New Mexico State Aggies vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks Betting Pick & Prediction 10/9/24

The Jacksonville State Gamecocks are the heavy favorite in this week seven matchup against the New Mexico State Aggies, with the point spread set at -20.5. The game is scheduled for Wednesday, October 9th, with a 7:30 ET kick-off at Burgess-Snow Field at JSU Stadium in Jacksonville. ESPN2 will be covering the action, and the over/under line is at 57.5 points. The Aggies come in with a 1-4 record, while the Gamecocks are 2-3 on the season.

NEW MEXICO STATE AGGIES VS JACKSONVILLE STATE GAMECOCKS BETTING PICK

The Pick: New Mexico State Aggies +20.5

This game will be played at Burgess-Snow Field at JSU Stadium at 7:30 ET on Wednesday, October 9th.

WHY BET THE NEW MEXICO STATE AGGIES:

• We have the Jacksonville State Gamecocks winning this one by a score of 41 to 24
• Even though we like the Jacksonville State Gamecocks to win, our ATS pick is to take the New Mexico State Aggies at +20.5
• Look for this game to go over the line of 57.5 points

Will The New Mexico State Aggies Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs

New Mexico State enters Week 7 with a 1-4 record, facing Jacksonville State. They rank 131st in our CFB power rankings and have just a 1.2% chance of becoming bowl-eligible this season.

The Aggies have been underdogs in all five games, going 0-4 in those matchups. Their average scoring margin is -15.4 points per game, and they are 1-3 against the spread.

This week’s over/under line is 57.5 points, higher than any of their previous games. New Mexico State’s average over/under line has been 50 points, with their games averaging 54.6 points.

New Mexico State’s offense has struggled this season, averaging just 19.6 points per game, which ranks 84th in the nation. Heading into week 7, they are 127th in our offensive power rankings. Their passing game has been particularly weak, averaging 108.4 yards per game, and they are last in the country in passer rating. Overall, they are converting 32.9% of their third-down attempts.

Santino Marucci leads the team with 268 passing yards, completing 47.5% of his throws with two touchdowns and two interceptions. On the ground, New Mexico State is averaging 155.8 rushing yards per game. Seth McGowan has rushed for 334 yards, averaging 5 yards per carry, and has scored two touchdowns.

New Mexico State’s defense struggled in their recent game, allowing 50 points in a 50-40 loss to New Mexico. They gave up 583 total yards, including 335 rushing yards and seven rushing touchdowns, though they did hold New Mexico’s passing attack to 248 yards and no passing touchdowns.

On the season, New Mexico State is allowing 35 points per game. Opponents are averaging 229 passing yards per game with a 52.8% completion rate, while the defense has given up 235 rushing yards per game, ranking 169th nationally.

Are The Jacksonville State Gamecocks Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?

Jacksonville State enters Week 7 with a 2-3 record, hosting New Mexico State. They are ranked 91st in our power rankings, but have an 80.4% chance of becoming bowl-eligible this season.

The Gamecocks have been favored in two of their five games, going 1-1 as the favorite. They have a +2 average scoring margin and are 1-2 against the spread this season.

This week’s over/under line is set at 57.5 points. Jacksonville State’s games have averaged 70.8 points, with an average over/under line of 56.1 points, and their over/under record is 2-1.

Jacksonville State’s offense is averaging 36.4 points per game heading into week 7, placing them 22nd in the nation. They rank 57th in our offensive power rankings. Their run game is their strength, with 210.2 rushing yards per game on 38.6 attempts.

Tre Stewart leads the team with 354 rushing yards and eight touchdowns, averaging 5 yards per carry. Quarterback Tyler Huff has thrown for 1,073 yards, completing 67.2% of his passes, with five touchdowns and four interceptions.

Jacksonville State’s defense allowed 24 points in their win over Kennesaw State, giving up 276 total yards. They forced three interceptions and limited Kennesaw State to 81 passing yards on 7 completions, while allowing 195 rushing yards on 44 attempts.

Opponents have averaged 34.4 points per game against Jacksonville State this season. The Gamecocks have allowed 198.4 rushing yards per game and 228.6 passing yards, with quarterbacks completing 59.2% of their passes and posting an 87.1 passer rating.