Washington Nationals vs New York Mets Betting Pick & Prediction 9/18/24

Wednesday’s matchup between the Nationals and Mets has a first pitch set for 7:10 PM ET from Citi Field in New York, NY. The Nationals are 68-83, putting them 4th in the NL East, while the Mets have won two straight and their overall record of 83-68 has them 2nd in the division.

New York is favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -170 compared to the Nationals at +144. The over/under line is currently 7.5 runs, and MASN will be televising this game.

NEW YORK METS VS WASHINGTON NATIONALS BETTING PICK

The Pick: New York Mets Moneyline -170

This game will be played at Citi Field at 7:10 ET on Wednesday, September 18th.

HOW TO BET THE NATIONALS VS METS:

• We have the Mets winning by a score of 5 to 4
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Nationals to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

New York cruised to a 10-1 win over the Nationals in the most recent game of this series. The Mets had a huge 3rd inning, scoring four of their ten runs. As for the Nationals, they scored their only run in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Mets were favored at -171 on the money line.

Tylor Megill pitched well for the Mets in this one, going six innings and striking out four without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Mitchell Parker only went 3 2/3 innings for the Nationals, giving up five earned runs and took the loss.

Pete Alonso and Luisangel Acuna each homered for the Mets, while Francisco Alvarez went 1/3 with three RBIs and two runs scored. Jose Iglesias also had a three-hit game at the plate.

Nationals Records & Stats

With an overall record of 68-83, the Nationals are 4th in the NL East and trail the Phillies by 23 games for the division lead. Currently, they are on a two-game losing streak, having dropped the first two games of this series vs. the Mets. Washington’s record vs. other NL East teams is 23-25 this season.

At home, the Nationals are 36-39 this season, and they are 32-44 on the road. As the underdog, the Nationals are 53-70 this season compared to 15-13 as the favorite. Their overall series record is 19-22-6 heading into today’s game vs. the Mets.

Washington’s run line record is 84-67 overall, and 44-32 on the road. They have a run line record of 71-52 when they are the underdog, but are just 13-15 when they are the favorite. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.3, while it is -3.8 in losing games.

The Washington Nationals are on the road today against the New York Mets, with the over/under line set at 7.5 runs. The combined run average for Nationals games this season is 8.9 runs, and their over/under record is 71-74. The average over/under line for their games is 9 runs, and when the line is set at 7.5 runs, their over/under record is 17-10. Overall, 80.8% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs, with only 1.3% of games having lower lines.

Washington is sending DJ Herz to the mound today vs. the Mets, and he comes in with a record of 4-7 and an ERA of 3.70. So far, he has made 17 starts, and opponents are batting .214 off the right-hander this season. Herz has made two quality starts and is averaging 10.98 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Herz went five innings, giving up one earned run, and got the win. He has won each of his last two starts. Against the Mets, Herz is 0-1 with a 5.29 ERA in two appearances.

Washington’s offense has been near the bottom of the league this season, averaging just 4.1 runs per game (23rd) and are also 24th in home runs. As a team, they are batting .243, which is 11th in the league, and are 5th in the league in fewest strikeouts per game. Heading into the game, both CJ Abrams and Luis Garcia Jr. are tied for the team lead with 65 RBIs, with Abrams also leading the team with 20 homers. Garcia Jr. comes into the game with a batting average of .280.

Both Dylan Crews and James Wood have struggled at the plate for the Nationals of late, with Crews going 5/20 in his last five games and Wood going 4/19. Wood does have two homers in this stretch, but he also has three RBIs. Lane Thomas and CJ Abrams are both on three-game hitting streaks.

Mets Records & Stats

The Mets are currently eight games behind the Phillies in the NL East, and they are 83-68 overall. New York has won two straight games, and they are 6-4 across their last 10. So far, they have gone 25-19 against other teams in the NL East this year.

At home, the Mets are 42-34 compared to 41-34 on the road. As the favorite, the Mets have gone 55-37 this year, and they are 28-31 as the underdog. New York has won two straight games as the home favorite. Currently, they are 25-17-8 in series this year.

The Mets have been a solid run line bet this season, going 76-75 overall. They are 42-33 on the run line on the road, where they have an average run margin of +0.5 runs per game. They are just 34-42 on the run line at home, where their average run margin is also +0.5 runs per game.

The New York Mets are playing host to the Washington Nationals today, and oddsmakers have set the over/under line for the game at 7.5 runs. This season, the Mets have played in 105 games with higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs, which accounts for 69.5% of their games. Their games have averaged a combined 9.0 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 75-71.

New York is sending left-hander Jose Quintana to the mound today vs. the Nationals. Quintana has made 29 starts this year and has a record of 9-9 with a 3.91 ERA. So far, he has turned in 11 quality starts and is averaging 6.91 strikeouts per nine innings. In his 29 appearances, Quintana has only allowed 22 home runs. Looking back at his last outing, Quintana pitched seven scoreless innings, picking up the win. He has won each of his last three starts. Before that, he had given up at least one earned run in five straight outings. Opponents are batting .237 off Quintana this year.

Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso have been the Mets’ most consistent power threats this season, as they are 2nd and 1st on the team in home runs, respectively. Alonso comes into the game ranked 9th in the league in homers, while Lindor’s 86 RBIs are the best on the team. Lindor has also been swinging a good bat of late, hitting .240 over his last eight games, with three homers. Jose Iglesias has also been hot of late, going 13/30 in his last eight games.

Overall, the Mets have been a good offensive team this season, averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 7th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. As a team, the Mets are 5th in home runs and have the 9th best team batting average in the league.