Miami Dolphins vs Los Angeles Rams Betting Pick & Prediction 11/11/24

ESPN will broadcast the week 10 non-conference matchup between the Dolphins and Rams, which is set to kick off at 8:15 ET. The game, being played at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, CA, has the Rams favored at -140 on the money line. The Dolphins are +2.5 point underdogs, with the over/under line set at 50.5 points.

MIAMI DOLPHINS VS LOS ANGELES RAMS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Miami Dolphins +2.5

This game will be played at SoFi Stadium at 8:15 ET on Monday, November 11th.

WHY BET THE MIAMI DOLPHINS:

• We have the Dolphins winning this one by a score of 27 to 23
• Not only do we have the Dolphins winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +2.5
• We see this game finishing below the line of 50.5 points

Will The Dolphins Pick Up A Win On The Road?

Miami heads into week 10 against the Rams looking to snap a three-game losing streak, which includes a narrow 30-27 loss to the Bills in week 9. Despite the defeat, the Dolphins managed to cover the spread as 6-point underdogs. The O/U line was set at 49 points, with the teams combining for 57. This marked the second straight game in which the over hit in Miami’s games.

With a 2-6 record, the Dolphins have a 6.6% chance of making the playoffs and a 0.1% chance of winning the AFC East. They rank 22nd in our NFL power rankings. Miami is 2-6 ATS this season, with an average scoring margin of -7.9 points per game.

Heading into week 10, the Dolphins rank 26th in our offensive power rankings, averaging 15.5 points per game, which is 30th in the NFL. They are 20th in the league in total yards per game, with 324.9, and 24th in passing yards per game, with 191, on 31.6 attempts per game. However, they have been strong in the run game, ranking 9th in rushing yards per game, with 133.9, on 30.5 attempts per game.

In week 9, Tua Tagovailoa threw for 231 yards and 2 touchdowns, completing 25 of 28 passes, with a passer rating of 124. De’Von Achane had 63 rushing yards on 12 carries, while Tyreek Hill led the team with 80 receiving yards on 4 catches. Miami scored 14 points in the 4th quarter and converted 3 of 4 red zone attempts in their loss to the Bills.

In their 30-27 loss to the Bills, the Dolphins’ defense allowed 231 passing yards and three touchdowns through the air. Buffalo finished with a 64.1% completion rate and converted on 50% of their third down attempts. Miami’s defense struggled to generate pressure, managing just one sack and one quarterback hit.

On the ground, the Dolphins gave up 94 yards on 19 carries, with Buffalo finishing the game with 325 total yards. Despite the loss, Miami’s defense did come up with one interception in the game.

Will The Rams Win At Home Over The Dolphins?

The Rams have won three straight games, including a 26-20 road victory over the Seahawks in week 9. This win brought their record to 4-4 and kept them in 2nd place in the NFC West. They are 2-1 in division games and 3-4 in conference play. Our power rankings have the Rams 18th heading into week 10.

Currently, the Rams have a 23.8% chance of making the playoffs and an 18.8% chance of winning the NFC West. Their average scoring margin is -3 points, and they are 3-5 against the spread this season. Their O/U record is 4-4, with their games averaging 45.5 points compared to a line of 46.8.

Heading into week 10, the Rams’ offense ranks 15th in our power rankings. They are 20th in the NFL in points per game (21.2) and 18th in yards per game (328.9). Los Angeles ranks 9th in passing yards per game (231.8) and 8th in passing attempts per game (34.6). On the ground, they are 26th in rushing yards per game, averaging 97.1 yards on 25.9 attempts per game.

Matthew Stafford threw for 298 yards (25/44) and 2 touchdowns in week 9 against the Seahawks, with Cooper Kupp catching 11 passes for 104 yards. Kyren Williams had 22 carries for 69 yards. The Rams scored 10 points in the 3rd quarter and 7 in the 4th, winning 26-20 in overtime.

In the Rams’ 26-20 overtime win over the Seahawks, their defense came up with a big performance, despite giving up 424 total yards. They forced three interceptions, all coming off Matthew Stafford, and recorded seven sacks. The Rams’ defense also limited the Seahawks to a 26.7% conversion rate on third down.

However, the Rams did allow 317 passing yards, with Seattle averaging 9.3 yards per attempt through the air. The Seahawks also managed 107 rushing yards on 33 attempts against the Rams. Even with giving up three passing touchdowns, the Rams’ defense came up with big plays to help secure the win.