Troy Trojans vs Georgia Southern Eagles Betting Pick & Prediction 11/16/24

Georgia Southern is the heavy favorite in this week 12 matchup against Troy, with the point spread set at -7.5. The game is scheduled for 4:00 ET on Saturday, November 16th, at Allen E. Paulson Stadium in Statesboro and will be broadcast on ESPN+. The over/under line is currently at 54.5 points. Georgia Southern comes in with a 6-3 record, while Troy is looking to improve on their 2-7 season.

TROY TROJANS VS GEORGIA SOUTHERN EAGLES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Troy Trojans +7.5

This game will be played at Allen E. Paulson Stadium at 4:00 ET on Saturday, November 16th.

WHY BET THE TROY TROJANS:

• We have the Troy Trojans winning this one by a score of 35 to 24
• Not only do we have the Troy Trojans winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +7.5
• Look for this game to go over the line of 54.5 points

Will The Troy Trojans Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs

Troy enters Week 12 against Georgia Southern with a 2-7 record and ranks 105th in our CFB power rankings. They are out of bowl contention, with a 0.0% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. On the road, Troy is 0-4, while they’ve gone 1-3 at home this season.

The Trojans have been favored in just two games this season, going 0-2 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is -5.3 points per game, and they are 3-5 against the spread, with a 2-2 road ATS record and a 1-3 mark at home.

This week’s over/under line is set at 54.5 points. Troy’s games have averaged 50.2 points, and their average over/under line is 49.5 points. They are 4-4 against the over/under, with an average margin of +1.2 points.

Heading into week 12, Troy’s offense ranks 94th in our power rankings, averaging 22.4 points per game. Their passing game is producing 202.4 yards per game, and they are 79th in passing attempts. Matthew Caldwell, their quarterback, has thrown for 903 yards with six touchdowns and six interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 78.

Troy’s run game averages 153.6 yards per game. Damien Taylor leads the team with 682 rushing yards, averaging 5 yards per carry, and has scored four touchdowns. Devonte Ross has 783 receiving yards and nine touchdowns this season.

Defensively, Troy has struggled this season, allowing an average of 27.8 points per game. In their recent matchup against Coastal Carolina, they gave up 24 points, including four rushing touchdowns, while allowing 213 rushing yards and 150 passing yards.

Opponents have averaged 173.3 rushing yards per game against Troy, ranking them 123rd nationally. Through the air, Troy’s defense has allowed 211.8 passing yards per game, with quarterbacks completing 68.3% of their passes and posting a passer rating of 96.6.

Are The Georgia Southern Eagles Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?

Georgia Southern heads into Week 12 with a 6-3 record, and they are 100% assured of bowl eligibility. However, they have a 23.9% chance of winning the Sun Belt, according to projections. The Eagles are 2-1 at home this season and rank 78th in our power rankings.

Against the spread, Georgia Southern is 5-2-1, with a perfect 2-0-1 record at home. They’ve been favored in just two games this season, and their average scoring margin is -1.2 points per game.

Their over/under record is 4-4, with an average line of 58.6 points. This week’s line is set at 54.5 points, and their games have averaged 59.7 points per contest.

Georgia Southern’s offense is centered around their passing game, ranking 27th in passing attempts per game. They are 22nd in completions, averaging 23.4 per game, and 48th in passing yards, with 249.8 yards per game. They are 44th in scoring, with 29.2 points per game, and are ranked 53rd in our offensive power rankings heading into week 12.

Quarterback JC French has thrown for 1,988 yards and has a 65.4% completion rate. He has 14 touchdowns and six interceptions, with a passer rating of 92. Georgia Southern is 25th in completion percentage and third-down conversions. Jalen White leads the rushing attack with 464 yards and eight touchdowns. Dalen Cobb is the top receiver with 488 yards and four touchdowns.

Georgia Southern’s defense has struggled this season, allowing 30.4 points per game. In their recent matchup against South Alabama, they gave up 30 points and 458 total yards, including 274 passing yards and 184 rushing yards. However, they did manage to force an interception.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged a 97.1 passer rating against Georgia Southern, completing 65% of their passes for 272.7 yards per game. The Eagles have also allowed 186.8 rushing yards per game, facing an average of 34 rushing attempts per contest.