New Mexico State Aggies vs Sam Houston Bearkats Betting Pick & Prediction 9/21/24

ESPN+ will be covering the week four matchup between the New Mexico State Aggies and Sam Houston Bearkats, set to kick off at 7:00 ET from Elliot T. Bowers Stadium in Huntsville. The over/under line is currently set at 43.5 points, with the Bearkats favored by -16.5. The Aggies enter the game with a 1-2 record, while the Bearkats are 2-1 on the season.

NEW MEXICO STATE AGGIES VS SAM HOUSTON BEARKATS BETTING PICK

The Pick: New Mexico State Aggies +16.5

This game will be played at Elliot T. Bowers Stadium at 7:00 ET on Saturday, September 21st.

WHY BET THE NEW MEXICO STATE AGGIES:

• We have the Sam Houston Bearkats winning this one by a score of 26 to 18
• Even though we like the Sam Houston Bearkats to win, our ATS pick is to take the New Mexico State Aggies at +16.5
• Look for this game to go over the line of 43.5 points

Will The New Mexico State Aggies Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs

New Mexico State is looking to bounce back after being shut out 48-0 by Fresno State on the road. The Aggies, who were +20.5 point underdogs, not only lost straight-up but also failed to cover the spread. This defeat dropped New Mexico State’s record to 1-2 for the season.

The over/under line for the game was 47.5 points, and with the teams combining for 48 points, the over hit. The Aggies fell behind 14-0 in the first quarter and were down 31-0 by halftime. Fresno State added 17 more points in the third quarter, and New Mexico State’s defense held them scoreless in the fourth.

New Mexico State’s offense struggled to move the ball in their 48-0 loss to Fresno State, finishing with just 138 total yards. The Aggies managed only 77 rushing yards on 32 attempts and added 61 yards through the air, completing just 11 of 29 passes.

Parker Awad, who completed 40% of his passes, threw for 48 yards and ended the game with a passer rating of 20.97 and one interception. The Aggies’ offense as a whole failed to score, and Awad was eventually replaced by Weston Eget.

New Mexico State’s defense is looking to bounce back after giving up 525 total yards to Fresno State in their last game. The Aggies were especially vulnerable against the run, allowing 281 yards and four rushing touchdowns. They also gave up 244 yards through the air, with Fresno State completing 14 of 25 pass attempts for two touchdowns. Overall, New Mexico State’s defense will be looking for a much better performance in their next game.

Are The Sam Houston Bearkats Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?

Sam Houston State improved to 2-1 on the season after a 31-13 victory over Hawaii. The Bearkats, who were -4 point favorites, not only won the game but also covered the spread. The over/under line was set at 48.5 points, but the teams combined for just 44 points, resulting in the under hitting.

Sam Houston State took an early 7-0 lead and extended it to 17-3 by halftime. Hawaii closed the gap to 17-13 in the third quarter, but the Bearkats pulled away with 14 unanswered points in the fourth quarter.

Sam Houston’s offense was balanced in their 31-13 win, racking up 426 total yards. The Bearkats’ ground game was particularly effective, gaining 261 yards on 45 carries and scoring one rushing touchdown. Quarterback Hunter Watson completed 65.2% of his passes for 165 yards and threw three touchdowns, though he also had one interception, finishing with a passer rating of 107.79.

Jay Ducker was dominant in the backfield, averaging 9.9 yards per carry and finishing with 148 rushing yards. Qua’Vez Humphreys led the receiving corps with 106 yards on four receptions, two of which went for touchdowns.

Sam Houston’s defense was effective in their last game, holding Hawaii to just 13 points and 308 total yards. The Bearkats’ run defense was particularly strong, limiting Hawaii to 56 rushing yards on 21 attempts. In the passing game, Sam Houston allowed 252 yards through the air on 21 completions, with one touchdown and one interception.