Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs San Diego State Aztecs Betting Pick & Prediction 10/5/24

At 8:00 ET, the San Diego State Aztecs will host the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors at Snapdragon Stadium in San Diego. The game will be broadcast on CBSS, and the Aztecs are the -2.5 point favorites at home. The over/under line is currently at 46.5 points. The Aztecs are 1-3 on the season, while the Rainbow Warriors are 2-2.

HAWAII RAINBOW WARRIORS VS SAN DIEGO STATE AZTECS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Hawaii Rainbow Warriors +2.5

This game will be played at Snapdragon Stadium at 8:00 ET on Saturday, October 5th.

WHY BET THE HAWAII RAINBOW WARRIORS:

• We have the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors winning this one by a score of 25 to 23
• Not only do we have the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +2.5
• Look for this game to go over the line of 46.5 points

Will The Hawaii Rainbow Warriors Pick Up A Win On The Road?

Hawaii enters Week 6 against San Diego State with a 2-2 record, ranked 109th in our power rankings. They have a 25.9% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. So far, they are 0-1 on the road and 0-1 at home this season.

The Rainbow Warriors have a +7.2 average scoring margin and are 1-1 against the spread. They’ve been underdogs in all four games, going 1-0 ATS at home and 0-1 on the road.

Their over/under record is 0-2, with an average line of 50.5 points. This week’s line is 46.5 points, and their games have averaged 41.2 points per contest.

Hawaii’s offense has been focused on the passing game, ranking 26th in passing attempts per game and 27th in completions. They are 59th in passing yards, averaging 265.2 yards per game, and are 69th in scoring, with 24.2 points per game. We have them ranked 106th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 6.

Brayden Schager has thrown for 1,056 yards this season, with eight touchdowns and five interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 83. Pofele Ashlock leads the receivers with 351 yards and three touchdowns on 32 catches. Hawaii’s run game has struggled, averaging 96.8 rushing yards per game.

Hawaii’s defense has been a bright spot this season, ranking 18th nationally by allowing just 17 points per game. In their recent matchup against Northern Iowa, they gave up only 7 points, allowing 199 total yards, including 72 rushing yards on 23 attempts and 127 passing yards.

Opponents are averaging 127 rushing yards per game on 30.5 attempts and 180 passing yards against Hawaii’s defense. Quarterbacks have completed 58.6% of their passes with a passer rating of 78.3 when facing the Rainbow Warriors.

Will The San Diego State Aztecs Win At Home Over The Hawaii Rainbow Warriors?

San Diego State enters Week 6 with a 1-3 record, facing Hawaii at home. They rank 113th in our power rankings, and their chances of becoming bowl-eligible stand at 14.2%. So far, they are 0-1 at home and 0-2 on the road this season.

The Aztecs have a -3 average scoring margin and are 1-2 against the spread. They’ve been the underdog in all four games this season, with an ATS record of 1-2 in those matchups.

This week’s over/under line is 46.5 points. San Diego State’s games have averaged 41 points, and their average over/under line has been 49.8 points, with their over/under record at 0-3.

San Diego State’s offense has struggled this season, averaging just 19 points per game, which ranks 82nd in the nation. They are 128th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 6. Their rushing game is 101st nationally, with 138.5 yards per game, despite 36.2 attempts per game. Marquez Cooper leads the team with 474 rushing yards, three touchdowns, and an average of 4 yards per carry.

Quarterback Danny O’Neil has thrown for 567 yards and four touchdowns without any interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 97. San Diego State ranks 107th in passing yards per game. They are converting 34.5% of their third downs. Louis Brown IV has 309 receiving yards and one touchdown this season.

San Diego State’s defense has allowed an average of 22 points per game this season, ranking 30th nationally. In their recent game against Central Michigan, they gave up 22 points, allowing 452 total yards, including 298 passing yards and 154 rushing yards.

Opponents have averaged 199 passing yards per game against San Diego State, completing 65.8% of their passes. The Aztecs’ defense has also allowed 189 rushing yards per game, ranking 132nd in the country.