San Francisco Giants vs San Diego Padres Betting Pick & Prediction 9/8/24

From PETCO Park in San Diego, we have the Giants and Padres facing off in an NL West matchup. First pitch for Sunday’s matchup is set for 4:10 PM ET, and NBCS will be televising the Giants vs. Padres.

San Francisco is 70-73 overall, putting them 4th in the NL West, while the Padres are 81-63 and in 2nd place in the division. San Diego is heavily favored today, with their money line odds sitting at -201 compared to the Giants at +166. The over/under line is currently 8 runs. Joe Musgrove is starting for the Padres, while the Giants are going with Spencer Bivens.

SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS VS SAN DIEGO PADRES BETTING PICK

The Pick: San Francisco Giants Moneyline +166

This game will be played at PETCO Park at 4:10 ET on Sunday, September 8th.

HOW TO BET THE GIANTS VS PADRES:

• We have the Giants winning by a score of 6 to 5
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Giants to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

San Francisco picked up a 6-3 road win over the Padres in the most recent game of this series. The Giants had a huge 2nd inning, scoring all six of their runs. As for the Padres, they scored their three runs in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Giants were at +106 on the money line.

Logan Webb started for the Giants and picked up the win, going six innings and giving up three earned runs. He finished the game with just three strikeouts and issued two walks. On the other side, Dylan Cease got the start for the Padres and took the loss, giving up four earned runs in six innings of work.

At the plate, the Giants were led by Grant McCray, who homered twice and went 2/4. He scored two runs and drove in five. As for the Padres, Luis Arraez went 3/5 with an RBI.

Giants Records & Stats

San Francisco is 70-73 overall and is 15.5 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. The Giants are 4th in the division and have gone 23-22 in divisional games this year. They will be on the road today, and they are 30-41 on the road compared to 40-32 at home.

The Giants are looking to get back on track, as they have lost seven of their last ten games. As the favorite, San Francisco is 44-32 and 26-41 as the underdog. The Giants’ overall series record is 21-20-3, and they have dropped four straight series.

When betting on the Giants this season, it’s been a good idea to take them on the run line more often than not. They are 70-73 against the run line overall, but they are 39-32 on the road and 39-28 as an underdog. Their average run differential in winning games is +3.1, while it’s -3.3 in losses.

The San Francisco Giants are on the road against the San Diego Padres today. The over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs. The Giants and their opponents have combined to average 8.7 runs per game this season. Overall, the over/under record for Giants games this season is 72-65, and the average over/under line for their games is 8 runs. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, the Giants have a record of 12-16-4. This season, 41 of their games have had over/under lines set at more than 8 runs, accounting for 28.7% of their games. On the other hand, 70 of their games have had over/under lines set at less than 8 runs, accounting for 49.0% of their games.

Right-hander Spencer Bivens gets the start for the Giants today as he faces the Padres on the road. Bivens has made 19 appearances this season and has a record of 3-1 with a 2.86 ERA. Most of his work has come out of the bullpen, and he has made just one start. In that start, he went four innings and gave up two earned runs, coming away with a no-decision. Bivens has finished with a no-decision in each of his last three outings. Opponents are batting .230 off Bivens this season, and his WHIP is 1.12. Per nine innings, he is averaging 6.23 strikeouts and just 2.08 walks.

San Francisco’s offense has been just below average this season, averaging 4.3 runs per game (17th). They are also 17th in home runs and have a team batting average of .239, which is 15th in the league. The Giants have been a bit better at home this season, averaging 4.2 runs per game.

Matt Chapman and Heliot Ramos have been the Giants’ top power threats this season, with Chapman leading the team with 22 homers and Ramos right behind him with 20. Chapman is also 1st on the team with 69 RBIs, while Ramos is 2nd with 67. Chapman comes into the game on a three-game hitting streak, as does Michael Conforto and Heliot Ramos.

Padres Records & Stats

San Diego is 81-63 overall and is 5.0 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. The Padres are 21-21 in divisional games this year. The Padres are at home today, where they are 40-34 this year. On the road, San Diego is 41-29.

The Padres have an overall series record of 28-14-4 this year, and they have won two straight series. As the favorite, the Padres are 52-39 this year, and they are 33-26 when favored at home. San Diego is 29-24 as the underdog.

San Diego is a team that is right around .500 on the run line this season, with a 73-71 record. They have been a better bet on the run line on the road, where they are 44-26. They have been outscored by an average of 0.1 runs per game at home, but they have a positive run differential on the road, outscoring opponents by an average of 1.1 runs per game.

San Diego’s games have averaged 9.0 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 77-65. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, the Padres are 12-14-1. Overall, 40.3% of their games have had over/under lines set above 8 runs, while 41.0% have been set below that number.

Joe Musgrove gets the start for the Padres today and will be looking to build off his last outing, where he didn’t give up a run. Against the Tigers on September 2nd, Musgrove pitched 6 innings, picking up the win in the outing. Looking at his overall numbers, Musgrove has made 15 starts and has a record of 5-4. His ERA for the season is 4.09, along with a WHIP of 1.23. Musgrove has turned in seven quality starts this year and is averaging 8.3 strikeouts per nine innings. For the season, he has allowed 10 homers and is averaging just 2.45 walks per nine innings.

San Diego comes into today’s game as the league’s top hitting team, with a team batting average of .265. They are also the top team in the league in terms of fewest strikeouts per game and have the best slugging percentage in the league. The Padres have also been very good at putting the ball in play, as their team BABIP of .30 is 6th in the league.

Over the team’s last nine games, both Jackson Merrill and Manny Machado have three home runs, with Machado going 12/38 (.316) and Merrill going 9/32 (.281). Machado’s 90 RBIs are the best mark on the team and 11th in the league, while his 25 homers are the top mark for the Padres. Luis Arraez comes into the game on a seven-game hitting streak and is batting .313 for the season.