Boise State Broncos vs UNLV Rebels Betting Pick & Prediction 10/25/24

Boise State is the -3 point favorite as they head into this week nine matchup against the UNLV Rebels. The game is set for 10:30 ET at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas, with CBSS handling the television broadcast. The Broncos have a 5-1 record this season, while the Rebels are 6-1. The over/under line is at 65.5 points for this one.

BOISE STATE BRONCOS VS UNLV REBELS BETTING PICK

The Pick: UNLV Rebels +3

This game will be played at Allegiant Stadium at 10:30 ET on Friday, October 25th.

WHY BET THE UNLV REBELS:

• We have the Boise State Broncos winning this one by a score of 36 to 35
• Even though we like the Boise State Broncos to win, our ATS pick is to take the UNLV Rebels at +3
• Look for this game to go over the line of 65.5 points

Will The Boise State Broncos Pick Up A Win On The Road?

Boise State enters Week 9 with a 5-1 record and a 21st-place power ranking. They have a 100% chance of being bowl-eligible and a 62.6% likelihood of winning the Mountain West. The Broncos also have a 46% chance of making the CFB playoff, the 11th best odds in the country.

Boise State is 4-0 as the favorite and 0-1 as the underdog this season, with an average scoring margin of +20.7 points per game. Their ATS record stands at 3-1-1, and they are 2-0 against the spread at home.

The over/under line for this week’s game is 65.5 points. Boise State’s games have averaged 73 points, with an average over/under line of 62.2 points. Their over/under record is 4-1 this season.

Boise State’s offense has been dominant on the ground, ranking 4th nationally with 292.3 rushing yards per game. Ashton Jeanty has been outstanding, rushing for 1,248 yards and 17 touchdowns, averaging 9 yards per carry. The Broncos are 3rd in scoring, putting up 46.8 points per game, and they have converted 54.4% of their third downs, the 4th best mark in the country. They are ranked 7th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 9.

Quarterback Maddux Madsen has thrown for 1,273 yards, 12 touchdowns, and just 2 interceptions. He has a passer rating of 108, while Boise State ranks 29th in passer rating nationally. They are 86th in passing yards per game, averaging 233.2 yards. Cameron Camper leads the receiving corps with 441 yards and 4 touchdowns.

Boise State’s defense put together a strong performance in their recent game against Hawaii, allowing just 7 points. They gave up 300 total yards, with 104 rushing yards on 22 attempts and 196 yards through the air, while also securing one interception.

On the season, Boise State ranks 25th nationally in rushing yards allowed, giving up just 105.8 yards per game. However, their pass defense has struggled, ranking 156th, allowing 276.3 passing yards per game and a 105.5 passer rating.

Will The UNLV Rebels Win At Home Over The Boise State Broncos?

UNLV enters Week 9 against Boise State with a 6-1 record, ranked 40th in our power rankings. They are already bowl-eligible and have a 29.1% chance of winning the Mountain West. UNLV also holds the 21st best odds of making the CFB playoff at 18.2%.

The Rebels have gone 4-0 on the road and 1-0 at home this season. They’ve been favored in three games and are 3-0 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is +21 points, and they’ve covered the spread in four of five games.

This week’s over/under line is 65.5 points, compared to their average line of 57.8. UNLV’s over/under record is 2-3, with their games averaging 66.1 points per contest.

UNLV’s offense has been impressive this season, ranking 5th in the nation with 43.6 points per game. They are also 3rd in rushing, averaging 252.6 yards per game on the ground, with 43 rushing attempts per game. Heading into week 9, we have them ranked 27th in our offensive power rankings.

Hajj-Malik Williams leads the Rebels’ passing attack with 838 yards and a passer rating of 128. Ricky White III has been the standout receiver, with 614 yards and nine touchdowns.

UNLV’s defense has been solid against the run this season, ranking 21st nationally by allowing just 104.4 rushing yards per game. In their recent game against Oregon State, they gave up 137 rushing yards on 37 attempts but held the Beavers to 0 passing touchdowns, despite allowing 231 passing yards.

Opposing quarterbacks have a passer rating of 68.8 against UNLV, which ranks 19th in the country. So far, the Rebels have allowed 278.7 passing yards per game, and quarterbacks have completed 59% of their passes against them.