Boston College Eagles vs SMU Mustangs Betting Pick & Prediction 11/16/24
SMU is the heavy favorite in this week 12 matchup against Boston College, set to kick off at 3:30 ET from Gerald J. Ford Stadium in Dallas. The game will be broadcast on ESPN, with the over/under line currently sitting at 53.5 points. The Mustangs are at -16.5 points, and the money line odds are -805 for SMU and +533 for Boston College. SMU enters the game with an 8-1 record, while Boston College is 5-4 on the season.
BOSTON COLLEGE EAGLES VS SMU MUSTANGS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Boston College Eagles +16.5
This game will be played at Gerald J. Ford Stadium at 3:30 ET on Saturday, November 16th.
WHY BET THE BOSTON COLLEGE EAGLES:
- We have the SMU Mustangs winning this one by a score of 32 to 24
- Even though we like the SMU Mustangs to win, our ATS pick is to take the Boston College Eagles at +16.5
- Look for this game to go over the line of 53.5 points
Will The Boston College Eagles Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs
Boston College enters Week 12 against SMU with a 5-4 record, ranked 59th in our power rankings. They have a 75.7% chance of becoming bowl-eligible but are out of the Atlantic Coast title race. The Eagles are 3-1 at home and 1-3 on the road this season.
Boston College is 4-4 against the spread, with a +4.6 average scoring margin. They’ve been favored in three games, going 1-2 ATS as the favorite and 3-2 ATS as the underdog.
The over/under line for this week is 53.5 points. Boston College’s games have averaged 50.6 points, with their over/under record at 3-5 and an average line of 50.3 points.
Boston College’s offense is averaging 27.6 points per game heading into week 12, placing them 54th in the nation. Our power rankings have them 66th. They rank 24th in rushing attempts, averaging 39.7 carries per game, which has led to 180.8 rushing yards per game.
Thomas Castellanos has thrown for 1,366 yards and has 18 touchdowns with five interceptions. His passer rating is 113. Kye Robichaux leads the team in rushing with 471 yards and six touchdowns. Lewis Bond has 438 receiving yards and three touchdowns.
Boston College’s defense will look to bounce back after allowing 31 points in their latest game, a 37-31 win over Syracuse. They gave up 431 total yards, including 392 passing yards, despite holding Syracuse to just 39 rushing yards on 25 attempts.
On the season, Boston College ranks 41st nationally, allowing 23 points per game. They’ve given up 243.3 passing yards per game, ranking 124th, while allowing 131 rushing yards per game. Opposing quarterbacks have completed 61.4% of their passes against the Eagles.
Are The SMU Mustangs Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?
SMU enters Week 12 with an 8-1 record, holding the 17th spot in our power rankings. They are 100% bowl-eligible and have a 35.2% chance of winning the Atlantic Coast. Nationally, they have the 14th best odds to make the playoff at 36.2%.
The Mustangs have a +18.3 average scoring margin this season and are 5-2 against the spread. At home, they are 3-1 ATS and 2-1 as the favorite.
SMU’s over/under record is 4-3, with their games averaging 61.9 points. Their average over/under line is 53.8 points, and this week’s line is set at 53.5 points.
SMU’s offense ranks 6th in the nation in scoring, averaging 40.1 points per game. They are 30th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 12. Their ground game is strong, with 203.8 rushing yards per game on 40.2 attempts.
Brashard Smith leads the rushing attack with 903 yards, 11 touchdowns, and an average of 6 yards per carry. Quarterback Kevin Jennings has thrown for 1,900 yards with a passer rating of 106.
SMU’s defense has been solid this season, ranking 32nd nationally by allowing just 21.8 points per game. They’ve been particularly strong against the run, giving up only 91.7 rushing yards per game, which ranks 9th in the country. Opponents have averaged 31.9 rushing attempts per game against SMU.
In their recent game, SMU’s defense allowed 25 points but also forced two interceptions. They held Pittsburgh to 292 total yards, including 127 rushing yards on 32 attempts and 165 passing yards.