Florida Gators vs Mississippi State Bulldogs Betting Pick & Prediction 9/21/24

ESPN will be covering the week four matchup between the Florida Gators and Mississippi State Bulldogs, set to kick off at 12:00 ET from Davis Wade Stadium in Starkville. The Gators are favored at -5.5 points on the road. Both teams come into this game with a 1-2 record for the season. The over/under line is currently set at 58 points.

FLORIDA GATORS VS MISSISSIPPI STATE BULLDOGS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Mississippi State Bulldogs +5.5

This game will be played at Davis Wade Stadium at 12:00 ET on Saturday, September 21st.

WHY BET THE MISSISSIPPI STATE BULLDOGS:

• We have the Florida Gators winning this one by a score of 32 to 28
• Even though we like the Florida Gators to win, our ATS pick is to take the Mississippi State Bulldogs at +5.5
• Look for this game to go over the line of 58 points

Will The Florida Gators Win As Road Favorites?

Florida is looking to bounce back after a 33-20 loss to Texas A&M in their most recent game. The Gators, who were +3 point underdogs at home, not only lost outright but also failed to cover the spread. The combined score of 53 points surpassed the over/under line of 45.5 points, resulting in an over hitting.

Florida’s record now stands at 1-2 for the season. The Gators fell behind early vs. Texas A&M, trailing 10-0 after the first quarter and 20-0 at halftime. They managed to close the gap to 33-14 by the end of the 3rd quarter, but they could only add 6 points in the final quarter.

Florida’s offense, led by quarterback Graham Mertz, finished with 301 total yards in their 33-20 loss to Texas A&M. Mertz threw for 195 yards, completing 80% of his passes, and added one touchdown to his stat line. Elijhah Badger was his top target, catching five passes for 94 yards.

The Gators’ offense was able to convert 19 first downs, with 249 of their 301 yards coming through the air. However, Florida’s ground game was limited to just 52 yards on 25 carries. Mertz also threw three interceptions in the game.

Florida’s defense will be looking to bounce back after giving up 488 total yards to Texas A&M. The Gators were particularly vulnerable against the run, allowing 310 rushing yards and 7.3 yards per carry. Despite holding the Aggies to 178 passing yards on 11 completions, Florida’s secondary gave up two touchdowns. Overall, the Gators allowed 33 points and 27 first downs in the game.

Are The Mississippi State Bulldogs Going Win In At Upset At Davis Wade Stadium

Mississippi State is looking to bounce back after a 41-17 loss to Toledo in their most recent game. The Bulldogs, who were -10.5 point favorites, not only lost but also failed to cover the spread. This game’s over/under was set at 57.5 points, with the total score reaching 58 points. After this loss, Mississippi State’s record stands at 1-2 for the season.

Mississippi State fell behind early, with Toledo leading 7-0 after the first quarter. The Bulldogs’ defense struggled, and Toledo outscored them 21-3 in the second quarter, making it difficult for Mississippi State to mount a comeback. The Bulldogs managed to score in the third quarter, but they still trailed 35-10, and they added just one more touchdown in the fourth quarter.

After their 41-17 loss to Toledo, Mississippi State’s offense totaled 385 yards, with 319 yards coming through the air. Blake Shapen completed 71.8% of his passes for 319 yards, throwing two touchdowns and one interception, and earning a passer rating of 102.4. Kevin Coleman Jr. was his top target, catching seven passes for 77 yards.

The Bulldogs managed to pick up 21 first downs but struggled to establish a running game, finishing with just 66 yards on 27 carries. Johnnie Daniels was the leading rusher, gaining 59 yards on 10 attempts.

Mississippi State’s defense will be looking to bounce back after giving up 454 total yards and 41 points to Toledo. Their run defense allowed 169 yards and two touchdowns on the ground, while their secondary had a tough day, surrendering 285 passing yards and three touchdowns. The Bulldogs will need to tighten up their pass defense, as Toledo completed 23 of 28 pass attempts against them.