Fresno State Bulldogs vs Nevada Wolf Pack Betting Pick & Prediction 10/18/24

At 10:30 ET, the Nevada Wolf Pack will host the Fresno State Bulldogs at Mackay Stadium in Reno. This week eight matchup will be broadcast on CBSS, and the Bulldogs come in as the slight -2.5-point favorites on the road. The money line odds have Fresno State at -141 and Nevada at +117, with the over/under line set at 51 points. Both teams are 3-3 on the season.

FRESNO STATE BULLDOGS VS NEVADA WOLF PACK BETTING PICK

The Pick: Fresno State Bulldogs -2.5

This game will be played at Mackay Stadium at 10:30 ET on Friday, October 18th.

WHY BET THE FRESNO STATE BULLDOGS:

• We have the Fresno State Bulldogs winning this one by a score of 26 to 22
• Not only do we have the Fresno State Bulldogs winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -2.5
• We see this game finishing below the line of 51 points

Will The Fresno State Bulldogs Pick Up A Win On The Road?

Fresno State heads into Week 8 against Nevada with a 3-3 record, ranked 82nd in our CFB power rankings. They have an 86.2% chance of becoming bowl-eligible but only a 2.9% chance of winning the Mountain West.

The Bulldogs are 2-0 as the favorite this season but 0-3 as the underdog. They have a +1.3 average scoring margin and are 3-2 against the spread, covering both times they’ve been favored.

Fresno State’s over/under record is 2-3, with their games averaging 56.3 points. This week’s line is 51 points, compared to their season average line of 53.1 points.

Fresno State’s offense is averaging 28.8 points per game heading into week 8, ranking 46th nationally. They are 103rd in our offensive power rankings. Mikey Keene has thrown for 1,576 yards, completing 66.5% of his passes, but has 8 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, with a passer rating of 86.

Fresno State is 25th in passing attempts per game and 21st in completions, averaging 270.8 passing yards per game. They are converting 36.4% of their third downs. Leading receiver Mac Dalena has 562 yards and 4 touchdowns. The Bulldogs are averaging 114.5 rushing yards per game.

Fresno State’s defense is currently ranked 60th in the nation, allowing 27.5 points per game. In their recent matchup against Washington State, they gave up 25 points, surrendering 295 total yards, including 123 rushing yards on 34 attempts and 172 passing yards, while also forcing an interception.

Opponents are averaging 144.5 rushing yards per game on 31.8 attempts against Fresno State, while quarterbacks have posted a 75.8 passer rating, completing 56.9% of their passes for an average of 207.8 yards per game.

Will The Nevada Wolf Pack Win At Home Over The Fresno State Bulldogs?

Nevada enters Week 8 against Fresno State with a 3-4 record and ranks 93rd in our power rankings. Despite their current record, they have a 63.8% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. At home, the Wolf Pack are 1-2, and they’ve gone 1-2 on the road this season.

Nevada has been the underdog in all seven games this season, but they’ve covered the spread in four out of six matchups, with an average scoring margin of +0.1 points per game. As underdogs, they are 4-1 against the spread.

The over/under line for this week’s game is 51 points. Nevada’s games have averaged 54.4 points, with an average over/under line of 49.8. Their over/under record stands at 3-3 for the season.

Nevada’s offense has been driven by their rushing attack, averaging 216.9 yards per game, ranking 6th nationally. They are 9th in rushing attempts, with Savion Red leading the way with 593 yards, seven touchdowns, and an average of 6 yards per carry. The Wolf Pack is 42nd in our offensive power rankings, scoring 27.3 points per game.

Brendon Lewis has thrown for 1,132 yards with nine touchdowns and five interceptions. Nevada ranks 3rd in third-down conversions, converting 55.2% of their attempts. Lewis has a passer rating of 91, and Nevada is 88th in passing yards per game. Jaden Smith has 407 receiving yards and three touchdowns.

Nevada’s defense has struggled this season, allowing 27.1 points per game. In their recent game against Oregon State, they gave up 37 points but still managed to win 42-37. The defense allowed 562 total yards, including 348 passing yards, but also forced four interceptions.

Opponents have averaged 256.4 passing yards per game against Nevada, ranking them 128th in the nation. Quarterbacks have completed 62.8% of their passes with an 86.8 passer rating. On the ground, Nevada has faced 31.3 rushing attempts per game, allowing an average of 151.7 rushing yards.