Cincinnati Reds vs Minnesota Twins Betting Pick & Prediction 9/13/24

At 8:10 PM ET, the Reds and Twins face off in an interleague matchup. This one is being played at Target Field in Minneapolis, and the Reds are 71-77, while the Twins are 78-68. Cincinnati is 5th in the NL Central, and the Twins are 3rd in the AL Central.

Friday’s money line odds have the Twins at -221, while the Reds are sitting at +183. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs, and Julian Aguiar is starting for the Reds, while the Twins are going with Bailey Ober.

CINCINNATI REDS VS MINNESOTA TWINS BETTING PICK

The Pick: OVER 8 Runs

This game will be played at Target Field at 8:10 ET on Friday, September 13th.

HOW TO BET THE REDS VS TWINS:

• We have the Twins winning by a score of 6 to 5
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Reds to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

Reds Records & Stats

Cincinnati closed out their series vs. the Cardinals with a 6-1 loss. Heading into the game, the Reds were the +123 underdog on the money line. Things started off well for the Reds, as they got on the board with a run in the 1st inning but gave up the lead right away as the Cardinals scored in the bottom of the first.

Jakob Junis took the loss for the Reds, going five innings and giving up just one earned run. However, the Reds’ offense scored only one run, and it came in the 6th inning. Carson Spiers had a rough outing out of the bullpen, giving up two earned runs in the 8th.

Cincinnati is 71-77 overall and trails the Brewers by 14 games in the NL Central. The Reds are also four games behind the Cardinals for the third spot in the division. The Reds lost the final two games of their series vs. the Cardinals. So far, they are 21-25 in divisional games.

On the road, the Reds are 35-38 this year compared to 36-39 at home. As the road underdog, the Reds are 23-32 this season, and they are 38-44 as the underdog overall. Cincinnati’s overall series record is 18-27-3 this year.

When the Reds are on the road, they have been a solid bet against the run line, going 45-28. Their average run margin on the road is +0.5, and they are 53-29 against the run line as an underdog. Overall, their run line record is 80-68, with an average run margin of +0.1 runs per game.

The Cincinnati Reds are on the road today against the Minnesota Twins, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs. The combined run average in Reds games this season is 8.6 runs, and their over/under record is 67-74. The average over/under line in Reds games this season is 9 runs, and their record when the line is set at 8 runs is 7-12. In 69.6% of Reds games this season, the over/under line has been set higher than 8 runs, while in 17.6% of their games, the line has been set lower. The under has hit in the last 6 Reds games.

Julian Aguiar will be making his 4th start of the season for the Reds, and he is coming off a no-decision in his last outing vs. the Mets. Aguiar has gone 6 innings in 1 of his 3 starts this season, and he has 8 strikeouts in 11 1/3 innings of work. He has yet to give up a home run this season.

Elly De La Cruz has been one of the Reds’ top hitters this season, batting .259 with a team-leading 23 home runs. However, he has struggled of late, going just 4/28 in his last eight games. Overall, he is 2nd on the team with 65 RBIs. As a team, the Reds are batting just .231 and are 19th in the league in scoring at 4.4 runs per game.

Spencer Steer has also been a solid power threat for the Reds, with 19 home runs, but he is batting just .229 for the season. Steer is also on a six-game hitting streak. Jake Fraley has been hot at the plate of late, going 9/25 in his last eight games, but he has yet to homer this season.

Twins Records & Stats

Matt Wallner had only one hit in the Twins’ 6-4 win over the Angels, but it was a big one. He went deep for a solo home run in the 2nd inning. The Twins really broke things open with a three-run 4th inning. Minnesota was the heavy favorite at -215 going into the game.

Zebby Matthews got the start for the Twins, going 3 1/3 innings, and got the win. He only gave up two runs on five hits and issued two walks. Cole Sands picked up the save, going 2 2/3 innings out of the bullpen. The Twins scored their six runs on a total of 11 hits and only had one home run.

With an overall record of 78-68, the Twins are 3rd in the AL Central and trail the Guardians by 5.5 games. Minnesota will host the Reds today with a two-game winning streak, and they are 28-20 against other teams in the division. The Twins closed out their series vs. the Angels with two straight wins.

Minnesota has been good at home this year, putting together a record of 41-31 compared to 37-37 on the road. As the favorite, the Twins are 62-39 and 16-29 as the underdog. At home, they are 34-24 when favored. So far, their overall series record is 26-17-4.

Minnesota has been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 68-78 overall. They’ve been especially good at home, where they are 31-41 against the run line. The Twins’ average run margin is +0.3 runs per game, and they are 2-0 against the run line in their last two games.

Minnesota’s games have averaged 9.1 runs per game this season, and the over/under record for the Twins is 73-67. The average over/under line for their games is 8 runs, and when the line is set at 8 runs, their record is 13-18-5. Overall, 57 of their games have had over/under lines set at more than 8 runs, which accounts for 39.0% of their games.

Twins starter Bailey Ober has made 27 starts this season and has a record of 12-6 with an ERA of 3.77. He has made 17 quality starts this year and is coming off a game in which he didn’t allow a run. In that outing against the Royals, he went seven innings, giving up just one hit and three walks. Ober finished with seven strikeouts in the outing. Looking back further, he has allowed nine earned runs in two of his last four starts. Opponents are batting .200 off Ober this year.

Carlos Santana has been swinging a hot bat of late for the Twins, going 8/26 in his last eight games, including three homers and six RBIs. Kyle Farmer has also been on a tear, batting .471 with three homers in his last eight games. Matt Wallner has also been swinging a good bat of late, going 8/29 with three homers and seven RBIs.

For the season, the Twins are 11th in scoring at 4.7 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. As a team, the Twins are 8th in batting average and have the 7th best slugging percentage in the league. Minnesota’s top power threat is Carlos Santana, who leads the team with 21 homers.