Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals Betting Pick & Prediction 9/12/24

At 6:45 PM ET, the Marlins and Nationals face off in an NL East matchup. This one is taking place at Nationals Park in Washington, DC, and the Nationals are favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -182 compared to the Marlins at +152. The over/under line is currently at 9 runs.

BSFL will be televising this matchup, and the Marlins are looking to snap a three-game losing streak. However, they are just 54-92 this season. As for the Nationals, they are 65-80 and 4th in the NL East. Darren McCaughan is starting for the Marlins, while the Nationals are going with Mitchell Parker.

MIAMI MARLINS VS WASHINGTON NATIONALS BETTING PICK

The Pick: OVER 9 Runs

This game will be played at Nationals Park at 6:45 ET on Thursday, September 12th.

HOW TO BET THE MARLINS VS NATIONALS:

• We have the Nationals winning by a score of 6 to 4
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Nationals to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 10 runs and like the over

Marlins Records & Stats

Miami closed out their series vs. the Pirates with a 3-1 loss. The Marlins were the +130 underdog on the road. Things started off well for the Marlins, as they got on the board with a run in the 1st inning but gave up the lead right away as the Pirates scored twice in the bottom of the first.

Jonathan Bermudez got the start for the Marlins and took the loss. He only lasted two innings, giving up three earned runs. Offensively, the Marlins only had one fewer hit than the Pirates but scored just one run. Cristian Pache had two hits and drove in the team’s only run.

Miami is on the road today, taking on the Nationals, and they are 5th in the NL East, 34 games behind the Phillies for the division lead. Overall, the Marlins are 54-92, and they have dropped three straight games heading into today’s matchup.

So far, the Marlins are just 16-29 against other NL East teams. At home, they are 28-47 compared to 26-45 on the road. As the underdog, the Marlins are 50-78 this year, and they have dropped three straight as the underdog.

When the Marlins are on the road, they have been a solid bet against the run line, going 36-35 this season. However, they have failed to cover in their last two road games, and they are just 2-16 against the run line as the favorite. They are 66-62 against the run line as the underdog.

Today’s over/under line is set at 9 runs as the Miami Marlins face the Washington Nationals. The Marlins have had an over/under record of 79-63 this season, and their games have averaged exactly 9.0 runs per game. When the over/under line has been set at 9 runs, the Marlins have gone 4-13-1, and only 6.2% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs or higher.

Miami is sending right-hander Darren McCaughan to the mound today as he faces the Nationals on the road. He has made two starts and seven appearances this year, finishing with a no-decision in each of his last four outings. McCaughan’s ERA for the season is 7.40, and he has a WHIP of 1.85. So far, he has allowed six home runs and is coming off an outing in which he gave up two homers. Opponents are batting .333 this year off McCaughan. In his most recent outing, he gave up two earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of work.

Heading into today’s game, the Marlins are 29th in the league in scoring at just 3.8 runs per game. They have been even worse on the road, averaging only 3.4 runs per contest. Miami’s team batting average of .241 is 13th in the league, and they have the 13th fewest strikeouts in the league. However, they are last in the league in walks and have the 23rd on-base percentage in the league.

Jake Burger is the Marlins’ top power hitter this season, as his 25 homers is 15th in the league. He is also 1st on the team with 61 RBIs. However, he is batting just .239 for the season. Jesus Sanchez is hitting .246 for the season and is 2nd on the team with 17 homers.

Nationals Records & Stats

Heading into their last game vs. the Braves, the Nationals closed out the series with a 5-1 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at +147. Offensively, the Nationals scored their five runs on 13 hits and only hit one home run.

Jake Irvin put together a good start for the Nationals, going six innings and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. Washington’s offense was carried by CJ Abrams, who went 2/4 with a homer and two RBIs.

Washington is 65-80 overall and 4th in the NL East as they trail the Phillies by 22.5 games for the division lead. So far, they are 20-22 against other NL East teams. The Nationals are 33-38 at home compared to a 32-42 mark on the road.

The Nationals’ series record is 17-23-6, and they are 4-6 across their last 10 games. As the underdog, Washington has gone 53-68 this season, and they are an even 12-12 as the favorite.

The Nationals have been a solid run line bet this season, going 81-64, including a 38-33 mark at home. They have been a better bet on the road, going 43-31, compared to 38-33 at home. They have been a better bet as an underdog, going 70-51 compared to 11-13 as a favorite. The average run differential in their wins is +3.4, while it is -3.8 in their losses.

At Nationals Park, the over/under line for today’s game between the Washington Nationals and Miami Marlins is set at 9 runs. The Nationals’ games have averaged exactly 9.0 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 70-70 overall. When the line has been set at 9 runs, their games have gone over 14 times, under 18 times, and pushed 3 times. Overall, 60.7% of their games have had lower over/under lines than today’s 9-run total.

Left-hander Mitchell Parker gets the start for the Nationals today vs. the Marlins. He has made 26 starts this season and has a record of 7-9 with a 4.43 ERA. Parker’s WHIP for the season is 1.31, and opponents are batting .256 off him this year. In his last outing, Parker finished with a no-decision, giving up four earned runs in 3 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had lost three straight starts. Parker’s ERA at home is 3.76 compared to 11.06 on the road.

Washington’s offense is averaging 4.2 runs per game this season, which is 21st in the league. They have been slightly better on the road, averaging 4.3 runs per contest. The Nationals are 11th in the league in batting average, hitting a combined .245. However, they are near the bottom of the league in home runs and have the 19th slugging percentage in the league.

CJ Abrams is the Nationals’ leader in home runs this season, but he has struggled at the plate of late, going just 5/31 in his last eight games. Luis Garcia Jr. comes into the game with a batting average of .284 and is 2nd on the team with 63 RBIs. Over his last nine games, Andres Chaparro has two home runs but is batting just .229.