Cincinnati Reds vs Atlanta Braves Betting Pick & Prediction 9/9/24

First pitch for Monday’s Reds vs. Braves NL matchup is set for 6:40 PM ET from Truist Park in Atlanta, GA. The forecast looks good in Atlanta, with clear skies and temperatures in the mid-80s. BSSO is carrying the game on TV.

Charlie Morton and the Braves are favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -165, while the Reds are +138. Nick Martinez is scheduled to start for the Reds, and they are 69-75, putting them 4th in the NL Central. Atlanta is 3rd in the NL East and has an overall record of 78-65.

CINCINNATI REDS VS ATLANTA BRAVES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Cincinnati Reds Moneyline +138

This game will be played at Truist Park at 6:40 ET on Monday, September 9th.

HOW TO BET THE REDS VS BRAVES:

• We have the Reds winning by a score of 6 to 4
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Reds to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 10 runs and like the over

Reds Records & Stats

The Reds pulled off a big 3-1 upset over the Mets to close out their series. Cincinnati was the +177 underdog going into this matchup. Offensively, the Reds scored their three runs on seven hits and didnjson’t hit a home run.

Julian Aguiar got the start for the Reds, going 4 2/3 innings, and didn’t give up a run. He only had two strikeouts in the outing and got the win.

Cincinnati is on the road today vs. the Braves with an overall record of 69-75, which has them 4th in the NL Central. Currently, they trail the Cardinals by 3.5 games for the 3rd spot in the division and are 13.5 games behind the Brewers for the division lead. The Reds are coming off losing two of three at home to the Mets.

At home, the Reds have gone 36-39 compared to 33-36 on the road. As the road underdog, the Reds are 21-30 this season, and they are an even 33-33 when favored. Cincinnati’s overall series record is 16-26-3 this year, and they are 5-5 in their last 10 games overall.

The Reds are a good bet on the run line this season, as they have covered in 77 of their 144 games. They have been particularly good on the road, going 42-27 ATS away from home. Cincinnati’s average run differential is just +0.1 runs per game, but they have been much better in their wins, outscoring opponents by an average of 3.8 runs per game.

The Cincinnati Reds are on the road today against the Atlanta Braves. The over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, which is below their season average of 9 runs per game. The Reds have played 72 games with higher over/under lines than 8.5 runs, which is 50% of their games. Their over/under record for the season is 67-70, and they have gone under the total in their last two games.

Cincinnati is sending Nick Martinez to the mound today, and he comes in with a record of 7-6 and an ERA of 3.67. So far, he has made 12 starts, and opponents have turned in two quality starts. Looking at his numbers, Martinez has a WHIP of 1.15 and is averaging 7.26 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, he picked up the win, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up one earned run. Before that, he had three straight outings in which he gave up at least three homers. Martinez has been much better on the road, coming in with a record of 3-2 and an ERA of 2.95 compared to 4-4 with a 3.74 ERA at home.

Elly De La Cruz comes into the game as the Reds’ top home run hitter this season, and he is also 2nd on the team in RBIs. However, he has hit just .222 over his last seven games. For the season, he is batting .261. The Reds will be looking for more out of Jeimer Candelario and Spencer Steer, as Candelario is batting just .225, and Steer is hitting .232.

As a team, the Reds are averaging 4.5 runs per game, which is 15th in the league. They are also 10th in home runs and have the 20th batting average in the MLB. Cincinnati’s team OPS of .703 is also 17th in the league.

Braves Records & Stats

The Braves’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Blue Jays, closing out their series with a 4-3 win. After allowing two runs to the Blue Jays in the top of the first, the Braves responded with a run of their own. Atlanta went on to add another two runs in the 2nd inning.

Chris Sale put together a good start for the Braves, going six innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just one walk and struck out seven Blue Jays batters. Atlanta’s bullpen did give up the lead, but Raisel Iglesias closed things out in the 11th to pick up the save.

With a record of 78-65, the Braves are seven games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. Atlanta will host the Reds today, and they are 23-21 against other teams in the NL East. The Braves are coming off taking two of three from the Blue Jays.

At home, the Braves are 40-30 this season and 38-35 on the road. As the favorite, the Braves have gone 66-49 and 12-16 as the underdog. Atlanta has an overall series record of 26-15-5 and has won two straight series.

When the Braves win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.5 runs per game. In games they lose, they lose by an average of 3.2 runs per game. Overall, they have a run differential of +0.4 runs per game. They are 68-75 against the run line, including 29-41 at home and 39-34 on the road. They are 51-64 against the run line as the favorite and 17-11 as the underdog.

The Atlanta Braves are at home today facing the Cincinnati Reds. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for Braves games this season is 8.1 runs per game. The Braves have an over/under record of 52-86 this season. The average over/under line for their games is 8 runs. When the line is set at 8.5 runs, the Braves have a record of 13-23. This is the 44th game this season where the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, accounting for 30.8% of their games. The majority of their games this season have had lower over/under lines, with 63 games having lines set under 8.5 runs, which is 44.1% of their games.

Charlie Morton gets the start for the Braves today and will be looking to build off his last outing, where he picked up the win. Against the Rockies on September 4th, Morton went 5 innings, giving up 2 earned runs, and he finished with 8 strikeouts. Looking back over his last four outings, Morton has finished with a no-decision in three straight games. He has a record of 8-7 this season and an ERA of 4.24. Out of his 26 starts, Morton has turned in 10 quality starts and is averaging 9.36 strikeouts per nine innings.

Marcell Ozuna has been one of the league’s top run producers this season, as his 98 RBIs are 6th in the league and the best mark on the Braves. He also leads the team with 37 home runs and is batting .306. Over his last seven games, he has gone 8/27. Matt Olson is 2nd on the team with 79 RBIs and has 25 homers but is batting just .231 for the season.

As a team, the Braves are 5th in home runs and are averaging 4.3 runs per game. They have been better offensively on the road, averaging 4.6 runs per contest. Currently, they are 15th in team batting average and are 22nd in strikeouts.