Florida Gators vs Tennessee Volunteers Betting Pick & Prediction 10/12/24

At 7:00 ET, Tennessee is set to host Florida at Neyland Stadium in Knoxville for what should be an exciting week seven matchup. The game will be broadcast on ESPN, and the over/under line is currently at 54.5 points. Tennessee is the -15.5 point favorite at home, with the Gators coming in with a 3-2 record and the Volunteers at 4-1 for the season.

FLORIDA GATORS VS TENNESSEE VOLUNTEERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Florida Gators +15.5

This game will be played at Neyland Stadium at 7:00 ET on Saturday, October 12th.

WHY BET THE FLORIDA GATORS:

• We have the Tennessee Volunteers winning this one by a score of 29 to 22
• Even though we like the Tennessee Volunteers to win, our ATS pick is to take the Florida Gators at +15.5
• We see this game finishing below the line of 54.5 points

Will The Florida Gators Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs

Florida enters Week 7 against Tennessee with a 3-2 record, ranked 36th in our CFB power rankings. They’ve gone 1-2 at home and 1-0 on the road. The Gators have only been favored in one game this season, and their chances of becoming bowl-eligible stand at 31.7%.

Florida’s ATS record is 2-2, with a 1-0 mark on the road and 1-2 at home. They’ve been favored in just one game, covering the spread, and their average scoring margin is +5.8 points per game.

The Gators’ over/under record is 3-1, with their games averaging 54.6 points. This week’s line is set at 54.5 points, with two games featuring higher totals and three with lower lines.

Heading into week 7, Florida’s offense is averaging 30.2 points per game, placing them 46th nationally. They are 30th in our offensive power rankings. Their passing game ranks 46th, with 268.6 yards per game, and they are 37th in completions, averaging 20 per game. Florida ranks 3rd in completion percentage at 73.5% and 24th in passer rating.

DJ Lagway has thrown for 667 yards with a passer rating of 111. He has four touchdowns and three interceptions. Montrell Johnson Jr. leads the rushing attack with 288 yards and four touchdowns, averaging 5 yards per carry. Florida ranks 87th in rushing, with 145.2 yards per game. Elijhah Badger has 346 receiving yards and two touchdowns.

Florida’s defense played well in their latest game, a 24-13 win over UCF, allowing just 13 points. They gave up 273 total yards, including 108 rushing yards on 40 attempts and 165 passing yards, while also forcing an interception.

On the season, Florida’s defense is ranked 43rd nationally, allowing 24.4 points per game. Opponents are averaging 172.8 rushing yards per game, ranking Florida 123rd, and 222.4 passing yards per game. Quarterbacks have a 97.6 passer rating against Florida, completing 63.4% of their passes.

Are The Tennessee Volunteers Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?

The Tennessee Volunteers enter Week 7 with a 4-1 record, ranked 6th in our power rankings. They have a 99.9% chance of being bowl-eligible and a 6.7% chance of winning the Southeastern. Tennessee also holds the 11th best odds to make the playoff at 47.5% and the 6th best odds to win the national championship at 4.4%.

Tennessee is 1-0 at home and 2-1 on the road this season. They’ve been favored in four of their five games, going 3-1 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is +36.6 points per game, and they’ve covered the spread in three of four games this season.

The over/under line for this week’s game is 54.5 points. Tennessee’s games have averaged 55.4 points, with an average over/under line of 58.9 points. They are 2-2 against the over/under this season, with four games having higher lines than this week’s total.

Heading into week 7, Tennessee’s offense is 4th in the nation in scoring, averaging 46 points per game. They are also 9th in rushing, with 270 yards per game on 46 attempts. Dylan Sampson leads the team with 589 rushing yards and 12 touchdowns, averaging 6 yards per carry.

Quarterback Nico Iamaleava has thrown for 1,048 yards, completing 66.4% of his passes, with seven touchdowns and two interceptions. Tennessee ranks 22nd in third-down conversions, converting 48.1% of their attempts. Iamaleava’s passer rating is 107. Dont’e Thornton Jr. has 284 receiving yards and three touchdowns.

Tennessee’s defense has been a strong point this season, ranking 4th nationally by allowing just 9.4 points per game. They’ve also given up only 81.4 rushing yards per game, the 8th fewest in the country, and 159.6 passing yards per game, ranking 20th.

In their recent game against Arkansas, Tennessee allowed 19 points in a 19-14 loss. Arkansas gained 436 total yards, including 297 passing yards, but Tennessee’s defense did not allow a passing touchdown.