Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees Betting Pick & Prediction 9/14/24

From Yankee Stadium in New York, we have the Red Sox and Yankees facing off in an AL East matchup. This game is getting started at 1:05 PM ET, and MLBN is carrying it on TV.

The forecast looks great in New York on Saturday, with temperatures in the low 70s and clear skies. The Yankees are favored at -188 on the money line, while the Red Sox are +158. Today’s pitching matchup is Brayan Bello for the Red Sox and Gerrit Cole for the Yankees. Cole is 17-7 with a 3.64 ERA.

BOSTON RED SOX VS NEW YORK YANKEES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Boston Red Sox Moneyline +158

This game will be played at Yankee Stadium at 1:05 ET on Saturday, September 14th.

HOW TO BET THE RED SOX VS YANKEES:

• We have the Red Sox winning by a score of 5 to 4
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Red Sox to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

New York picked up a 5-4 win over the Red Sox in the most recent game of this series. The Yankees had a huge 7th inning, scoring five of their seven runs. As for the Red Sox, they scored two runs in the 6th and added two more in the 7th but couldn’t complete the comeback.

Clarke Schmidt got the start for the Yankees, going just 5 2/3 innings while giving up two runs and striking out five. Mark Leiter Jr. got the win out of the bullpen, and Luke Weaver got the save. Richard Fitts only went five innings for the Red Sox, giving up two earned runs on two hits.

Aaron Judge and Anthony Rizzo each had two hits and drove in two runs for the Yankees’ offense. Trevor Story and Masataka Yoshida each had two hits and two RBIs for the Red Sox.

Red Sox Records & Stats

Boston is at an even 74-74 this season, and they are 12 games behind the Yankees in the AL East. The Red Sox have dropped two straight games, and they are currently losing the series vs. the Yankees 2-0. So far, they have gone 20-21 in divisional games.

At home, the Red Sox are 35-40 this season, and they have gone 39-34 on the road. As the underdog, Boston has dropped seven straight games, and they are 24-29 as the road underdog. The Red Sox’ overall series record is 22-18-6, and they have won two straight series.

When the Red Sox are on the road, they have been a solid bet against the run line, going 42-31. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.9, and their average run margin in losing games is -3.9. They are currently on a two-game run line win streak on the road and have covered the run line in two straight games as the underdog.

When the Red Sox are on the road, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. Their games have averaged 9.5 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 74-66. Their games have had an average over/under line of 9 runs, and when the line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 25-15. Overall, 63 of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8.5 runs, which accounts for 42.6% of their games this season.

Brayan Bello will be looking to build off his last outing, where he faced the Orioles and picked up the win. In that September 9th outing, he went 5 1/3 innings, giving up two earned runs, and coming away with the win. Looking back over his last four outings, Bello has alternated between wins and losses. His record for the season is 13-7, and he has an ERA of 4.70. Bello’s WHIP for the season is 1.39. Opponents are batting .251 off Bello this season. Out of his 27 starts, he has 10 quality starts and is averaging 8.55 strikeouts per nine innings.

Heading into today’s game, the Red Sox offense is 9th in the league in scoring, averaging 4.7 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, putting up 4.9 runs per contest. Overall, the Red Sox are 7th in home runs and have the league’s top team BABIP at .32. As a team, they are batting .255, which is 5th in the MLB right now.

Rafael Devers is the Red Sox’s top power threat, as he is 14th in the league with 28 homers and is also leading the team with 81 RBIs. Devers is batting .277 for the season. Tyler O’Neill has also been a big power source for the Red Sox, as he is 12th in the league with 30 homers and has gone deep five times in his last 10 games, going 10/36 (.278) in that stretch.

Yankees Records & Stats

The Yankees are currently 86-62 overall, putting them 1st in the AL East. They hold a three-game lead over the Orioles for the top spot in the division. New York has won three straight games, and they are 6-4 over their last 10 games overall.

At home, the Yankees are 41-32 this season and have gone 45-30 on the road. As the favorite, the Yankees are 68-55 this year, and they have gone 18-7 as the underdog. New York’s overall series record is 27-15-4, and they have won two straight series.

When betting the run line with the Yankees, it’s been more profitable to take them on the road, where they have a 44-31 record. They have covered the run line in 21 of 25 games as an underdog, but are just 55-68 when favored. Their average run differential is +0.9 runs per game, and they have a run line record of 76-72.

Today’s over/under line of 8.5 runs is lower than the season average for the New York Yankees, who have played in 51 games with higher lines. Their games have averaged 9.2 runs per game, and the over/under record for the season is 79-64.

Gerrit Cole will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Cubs, as he gets the start for the Yankees today. Against the Cubs, he took the loss, giving up two earned runs in six innings of work. Before that outing, he had pitched well, picking up the win in the start before vs. the Guardians and not giving up an earned run in either of those outings. Cole’s ERA for the season is 3.36, along with a record of 6-4. For the year, he has made 14 starts, six of which were quality starts. Cole’s ERA at home is 4.1 compared to 3.39 on the road.

For the season, the Yankees are the top home run hitting team in the league and come into the game averaging 5 runs per game, which is 2nd in the league. They are also one of the best teams in terms of on-base percentage and have the league’s top offense in terms of RBIs. New York’s team batting average of .250 is 8th in the league.

Aaron Judge has been the Yankees’ top hitter this season, leading the team with a batting average of .321, 52 home runs, and 130 RBIs. He has also been hot of late, going 7/24 in his last seven games with a home run and five RBIs. Juan Soto is also among the league’s top home run hitters, with 39 this season, and is 2nd on the team with 101 RBIs.