Pittsburgh Steelers vs Washington Commanders Betting Pick & Prediction 11/10/24

The Commanders are favored on the money line at -154 as they host the Steelers at Northwest Stadium in Landover, MD. The Commanders are the favorite on the point spread as well, with odds of -3. The game kicks off at 1:00 ET on Sunday, November 10th, and is being televised on CBS. The over/under line is set at 46 points.

PITTSBURGH STEELERS VS WASHINGTON COMMANDERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers +3

This game will be played at Northwest Stadium at 1:00 ET on Sunday, November 10th.

WHY BET THE PITTSBURGH STEELERS:

• We have the Steelers winning this one by a score of 25 to 19
• Not only do we have the Steelers winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +3
• We see this game finishing below the line of 46 points

Will The Steelers Pick Up A Win On The Road?

With three straight wins, the Steelers sit atop the AFC North at 6-2. After back-to-back losses in weeks 4 and 5, Pittsburgh bounced back with victories over the Raiders, Jets, and Giants. Their latest win came in week 8, when they beat New York 26-18, covering the 6-point spread. The over hit in that game, marking the third straight time the Steelers have gone over the point total.

Heading into week 10, our power rankings have Pittsburgh 10th, and they have an 87.9% chance of making the playoffs. Their odds of winning the division are 33.4%. The Steelers have an average scoring margin of +8.5 points per game and are 6-2 against the spread this season.

Heading into week 10, the Steelers sit 14th in our offensive power rankings. They are 13th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 23.4, and rank 19th in total yards per game with 328.1. Pittsburgh relies heavily on the run game, ranking 2nd in rushing attempts and 8th in rushing yards per game, with 138.1. They are 27th in passing attempts and 26th in passing yards per game, averaging 190.

Russell Wilson threw for 278 yards (20/28) and a touchdown in week 8, but he was sacked 4 times. Najee Harris rushed for 114 yards on 19 carries, and George Pickens led the team with 74 receiving yards. The Steelers converted 46.2% of their 3rd downs but failed to score on 4 red zone trips.

In their 26-18 win over the Giants, the Steelers’ defense allowed 394 yards, but they were tough in the red zone and kept New York out of the endzone until late in the fourth quarter. They gave up 157 rushing yards on 25 attempts, with the Giants averaging 6.3 yards per attempt. Pittsburgh’s run defense was bolstered by 4 sacks and 4 quarterback hits, and they were successful on 33.3% of third down attempts.

The Giants did not score a passing touchdown, and the Steelers’ defense picked off one pass while holding the Giants to 237 yards through the air. They also limited the Giants to a 63.2% completion percentage on their passes.

Will The Commanders Win At Home Over The Steelers?

With a 7-2 record, the Commanders sit atop the NFC East and rank 2nd in the conference. They’ve won three straight, including a 27-22 victory over the Giants in week 9. Washington was a 4-point favorite in that game and covered the spread, bringing their ATS record to 7-1-1 this season. They rank 9th in our NFL power rankings and have a 90.4% chance of making the playoffs and a 50.6% chance of winning the division.

Washington has an average scoring margin of +8.2 points per game and is 5-0 ATS as a favorite. Their O/U record is 6-3, with their games averaging 50.2 points compared to an average line of 46.1. In week 8, they narrowly beat the Bears 18-15, and in week 7, they easily handled the Panthers, winning 40-7.

Jayden Daniels has been solid for Washington, posting a passer rating of 128 in week 9, going 15/22 for 209 yards and 2 touchdowns without an interception. Terry McLaurin had led the team in receiving in weeks 7 and 8, but in week 9, Noah Brown had 5 catches for 60 yards. On the ground, Chris Rodriguez Jr. rushed for 52 yards on 11 carries in week 9.

Washington’s offense is 3rd in the NFL in points per game, averaging 29.2, and they also rank 3rd in passing yards per game with 392. They are 4th in the league in 3rd-down conversions, with a 45.9% success rate, and lead the NFL in red zone attempts, although they rank 26th in red zone conversion percentage.

In their 27-22 win over the Giants, Washington’s defense gave up 164 rushing yards on 31 attempts, including a 75-yard touchdown run to Saquon Barkley. The Commanders’ defense allowed two passing touchdowns and a completion percentage of 76.9% to the Giants. Despite this, they limited the Giants to 162 passing yards and allowed just 20 completions.

On third downs, the Giants converted 54.5% of their chances, and Washington recorded two sacks and two more quarterback hits than the Giants.