Detroit Lions vs Houston Texans Betting Pick & Prediction 11/10/24

The Texans are the underdog at +154 on the money line as they host the Lions at 8:20 ET on Sunday, November 10th at NRG Stadium in Houston. The Lions are favored by -3.5 on the road, and the over/under line is set at 49.5 points. This week 10 non-conference matchup is being televised on NBC.

DETROIT LIONS VS HOUSTON TEXANS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Houston Texans +3.5

This game will be played at NRG Stadium at 8:20 ET on Sunday, November 10th.

WHY BET THE HOUSTON TEXANS:

• We have the Lions winning this one by a score of 24 to 21
• Even though we like the Lions to win, our ATS pick is to take the Texans at +3.5
• We see this game finishing below the line of 49.5 points

Will The Lions Win As Road Favorites?

With a 7-1 record, the Lions sit atop our NFL power rankings and have a 77.7% chance of winning the NFC North and a 98.2% chance of making the playoffs. Detroit has won six straight games, including a 24-14 road victory over the Packers in week 9. They also picked up wins over the Titans (52-14), Vikings (31-29), Cowboys (47-9), Seahawks (42-29), and Cardinals (20-13) during their streak.

Detroit is 7-1 against the spread this season, with an average scoring margin of +13.8 points per game. They’ve covered the spread in six straight games, including a 38-point win over the Titans as 12.5-point favorites in week 8. Their O/U record is 4-4, with their games averaging 50.8 points per game.

Jared Goff has been efficient over the past three weeks, posting passer ratings of 109 in week 9, 129 in week 8, and 140 in week 7. Against the Packers in week 9, he threw for 145 yards and a touchdown, completing 18 of 22 passes. Amon-Ra St. Brown led the receiving corps with 7 catches for 56 yards and a touchdown, while David Montgomery rushed for 73 yards on 17 carries.

Detroit’s offense ranks 3rd in our power rankings, leading the NFL with 32.2 points per game. They are 7th in rushing yards per game (152.6) and 15th in passing yards (217), despite ranking 26th in passing attempts. They are 7th in 3rd-down conversions with a 41.6% success rate.

In their 24-14 win over the Packers, the Lions’ defense gave up 138 rushing yards on just 23 attempts. They held Green Bay to a 25% third-down conversion rate and limited them to 273 passing yards on 23 completions. Despite not recording any sacks, the Lions kept the Packers out of the endzone through the air.

The Lions allowed 411 total yards and had a tough time stopping the run, as Green Bay averaged 6 yards per attempt on the ground. Detroit’s defense did come up with one interception and forced the Packers into several key third-down situations, helping secure the win.

Are The Texans Going Win In At Upset At NRG Stadium

Despite a week 9 loss to the Jets, the Texans remain atop the AFC South with a 6-3 record, including a 3-0 mark in division games. Our projections give Houston an 88.2% chance of winning the division and a 93.2% chance of making the playoffs. They rank 12th in our power rankings heading into week 10.

Houston is 3-6 against the spread this season, with an average scoring margin of +0.1 points per game. Their O/U record is 2-7, with the under hitting in three straight games.

Heading into week 10, the Texans rank 17th in our offensive power rankings. They are 16th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 22.3, and 11th in yards per game with 348.1. Houston has been strong in the 1st quarter, ranking 4th in the league in scoring. They are 14th in 3rd-down conversions with a 38.4% success rate and 19th in red zone conversion percentage, despite being 8th in red zone attempts.

In week 9, C.J. Stroud struggled against the Jets, completing 11 of 30 passes for 191 yards and posting a passer rating of 59. He was sacked 8 times. Joe Mixon rushed for 106 yards on 24 carries, while Tank Dell led the team with 6 receptions for 126 yards.

The Texans’ defense gave up three passing touchdowns in their 21-13 loss to the Jets, allowing 193 yards through the air. Overall, the defense struggled to defend the pass, as the Jets completed 68.8% of their passes. Houston’s run defense was a bit better, allowing just 100 yards on 21 attempts (4.8 yards per attempt).

Despite recording two sacks, the Texans couldn’t generate enough pressure on the quarterback. Additionally, they allowed the Jets to convert on 41.7% of their third down attempts.