Tampa Bay Rays vs Philadelphia Phillies Betting Pick & Prediction 9/9/24

At 6:40 PM ET, the Phillies and Rays face off in an interleague matchup. This one is being played at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia and has the Phillies as heavy favorites on the money line, with their odds sitting at -200. The money line odds for the Rays are at +166, and the over/under line is at 8 runs.

Tampa Bay will be looking to extend their two-game winning streak, as they are 71-72 and 4th in the AL East. The Phillies are 85-58 and have lost two straight. Cristopher Sanchez will be starting for the Phillies, while the Rays are going with Cole Sulser. NSPPH will be televising Monday’s matchup.

TAMPA BAY RAYS VS PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES BETTING PICK

The Pick: OVER 8 Runs

This game will be played at Citizens Bank Park at 6:40 ET on Monday, September 9th.

HOW TO BET THE RAYS VS PHILLIES:

• We have the Phillies winning by a score of 5 to 4
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Rays to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

Rays Records & Stats

The Rays’s offense was carried by Jonny DeLuca in their most recent game vs. the Orioles. DeLuca went 2/4 with a homer and two RBIs. The Rays only scored two runs but picked up the json with eight hits. José Caballero also had a good game at the plate, going 2/4 with two RBIs.

Zack Littell started for the Rays, going five innings and not giving up a run. He only had four strikeouts in the outing and got the win.

Tampa Bay is on the road today vs. the Phillies, with an overall record of 71-72, putting them 4th in the AL East. Currently, they trail the Yankees by 11 games for the AL East lead. The Rays have won two straight games, and they took their most recent series vs. the Orioles.

At home, the Rays are 37-38 this year and are at an even 34-34 on the road. As the underdog, Tampa Bay is 36-42 this year, and they are 35-30 when favored. Their overall series record is 22-18-6, and they are just 5-5 over their last 10 games.

When the Rays are on the road, they have a run line record of 39-29. They are 73-70 overall on the run line this season. They have covered the run line in two straight games and have covered the run line in two straight games as the underdog. They have been the underdog in 78 games this season and have covered the run line in 49 of those games.

Today’s over/under line of 8 runs is right in line with the Rays’ season average of 8.1 runs per game. Tampa Bay has played 46 games with higher over/under lines than today’s total, which represents 32.2% of their games this season. When the over/under line has been set at 8 runs, the Rays have gone 16-19-1 on the over/under for those games.

Tampa Bay is sending Cole Sulser to the mound today, and he is coming off a start in which he went just two innings. Against the Twins on September 4th, he gave up one hit, one walk, and didn’t allow a run. Sulser finished with a no-decision in that outing. Looking at his overall numbers, he has made one start and seven appearances. Sulser’s ERA is 4.36, and his WHIP for the season is 1.35. Opposing batters are hitting .229 off the right-hander this year. Per nine innings, Sulser has 9.58 strikeouts and 5.23 walks.

Yandy Diaz has been the Rays’ top hitter this season, batting .279 with a team-leading 64 RBIs and 14 homers. He has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 8/23 in his last six games with two homers. Christopher Morel comes into the game on a four-game hitting streak but is batting just .198 for the season. However, he does have 21 homers, which is the most on the team.

Overall, the Rays have been one of the worst offensive teams in the league this season, averaging just 3.9 runs per game, which is the worst in the league. As a team, they are also near the bottom of the league in home runs, batting average, and slugging percentage. Tampa Bay is hoping that Jonny DeLuca can keep his hot streak going, as he is hitting .379 over his last eight games.

Phillies Records & Stats

The Phillies will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Marlins with a 10-1 loss. Philadelphia was actually the slight favorite on the money line going into the game but fell behind big early, as the Marlins scored seven times in the third.

Seth Johnson got the start for the Phillies and took the loss. He only lasted 2 1/3 innings, giving up nine earned runs. Bryce Harper had a good day at the plate, going 2/4 with a double and a run scored. The Phillies’s only other run came in the 9th, when they were already down 10-0.

At 85-58, the Phillies lead the NL East by seven games over the Mets. They will host the Rays today with an overall record of 85-58, and they have dropped two straight games. These two losses came in the final two games of their series vs. the Marlins.

At home, the Phillies are 47-25 this season, and they are 38-33 on the road. As the favorite, the Phillies are 72-43 this year and 13-15 as the underdog. Philadelphia has an overall series record of 25-16-7 this year.

When the Phillies win, they win big, with an average run margin of 4.0 runs per game. When they lose, however, they lose by an average of 3.8 runs per game. As a result, their run line record is just 70-73, despite an average run margin of +0.8 runs per game. Their run line record as a favorite is just 55-60, but they have been profitable as an underdog, going 15-13.

The Phillies have been a solid over team this season, with a combined run average of 9.0 runs per game. Their over/under record is 67-69, and their average over/under line is 8 runs. When the line is set at 8 runs, they have a record of 17-16-1. The over has hit in three straight games for Philadelphia.

Phillies starter Cristopher Sánchez has made 27 starts this season and comes in with a record of 10-9 and an ERA of 3.45. In his 27 appearances, he has a WHIP of 1.26 and has turned in 15 quality starts. Sánchez has pitched two complete games and has one shutout this year. His most recent outing was a good one, as he picked up the win against the Blue Jays. In that outing, he went seven innings, giving up two earned runs on six hits. Before that, he had given up at least three earned runs in three straight starts.

Not only do the Phillies have the 5th best scoring offense in the league this season, but they have also been one of the most consistent lineups in the league, as they are 4th in team batting average and have the 4th best on-base percentage in the league. The Phillies have been even better at home this season, averaging 5.1 runs per game, which is the 2nd best mark in the league.

Kyle Schwarber has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his 33 home runs are the best mark in the league. He has also been hot of late, going 13/34 in his last eight games, with five homers and 11 RBIs. Alec Bohm and Bryce Harper have also been key run producers for the Phillies, as Bohm’s 89 RBIs is 13th best in the league, and Harper is 3rd on the team with 79 RBIs.