 108 fell well short of the 135.5 O/U line.
In their last game, the Bobcats put up 64 points, with Christian Henry leading the way, scoring 17 points and hitting 3 of 7 from deep. Kaden Gumbs added 15 points, knocking down 5 of 9 shots and hitting his only three-point attempt.
Tylan Pope contributed 12 points, going 2 for 2 from beyond the arc, while Tyrel Morgan added 11 points, connecting on 5 of 11 shots and 1 of 2 from three-point range.
Texas State’s defense held strong, giving up just 44 points while allowing the opponent to shoot 41% from the field on 20 of 48 attempts. They limited two-point opportunities, with the other team hitting only 13 of 33 shots for 39%.
From beyond the arc, Texas State’s opponent connected on 7 of 15 threes, shooting 46%. The Bobcats also sent them to the line 21 times, where they made 17 free throws, an 81% success rate. Texas State allowed 9 offensive rebounds in the game.
Will the Horned Frogs Secure A Victory as Home Favorites?
TCU opened their season with a 67-51 win over Florida Gulf Coast on Friday. The Horned Frogs were heavy favorites at -17.5 but didn’t cover the spread. The game’s total points came in at 118, well below the O/U line of 148.
TCU led 30-29 at halftime but clamped down defensively in the 2nd half, allowing just 22 points while scoring 37 themselves to pull away for the win.
In their last game, TCU put up 67 points, shooting 45.5% from the field. Their effective field goal percentage was 50.9%, with a strong 57.6% shooting on two-pointers, but they struggled from beyond the arc, hitting just 27.3% on 6-of-22 attempts.
At the free-throw line, the Horned Frogs connected on 78.6%, going 11-for-14. They grabbed 12 offensive rebounds and dished out 15 assists. Keeshawn Kellman led the way with 18 points and 9 rebounds, shooting 81.8% on 9-of-11 from the field. Vasean Allette added 14 points, though he shot just 35.7% overall and 20.0% from three.
TCU’s defense held their opponent to 51 points despite allowing them to shoot 45% from the field. The Horned Frogs gave up 19 two-point baskets on 33 attempts, a 57% success rate for their opponent.
From beyond the arc, TCU limited their opponent to 6 made threes on 22 attempts, a 27% shooting performance. They also sent their opponent to the free-throw line 14 times, where they converted 11 shots for 78%.