Penn State Nittany Lions vs USC Trojans Betting Pick & Prediction 10/12/24

This article was published on Oct 8, 2024. Today’s picks College Football picks

Penn State Nittany Lions vs USC Trojans Betting Pick & Prediction 10/12/24

At 3:30 ET, Penn State and USC will face off at the Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum in Los Angeles. The game is being televised on CBS, and Penn State is coming in with a 5-0 record, while USC is 3-2. The Nittany Lions are favored at -5.5 points, with the over/under line set at 47.5 points for this week seven college football matchup.

PENN STATE NITTANY LIONS VS USC TROJANS BETTING PICK

The Pick: USC Trojans +5.5

This game will be played at Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum at 3:30 ET on Saturday, October 12th.

WHY BET THE USC TROJANS:

  • We have the USC Trojans winning this one by a score of 30 to 25
  • Not only do we have the USC Trojans winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +5.5
  • Look for this game to go over the line of 47.5 points

Will The Penn State Nittany Lions Win As Road Favorites?

Undefeated at 5-0, Penn State heads into Week 7 against USC ranked 9th in our power rankings. They have a 100% chance of being bowl-eligible and a 12.6% shot at winning the Big Ten. The Nittany Lions also have a 62.8% chance of making the CFB playoff, the 7th best odds in the nation.

Penn State has been favored in all five games this season, going 2-3 against the spread with a +23 average scoring margin. They are 1-3 ATS at home and 1-0 on the road.

The over/under line for this week is 47.5 points. Penn State’s games have averaged 45.8 points, and their over/under record is 1-4, with an average line of 50.8 points.

Heading into week 7, Penn State’s offense is averaging 34.4 points per game, ranking 28th nationally. However, they are 16th in our offensive power rankings. Their run game is strong, with 220.6 rushing yards per game on 39.8 attempts.

Nicholas Singleton leads the ground attack with 408 yards, averaging 7 yards per carry, and has scored three touchdowns. Quarterback Drew Allar has thrown for 1,101 yards with nine touchdowns and one interception, giving him a passer rating of 130.

Penn State’s defense has been impressive this season, ranking 7th nationally by allowing just 11.4 points per game. In their latest game, they held UCLA to 11 points, giving up only 260 total yards, including 93 rushing yards on 29 attempts and 167 passing yards.

Opponents have averaged 81.4 rushing yards per game against Penn State, the 8th lowest in the country. Quarterbacks have managed a 70.1 passer rating, completing 53.4% of their passes for an average of 157 yards per game, which ranks 16th nationally.

Are The USC Trojans Going Win In At Upset At Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum

USC enters Week 7 with a 3-2 record, ranked 13th in our CFB power rankings. They are unbeaten at home (3-0) but winless on the road (0-2). The Trojans have been favored in four of their five games, going 2-2 as the favorite. They have a 93.7% chance of becoming bowl-eligible but only a 0.7% chance of winning the Big Ten.

Against the spread, USC is 3-2, with a perfect 3-0 record at home and 0-2 on the road. As the favorite, they are 2-2 ATS, and they’ve covered in all three home games.

USC’s over/under record is 2-3, with their games averaging 49.2 points. Their average over/under line is 54.3 points, and this week’s line is set at 47.5 points.

USC’s offense is averaging 30.8 points per game heading into week 7, placing them 42nd nationally. They rank 29th in our offensive power rankings. The Trojans are 7th in passing attempts, with 42.4 per game, and 9th in completions, averaging 27.4. They are converting 51.5% of their third downs, which ranks 10th. USC is 27th in passing yards, averaging 292.8 per game, and they are 36th in completion percentage at 64.6%. Their rushing game ranks 80th, with 151.4 yards per game.

Miller Moss leads the team with 1,398 passing yards and a passer rating of 91, matching the team’s overall rating. He has thrown nine touchdowns and four interceptions. Woody Marks leads the rushing attack with 468 yards and four touchdowns, averaging 5 yards per carry. Ja’Kobi Lane has 234 receiving yards and four touchdowns on 21 catches.

USC’s defense has allowed 18.4 points per game this season, ranking 22nd nationally. In their recent 24-17 loss to Minnesota, they gave up 24 points, including three rushing touchdowns, while allowing 364 total yards, 195 of which came on the ground.

Opponents have averaged 158.4 passing yards per game against USC, ranking 19th in the country, and 158.4 rushing yards per game. Quarterbacks have completed 66.2% of their passes against USC, with a passer rating of 80.