San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Pick & Prediction 9/25/24
The Padres and Dodgers are facing off in an NL West matchup at 10:10 PM ET at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, and the Dodgers are the betting favorite on the money line at -142. The money line odds for a Padres win are sitting at +120, and the over/under line is at 7.5 runs.
San Diego comes into the game on a five-game winning streak, and their record of 91-66 has them second in the NL West. The Dodgers are 1st in the division at 93-64.
LOS ANGELES DODGERS VS SAN DIEGO PADRES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers Moneyline -142
This game will be played at Dodger Stadium at 10:10 ET on Wednesday, September 25th.
HOW TO BET THE PADRES VS DODGERS:
- We have the Dodgers winning by a score of 6 to 5
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Padres to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
San Diego picked up a 4-2 road win over the Dodgers in the most recent game of this series. The Padres offense got off to a fast start, scoring two runs in the first and adding two more in the 2nd. On the other side, the Dodgers got on the board with one run in the 4th and added their final run in the 9th.
Michael King only went five innings for the Padres but didn’t give up a run and picked up the win. He finished the game with just three strikeouts and allowed two walks. Robert Suarez got the save. Landon Knack had a rough outing for the Dodgers, taking the loss.
Jake Cronenworth and Xander Bogaerts each homered for the Padres, while Will Smith went 2/3 with an RBI for the Dodgers. Teoscar Hernandez also had a two-hit game at the plate.
Padres Records & Stats
Having won five straight games, the Padres are 91-66 overall and trail the Dodgers by two games in the NL West. San Diego took the series opener vs. the Dodgers and is 25-22 in divisional games this year. The Padres have been red hot, going 9-1 over their last 10 games.
San Diego has been good at home this year, going 45-36 and are 46-30 on the road. As the road underdog, the Padres have gone 24-16 this year and are 31-24 as the underdog overall. San Diego has also been good as the favorite, putting together a mark of 60-42 this year. The Padres’ overall series record is 29-15-6, and they have won three straight series.
San Diego has been a good bet on the run line this season, going 81-76 overall. They’ve been especially good on the run line on the road, going 48-28. They’ve been even better as the underdog, going 38-17. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.6 runs, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.5 runs.
The San Diego Padres are on the road today against the Los Angeles Dodgers. The over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs. The combined run average for Padres games this season is 8.8 runs per game. The Padres have an over/under record of 80-73 this season. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, the Padres have a record of 24-25. Overall, 57.3% of Padres games this season have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs. The Padres have gone under the total in their last two games.
Dylan Cease has been pitching well for the Padres, as he has won his last two starts. Most recently, he faced the Astros and went 8 1/3 innings, giving up no runs and picking up the win. Against the Astros, he only allowed two hits and didn’t give up a walk. Cease’s ERA for the season is 3.42, along with a record of 14-11. Cease has made 32 starts, and opponents are batting .194 this season. Cease has one complete game shutout and 16 quality starts this year.
San Diego comes into the game with the league’s top batting average at .265 and is also the top home run-hitting team in the league. Overall, they are 8th in runs per game at 4.7. The Padres have been even better on the road this season, averaging 5.1 runs per game.
Manny Machado and Jurickson Profar are the Padres’ top power threats this season, with Machado’s 29 homers leading the team and Profar right behind him with 24. Profar has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 10/28 in his last eight games. Machado has three homers in this stretch. Luis Arraez and Jackson Merrill are also having good seasons, with batting averages of .316 and .292, respectively.
Dodgers Records & Stats
Los Angeles is 93-64 overall this season, and they lead the NL West by two games over the Padres. The Dodgers are 26-21 in divisional matchups this year. At home, the Dodgers are 50-29 and have gone 43-35 on the road.
So far, the Dodgers have been the favorite in most of their games, going 88-52 in those matchups. As the underdog, Los Angeles is just 5-12 this year. They come into today’s game having won two straight series and are 30-16-4 in series this year.
When betting the Dodgers on the run line, it’s been a coin flip this season as they are 78-79. At home, they are 39-40 on the run line, while on the road, they are 39-39. As the favorite, they are 71-69 on the run line, but as the underdog, they are just 7-10. Their average run margin this season is +0.8 runs per game.
When the Los Angeles Dodgers host the San Diego Padres, the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs. The Dodgers have played in 131 games with over/under lines higher than 7.5 runs, which accounts for 83.4% of their games this season. Their games have had an average combined run total of 9.4 runs per game, and their over/under record is 87-66. When the line is set at 7.5 runs, their over/under record is 14-9.
Right-hander Jack Flaherty gets the start for the Dodgers today and comes in with a record of 13-7 and an ERA of 3.10. This year, he has made 27 starts, and opponents are batting .216 off him. Flaherty has turned in 15 quality starts and is averaging 10.83 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, he picked up the win, going six innings and giving up three earned runs on two homers. Before that, he had won three straight starts. Flaherty’s ERA on the road is 3.27 compared to 3.37 at home.
Shohei Ohtani has been on a tear of late, going 19/41 in his last 10 games with six homers and 19 RBIs. For the season, he is hitting .301 with a league-leading 123 RBIs and is 2nd in the MLB with 53 homers. Ohtani also has a seven-game hitting streak coming into the game. Teoscar Hernandez is also a significant power threat for the Dodgers, as he is 11th in the league with 31 homers.
As a team, the Dodgers are 2nd in the league in scoring at 5.1 runs per game and have been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. Overall, they are the top-ranked team in terms of slugging percentage and OPS. The Dodgers lineup is also the league’s best in terms of isolated power, with a collective ISO of .188.