Appalachian State Mountaineers vs Louisiana Ragin Cajuns Betting Pick & Prediction 10/12/24

At 7:30 ET, this week seven matchup between the Louisiana Ragin Cajuns and Appalachian State Mountaineers will be played at Cajun Field in Lafayette. Louisiana comes in with a 4-1 record, while Appalachian State is 2-3. The game will be broadcast on ESPN+, and the over/under line is currently at 64.5 points. The Ragin Cajuns are the heavy favorite at -10.5 points.

APPALACHIAN STATE MOUNTAINEERS VS LOUISIANA RAGIN CAJUNS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Louisiana Ragin Cajuns -10.5

This game will be played at Cajun Field at 7:30 ET on Saturday, October 12th.

WHY BET THE LOUISIANA RAGIN CAJUNS:

• We have the Louisiana Ragin Cajuns winning this one by a score of 42 to 28
• Not only do we have the Louisiana Ragin Cajuns winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -10.5
• Look for this game to go over the line of 64.5 points

Will The Appalachian State Mountaineers Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs

Appalachian State enters Week 7 against Louisiana with a 2-3 record, ranked 101st in our power rankings. Their chances of becoming bowl-eligible stand at 13.4%. On the road, they are 1-2, while they’ve gone 0-1 at home this season.

The Mountaineers have been favored in two of their five games, going 1-1 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is -13 points per game, and they are 1-3 against the spread this season.

This week’s over/under line is 64.5 points, higher than any of their previous games. Appalachian State’s over/under record is 2-2, with an average line of 57.5 points and an average total of 65 points per game.

Appalachian State’s offense is centered around their passing game, ranking 8th in the nation in passing attempts per game. They are 21st in passing yards, averaging 253.8 yards per game. Joey Aguilar has thrown for 1,523 yards, and the team is 22nd in completions. Aguilar has 8 touchdown passes but also 5 interceptions, and his passer rating is 83.

The Mountaineers are 78th in scoring, with 21.7 points per game, and they are 88th in our offensive power rankings. Their third-down conversion rate is 33.8%, and they are 89th in rushing, averaging 120.2 yards per game. Anderson Castle leads the team with 184 rushing yards. Kaedin Robinson has 469 receiving yards on 32 catches but has not scored a touchdown.

Appalachian State’s defense has struggled this season, allowing an average of 32.5 points per game. In their recent game against Marshall, they gave up 52 points, including 241 rushing yards and three rushing touchdowns. Marshall also threw for 129 yards and three passing scores.

Opponents have averaged 219.2 rushing yards per game against Appalachian State, while quarterbacks have posted a 111 passer rating and completed 65% of their throws. On average, opposing offenses have attempted 36.2 rushes per game and 25 passes per game.

Are The Louisiana Ragin Cajuns Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?

Louisiana enters Week 7 with a 4-1 record, hosting Appalachian State. They are 2-0 on the road but 0-1 at home. The Ragin Cajuns have been favored in just one game this season and are ranked 79th in our power rankings. We project a 96.9% chance of them becoming bowl-eligible, while their odds of winning the Sun Belt stand at 9.8%.

Louisiana’s average scoring margin is +11.8 points per game, and they are 1-2 against the spread. They’ve covered once as underdogs (1-1 ATS) but are 0-1 against the spread as favorites this season.

This week’s over/under line is 64.5 points, higher than any of their previous games. Louisiana’s over/under record is 2-1, with their games averaging 56.6 points and an average line of 56.7 points.

Louisiana’s offense is averaging 34.2 points per game, which ranks 29th nationally, heading into week 7. However, they are 17th in our offensive power rankings. Ben Wooldridge has thrown for 1,214 yards and has a passer rating of 109. The team ranks 29th in passer rating and 19th in third-down conversion rate, converting 49.1% of their attempts.

Wooldridge has completed 69.4% of his passes this season, leading Louisiana to rank 12th in completion percentage. He has thrown 10 touchdowns and 3 interceptions. On the ground, the team is averaging 192.4 rushing yards per game. Bill Davis leads the rushing attack with 360 yards, averaging 6 yards per carry.

Louisiana’s defense was strong in their recent 23-13 win over Southern Miss, allowing just 13 points and 177 total yards. They held Southern Miss to 37 rushing yards on 19 attempts and 140 passing yards, while forcing 8 first downs.

On the season, Louisiana ranks 12th nationally, allowing just 147.2 passing yards per game. Opponents have averaged 148.6 rushing yards per game on 32.8 attempts.