Purdue Boilermakers vs Illinois Fighting Illini Betting Pick & Prediction 10/12/24

Illinois comes into this week seven matchup with a 4-1 record, while Purdue is looking to bounce back, sitting at just 1-4 on the season. The game is set for 3:30 ET at Memorial Stadium in Champaign, IL, and will be broadcast on FS1. Illinois is the heavy favorite at -19.5 points, with the over/under line currently at 49.5 points.

PURDUE BOILERMAKERS VS ILLINOIS FIGHTING ILLINI BETTING PICK

The Pick: Purdue Boilermakers +19.5

This game will be played at Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL) at 3:30 ET on Saturday, October 12th.

WHY BET THE PURDUE BOILERMAKERS:

• We have the Illinois Fighting Illini winning this one by a score of 28 to 20
• Even though we like the Illinois Fighting Illini to win, our ATS pick is to take the Purdue Boilermakers at +19.5
• We see this game finishing below the line of 49.5 points

Will The Purdue Boilermakers Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs

Purdue enters Week 7 against Illinois with a 1-4 record, ranking 114th in our power rankings. They have a 0% chance of becoming bowl-eligible this season.

The Boilermakers have not been favored in any of their games and have an average scoring margin of -18.2 points. Their ATS record stands at 0-4.

Purdue’s over/under record is 3-1, with their games averaging 55.4 points. The average over/under line is 47.4 points, while this week’s line is set at 49.5 points.

Heading into week 7, Purdue’s offense is averaging 18.6 points per game, placing them 124th in our offensive power rankings. Quarterback Hudson Card has thrown for 738 yards with seven touchdowns and four interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 88. Purdue ranks 118th in passing yards per game, averaging 161.2 yards.

They are converting just 30.5% of their third downs, and their rushing game is averaging 141 yards per game. Devin Mockobee leads the ground attack with 362 rushing yards, averaging 6 yards per carry. Receiver Jahmal Edrine has 103 receiving yards this season.

Purdue’s defense has struggled this season, allowing an average of 36.8 points per game. In their recent 52-6 loss to Wisconsin, they gave up 589 total yards, including 361 passing yards and 228 rushing yards. Wisconsin also scored four rushing touchdowns and three passing touchdowns, although Purdue did manage to force two interceptions.

Opponents have averaged 240.4 rushing yards per game against Purdue, while quarterbacks have posted a passer rating of 94.3. Purdue’s defense has faced the 13th fewest pass attempts in the country, but they’ve still allowed a 60.4% completion rate and 195 passing yards per game.

Are The Illinois Fighting Illini Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?

Illinois enters Week 7 against Purdue with a 4-1 record, ranked 47th in our power rankings. They have a 97.1% chance of becoming bowl-eligible but only a 0.2% shot at winning the Big Ten. At home, the Fighting Illini are 2-0 this season.

Illinois has been favored in just one game this season and holds a +13 average scoring margin. Their ATS record is 2-1, going 0-1 as the favorite and 2-0 as the underdog.

Their over/under record is 0-3, with Illinois games averaging 41.4 points. The average over/under line is 49.9 points, and this week’s line sits at 49.5 points.

Illinois’ offense ranks 52nd in our power rankings heading into week 7, averaging 27.2 points per game, which places them 58th nationally. Their run game has been underwhelming, with 132.8 rushing yards per game, ranking 95th. Kaden Feagin leads the team with 306 rushing yards, three touchdowns, and an average of 4 yards per carry.

Quarterback Luke Altmyer has thrown for 1,047 yards with 11 touchdowns and just one interception, boasting a passer rating of 118. Illinois ranks 16th in passer rating and 17th in completion percentage, connecting on 68.9% of their passes. They are 44th in completions, averaging 18.6 per game. Pat Bryant leads the receiving corps with 342 yards and six touchdowns on 22 catches.

Illinois’ defense has been a bright spot this season, ranking 11th nationally by allowing just 14.2 points per game. They’ve given up 133.6 rushing yards per game and 177.4 passing yards, with opposing quarterbacks posting a 68.1 passer rating.

In their recent game against Penn State, Illinois allowed 21 points, giving up 87 rushing yards and 237 passing yards. They forced no turnovers in the game.