Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals Betting Pick & Prediction 9/11/24

At 7:45 PM ET, the Reds and Cardinals face off in an NL Central matchup. This one is being played at Busch Stadium in St. Louis, and the Reds are 71-75, while the Cardinals are 72-72. Brandon Williamson is starting for the Reds, while the Cardinals are going with Lance Lynn.

St. Louis is the slight favorite on the money line, with the odds sitting at -136 compared to the Reds at +114. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs, and the game will be televised on BSOH.

CINCINNATI REDS VS ST. LOUIS CARDINALS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Cincinnati Reds Moneyline +114

This game will be played at Busch Stadium at 7:45 ET on Wednesday, September 11th.

HOW TO BET THE REDS VS CARDINALS:

• We have the Reds winning by a score of 6 to 4
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Reds to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 10 runs and like the over

Cincinnati picked up a 3-0 win over the Cardinals in the most recent game of this series. The Reds offense got off to a fast start, scoring all three of their runs in the 1st and picking up the 3-0 win. Heading into the game, the Reds were at +114 on the money line.

St. Louis wasted a good outing from Andre Pallante, as he gave up just three runs in five innings of work for the Cardinals. Rhett Lowder got the win for the Reds, going five innings and not giving up a run.

In the Reds’ 1st inning, they got RBI singles from Santiago Espinal and TJ Friedl. The third run of the inning came on a Cardinals error. From there, both offenses went silent, as the Reds picked up the 3-0 win.

Reds Records & Stats

Cincinnati is 71-75 overall and trails the Brewers by 13 games in the NL Central. The Reds are 4th in the division, two games behind the Cardinals for 3rd place. So far, they have gone 21-23 in divisional games. The Reds have won three straight games, and they are 7-3 over their last 10.

At home, the Reds are 36-39 this season, and they are one game above .500 at 35-36 on the road. As the underdog, the Reds are 38-42 this season, and they are an even 33-33 when favored. Cincinnati has an overall series record of 18-26-2, and they are currently up 1-0 in the series vs. the Cardinals.

The Reds have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 79-67 overall. They have been especially profitable on the road, where they are 44-27 against the run line. Cincinnati’s average run margin for the season is just +0.1 runs per game, but they have been able to cover the run line in three straight games and are 52-28 against the run line as an underdog.

The Cincinnati Reds are on the road today to face the St. Louis Cardinals, and the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for Reds games this season is 8.7 runs, and their over/under record is 67-72. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 16-15. Overall, 49.3% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs or higher. The under has hit in their last four games.

Brandon Williamson is making his second start of the season for the Reds, and it comes on the road against the Cardinals. He started his season with a no-decision against the Brewers, where he went 3 1/3 innings and struck out five. Then, he came out of the bullpen and went 4 2/3 innings, giving up just one run on one hit.

Elly De La Cruz comes into the game as the Reds’ top home run hitter, but he has struggled at the plate of late, going just 3/17 in his last five games. Overall, he is batting .260 with a team-high 65 RBIs. Spencer Steer is also near the top of the league in RBIs, as his 86 runs batted in are the best mark on the team and 15th in the MLB.

For the season, the Reds are averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 15th in the league. As a team, they are batting just .233, which is 18th in the MLB. Their team on-base percentage of .306 is also below the league average.

Cardinals Records & Stats

With a record of 72-72, the Cardinals are 3rd in the NL Central, 11 games behind the Brewers. The Cardinals have dropped two straight games, and they are 21-25 against other teams in the NL Central. St. Louis lost the series opener vs. the Reds, and they are 23-19-4 in series this year.

At home, the Cardinals are 37-35 this year and 35-37 on the road. As the favorite, the Cardinals have gone 33-35 this year, and they are 39-37 as the underdog. St. Louis’ home losing streak is at two games, and they are 5-5 over their last 10 games.

When betting the run line, the Cardinals have been a better play as the underdog this season, going 49-27. They are just 22-46 against the run line as the favorite. St. Louis has been a losing bet at home, going 35-37 against the run line. Their average run differential is -0.5 runs per game, and they have lost two straight against the run line at home.

The St. Louis Cardinals are at home today against the Cincinnati Reds, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for Cardinals games this season is 8.7 runs, and their over/under record is 69-71. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 29-18. Overall, 24.3% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs or higher.

Lance Lynn gets the start for the Cardinals today and is coming off a strong outing vs. the Rangers. In that July 30th start, he went 5 innings, picking up the win and giving up just 1 earned run. Looking back further, Lynn has been a bit up and down. He has made 21 starts this year and has a record of 6-4 with an ERA of 4.06. Lynn’s WHIP for the season is 1.36. Out of his 21 starts, he has turned in six quality starts and is averaging 8.21 strikeouts per nine innings. For the year, he has allowed 15 homers and is averaging 3.47 walks per nine innings.

So far this season, the Cardinals are averaging just 4.1 runs per game, which is 24th in the league. They have been a little better at home, scoring 4.2 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .247, which is 9th in the league, and have the 9th best BABIP in the MLB. St. Louis has been one of the worst home run hitting teams in the league this season.

Paul Goldschmidt has been swinging a hot bat for the Cardinals, going 12/36 in his last nine games with one homer and three RBIs. For the season, he is batting just .246. Goldschmidt and Alec Burleson are tied for the team lead with 21 homers. Burleson has driven in 73 runs, which is the best mark on the team.