Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans Betting Pick & Prediction 9/29/24

The Jaguars are +250 on the money line as they prepare to face the Texans at 1:00 ET on Sunday, September 29th at NRG Stadium in Houston. The Texans are heavily favored at -313 on the money line, and their record is ____. The Texans are -7 point favorites, and the over/under line is 45.5 points. This AFC South matchup is being televised on CBS.

JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS VS HOUSTON TEXANS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Jacksonville Jaguars +7

This game will be played at NRG Stadium at 1:00 ET on Sunday, September 29th.

WHY BET THE JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS:

• We have the Jaguars winning this one by a score of 26 to 18
• Not only do we have the Jaguars winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +7
• We see this game finishing below the line of 45.5 points

Will The Jaguars Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs

The Jaguars are still searching for their first win of the season after a 47-10 loss to the Bills, dropping them to 0-3 for the season. Not only did they lose, but they were also blown out, trailing 13-0 after the 1st quarter and 34-3 at halftime. The 37-point defeat was much worse than expected, as the Jaguars were only 4-point underdogs heading into the game.

Jacksonville did manage to find the endzone in the 3rd quarter with a touchdown from Trevor Lawrence to Christian Kirk. However, by that point, the score was already 37-10 in favor of the Bills. Buffalo added a field goal in the 3rd, and two more in the 4th to secure the win. The over/under line for the game was 46.5, and the teams combined for 57 points.

Jacksonville’s offense struggled to protect Trevor Lawrence in their most recent game, as he was sacked five times in a 47-10 loss to the Buffalo Bills. Lawrence finished with 178 yards passing on 21 completions, with one touchdown and one interception. The Jaguars managed just 92 yards on 17 rushing attempts.

Christian Kirk led the Jaguars with 79 yards receiving on eight catches. The team had 19 first downs and 388 total yards. Lawrence’s passer rating was 65 in the blowout loss, and the Jaguars were just 1-of-13 on third down.

Buffalo’s passing attack was extremely efficient against the Jaguars, as they completed 82.6% of their passes for 266 yards and four touchdowns. Jacksonville’s defense struggled to generate any pressure, finishing with no sacks and losing the quarterback hit differential by -8. The Jaguars also failed to force a single incomplete pass in the game.

Overall, the Jaguars gave up 47 points in a blowout loss to the Bills. On the ground, Buffalo ran for 122 yards on 29 attempts, averaging 4.2 yards per attempt. Additionally, the Jaguars allowed Buffalo to convert on 54.5% of their third down attempts.

Are The Texans Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?

Looking at the Texans most recent game, they were blown out by the Vikings, losing 34-7. Houston, who was 2-1 going into the game, was on the road for this one. They were favored by -1.5, but their 27-point loss was well below expectations. The Texans were down 14-0 after the 1st quarter and 21-0 by halftime.

After falling behind 24-0, the Texans finally got on the board late in the 3rd quarter when C.J. Stroud found Nico Collins for a touchdown. However, the Vikings responded with a score of their own, putting the game out of reach. Houston didn’t score at all in the 4th quarter.

Struggling to establish the run, the Texans managed only 38 yards on 14 attempts in their 34-7 loss to the Vikings. Offensively, they finished with 17 first downs and 274 yards. Houston’s passing game was their only source of yardage, with quarterback C.J. Stroud throwing for 215 yards on 20 completions. Stroud was also picked off twice and finished with a passer rating of 68.

Stefon Diggs was the leading receiver for Houston, with 94 yards on 10 catches. The Texans’ inability to protect the quarterback was evident, as they allowed five sacks and struggled on third down, converting just 28.6% of their chances.

In their most recent game, the Texans’ defense allowed the Vikings to score four passing touchdowns while not allowing a single completion. This led to a 34-7 loss for Houston. The Texans’ defense did manage to sack the quarterback four times and held the Vikings to 46.2% on third down, but they still gave up 118 rushing yards and 156 yards on just four completions.

The Texans’ defense held the Vikings to 274 total yards, but the big plays went against them, as all four of Minnesota’s completions went for touchdowns. Despite the four sacks, Houston lost the quarterback hit differential and the tackles for loss differential to the Vikings.