Cincinnati Bearcats vs Iowa State Cyclones Betting Pick & Prediction 11/16/24

At 8:00 ET, this week 12 college football matchup between the Cincinnati Bearcats and Iowa State Cyclones will be played at Jack Trice Stadium in Ames. Iowa State comes in with a 7-2 record, and they are favored at -8.5 points over Cincinnati, who is 5-4 this season. The over/under line is currently set at 53.5 points. You can catch this game on FOX.

CINCINNATI BEARCATS VS IOWA STATE CYCLONES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Iowa State Cyclones -8.5

This game will be played at Jack Trice Stadium at 8:00 ET on Saturday, November 16th.

WHY BET THE IOWA STATE CYCLONES:

• We have the Iowa State Cyclones winning this one by a score of 31 to 22
• Not only do we have the Iowa State Cyclones winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -8.5
• We see this game finishing below the line of 53.5 points

Will The Cincinnati Bearcats Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs

Cincinnati enters Week 12 with a 5-4 record, ranked 43rd in our power rankings. They have a 77.8% chance of becoming bowl-eligible but only a 0.3% shot at winning the Big 12. The Bearcats are 2-2 on the road and 2-2 at home this season.

Against the spread, Cincinnati is 4-3-1, with a +6.3 average scoring margin. They are 2-1-1 ATS on the road and 2-2 at home. As the favorite, they’ve gone 3-2 ATS.

Their over/under record is 2-5-1, with an average total of 50.8 points per game. The average over/under line for their games is 54.7 points, and this week’s line is set at 53.5 points.

Cincinnati’s offense ranks 21st in our offensive power rankings heading into week 12. They are averaging 28.6 points per game, placing them 49th nationally. Brendan Sorsby has thrown for 2,387 yards with a passer rating of 101. He has 16 touchdowns and five interceptions, completing 66.1% of his passes.

Cincinnati ranks 27th in completions and 34th in passing yards, averaging 268 yards per game. They convert 44.4% of their third downs. Corey Kiner leads the rushing attack with 783 yards, averaging 5 yards per carry. Xzavier Henderson has 617 receiving yards and four touchdowns on 50 catches.

Despite allowing 31 points in their recent 31-24 loss to West Virginia, Cincinnati’s defense gave up just 249 total yards, including 93 rushing yards on 27 attempts and 156 passing yards. They also forced an interception in the game.

On the season, Cincinnati’s defense ranks 36th nationally, allowing 22.2 points per game. Opponents have averaged 155.1 rushing yards per game and 231.1 passing yards, with a 62.1% completion rate and a 95.7 passer rating.

Are The Iowa State Cyclones Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?

Iowa State enters Week 12 with a 7-2 record, ranked 24th in our power rankings. They are guaranteed bowl eligibility and have a 7.6% chance of winning the Big 12. At home, the Cyclones are 3-1, and they’ve been favored in seven of their nine games this season.

Their average scoring margin is +12.3 points, and they’ve gone 5-3 against the spread. On the road, Iowa State is 3-1 ATS, while at home, they are 2-2. As the favorite, their ATS record stands at 4-3.

This week’s over/under line is 53.5 points. Iowa State’s games have averaged 49.9 points, with an average line of 48.3 points. Their over/under record for the season is 5-3.

Heading into week 12, Iowa State’s offense ranks 37th in scoring, averaging 31.1 points per game, and they are 41st in our offensive power rankings. Their passing game is their strength, with 271.4 yards per game, ranking 30th nationally.

Rocco Becht leads the Cyclones with 2,394 passing yards and 16 touchdowns, though he has thrown seven interceptions. He has a passer rating of 97. Jaylin Noel has 892 receiving yards and five touchdowns. Iowa State averages 168.2 rushing yards per game.

Despite allowing 45 points in their recent 45-36 loss to Kansas, Iowa State’s defense ranks 15th nationally, giving up just 18.8 points per game. In that matchup, they surrendered 535 total yards, including 240 rushing yards and three rushing touchdowns, along with 295 passing yards.

Opponents have averaged 163.1 passing yards per game against Iowa State, the 15th-lowest mark in the country, completing just 50.3% of their passes, which ranks 6th-lowest nationally. However, the Cyclones have struggled against the run, allowing 177.7 rushing yards per game, ranking 131st in the nation.