Texas Longhorns vs Oklahoma Sooners Betting Pick & Prediction 10/12/24

ABC will be covering the Texas Longhorns vs. Oklahoma Sooners matchup, set for 3:30 ET on Saturday, October 12th, at the Cotton Bowl in Dallas. This is technically a neutral site game, even though it’s being played in Dallas. The Longhorns are the -14.5-point favorites, with the over/under line currently set at 49 points. Oklahoma comes in with a 4-1 record, while Texas is 5-0 this season.

TEXAS LONGHORNS VS OKLAHOMA SOONERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Oklahoma Sooners +14.5

This game will be played at Cotton Bowl at 3:30 ET on Saturday, October 12th.

WHY BET THE OKLAHOMA SOONERS:

• We have the Texas Longhorns winning this one by a score of 29 to 23
• Even though we like the Texas Longhorns to win, our ATS pick is to take the Oklahoma Sooners at +14.5
• Look for this game to go over the line of 49 points

Will The Texas Longhorns Take Care Of Business As The Favorite?

Texas enters Week 7 against Oklahoma with a perfect 5-0 record, holding the top spot in our power rankings. They have a 100% chance of becoming bowl-eligible and a 46% chance of winning the Southeastern. The Longhorns also have a 91.4% chance of making the playoff, according to our projections.

Texas has been favored in all five games this season, going 5-0 with an average scoring margin of +38 points. They are 4-1 against the spread, covering three out of four games at home and their only road game.

The over/under line for this week is set at 49 points. Texas games have averaged 52 points, with an average line of 54.4 points. Their over/under record is 3-2, with four games having higher lines than this week’s total.

Texas’s passing game has been the focal point of their offense, ranking 16th nationally with 322 yards per game. Arch Manning has thrown for 900 yards, completing 70.5% of his passes, and has nine touchdowns to two interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 136. Isaiah Bond leads the receiving corps with 364 yards and three touchdowns.

Overall, Texas is 6th in scoring, averaging 45 points per game, and they are 9th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 7. They have converted 51.7% of their third downs and are 8th in completion percentage at 71.4%, while also ranking 6th in passer rating.

Texas’ defense has been impressive this season, ranking second in the nation by allowing just 7 points per game. In their latest game, a 35-13 win over Mississippi State, they gave up only 13 points. The defense allowed 294 total yards, including 150 rushing yards on 50 attempts and 144 passing yards.

Opposing quarterbacks have struggled against Texas, managing a passer rating of just 49.5, the third-lowest in the country. Texas ranks fourth nationally in passing yards allowed, giving up only 121.2 yards per game, and they’ve also held opponents to 107.4 rushing yards per game, which ranks 31st.

Will Home Field Advantage Help The Oklahoma Sooners Upset The Texas Longhorns?

Oklahoma enters Week 7 against Texas with a 4-1 record, ranking 17th in our CFB power rankings. They have a 94.2% chance of becoming bowl-eligible and a 13.6% shot at making the CFB playoff. The Sooners are 3-1 at home this season.

Oklahoma is 3-0 as the favorite and 1-1 as the underdog, with an average scoring margin of +12.6 points per game. Against the spread, they are 3-2, going 2-2 at home and 1-0 on the road.

The Sooners’ over/under record is 2-3, with their games averaging 44.6 points. Their average over/under line is 51.3 points, and this week’s line is set at 49 points.

Oklahoma’s offense has struggled heading into week 7, ranking 100th in our offensive power rankings. They are 50th in scoring, with 28.6 points per game, and their third-down conversion rate is just 26.5%, placing them 115th nationally. Their passing game ranks 114th, averaging 169.2 yards per game.

Jackson Arnold leads the team with 538 passing yards, seven touchdowns, and three interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 84. Jovantae Barnes has rushed for 199 yards, averaging 3 yards per carry. Deion Burks has 201 receiving yards and three touchdowns.

Oklahoma’s defense has been solid this season, ranking 15th nationally by allowing just 16 points per game. In their recent matchup against Auburn, they gave up 21 points but managed to keep Auburn’s passing game in check, allowing 200 yards and no passing touchdowns.

On average, opponents have rushed 39.4 times per game against Oklahoma, gaining 108.4 yards per game, which ranks 32nd in the nation. Through the air, Oklahoma has allowed 218.6 passing yards per game, with quarterbacks completing 61.3% of their passes.