Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Mets Betting Pick & Prediction 10/16/24

Los Angeles and New York will square off in an NL matchup at 8:08 PM ET at Citi Field in New York, NY. The Dodgers are on a five-game winning streak and are 98-64 overall, while the Mets are 89-73 and have Luis Severino on the mound.

Wednesday’s forecast in New York calls for clear skies and temperatures in the mid-50s. FS1 will be televising this one, and the Dodgers are the slight money line favorite, with their odds sitting at -111 compared to the Mets at -106. The over/under line is currently at 7.5 runs.

LOS ANGELES DODGERS VS NEW YORK METS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers Moneyline -111

This game will be played at Citi Field at 8:08 ET on Wednesday, October 16th.

HOW TO BET THE DODGERS VS METS:

• We have the Dodgers winning by a score of 4 to 3
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Mets to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 7 runs and like the under

New York picked up a 7-3 road win over the Dodgers in the most recent game of this series. The Mets offense got off to a fast start, scoring five of their seven runs in the 1st and 2nd innings. On the other side, the Dodgers got on the board with one run in the 5th and added their final two runs in the 6th.

Sean Manaea only went five innings for the Mets but gave up just two hits and two earned runs. He finished the game with seven strikeouts but issued four walks. Ryan Brasier only lasted one inning for the Dodgers, giving up one hit and one earned run.

At the plate, Mark Vientos and Francisco Lindor each homered for the Mets. Vientos, Lindor, and Starling Marte each had two RBIs. Max Muncy hit a home run for the Dodgers, going 1/2 with three RBIs.

Dodgers Records & Stats

As the Dodgers prepare for their playoff matchup against the Mets, they’ll be on the road, where they posted a 46-35 record during the regular season, compared to their 52-29 mark at home. Los Angeles finished the season with a 98-64 record and is currently on a five-game winning streak. As road favorites, the Dodgers went 42-23 this year.

Los Angeles had an 86-83 run line record this season, including 43-40 on the road. They’ve covered the run line in their last two road games. The Dodgers’ games have averaged 9.4 total runs this year, while today’s over/under line is set at 7.5 runs. Their over/under record for the season is 95-69, and the over has hit in their last two games.

Walker Buehler gets the start for the Dodgers today as he faces the Mets on the road. This year, he has made 16 starts and has a record of 1-6 with an ERA of 5.38. Buehler’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.55. In his last outing, Buehler took the loss, giving up six earned runs in five innings of work. Looking back over his last three starts, he has allowed at least one homer in each outing. Buehler has made three quality starts this year and is averaging 7.65 strikeouts per nine innings. Per nine innings, he is giving up 3.35 walks.

Shohei Ohtani has been a force at the plate for the Dodgers this season, as he is batting .310 with a league-leading 130 RBIs and 54 home runs. Teoscar Hernandez is also a big power threat for the Dodgers, as he has 33 homers this season, which is 2nd on the team and 11th in the league. Hernandez comes into the game on a seven-game hitting streak, during which he has gone 6/24 with two homers and seven RBIs.

Overall, the Dodgers have the league’s top OPS and slugging percentage, while also leading the league in isolated power. They are averaging 5.2 runs per game and have been even better on the road, averaging 5.4 runs per contest. As a team, the Dodgers are batting .258, which is 3rd in the league.

Mets Records & Stats

As the Mets prepare to face the Dodgers, they’ll look to build on their 46-35 home record, compared to 43-38 on the road. New York went 60-39 as favorites this season, while posting a 35-37 mark as underdogs.

New York’s run line record stands at 89-82, with a home run margin of +0.7, compared to +0.3 on the road. They’ve covered the run line in four straight home games. The Mets’ over/under record is 88-78, and 69.8% of their games had higher totals than today’s 7.5 line. The over has hit in their last two games.

New York is sending Luis Severino to the mound today, and he finished with a no-decision in his last outing. Against the Phillies on October 6th, he went six innings, giving up three earned runs, and he allowed two homers in that outing. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Severino’s ERA for the season is 3.91, along with a record of 11-7. Opponents have hit .232 this season off Severino. He has one complete game shutout this year and 14 quality starts. Per nine innings, Severino is averaging 7.96 strikeouts and 2.97 walks.

Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso have been two of the Mets’ top power threats this season, as Alonso is 10th in the league with 34 homers, and Lindor is just behind him at 33. Lindor also leads the team with 91 RBIs and is batting .273 compared to Alonso’s mark of .240. Over his last six games, Mark Vientos has been on fire, going 11/25 with three homers and nine RBIs.

Overall, the Mets are 7th in the league in scoring at 4.7 runs per game. They have been a good home run hitting team this season and are also near the top of the league in terms of isolated power. As a team, they are batting .246 and have the 8th best on-base percentage in the league.