Houston Astros vs Cincinnati Reds Betting Pick & Prediction 9/5/24
This article was published on Sep 5, 2024. Today’s picks MLB picks

Thursday’s interleague matchup between the Astros and Reds is set to get started at 1:10 PM ET from Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati. The Reds have won three straight and are 67-73 overall, while the Astros are 1st in the AL West with a record of 75-64.
The over/under line is currently at 9 runs, and the Astros are favored on the money line, with the payout for a Houston win sitting at -152. The Reds will be looking to keep their winning streak alive with Rhett Lowder on the mound. Hunter Brown is starting for the Astros.
CINCINNATI REDS VS HOUSTON ASTROS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Cincinnati Reds Moneyline +129
This game will be played at Great American Ball Park at 1:10 ET on Thursday, September 5th.
HOW TO BET THE ASTROS VS REDS:
- We have the Reds winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Reds to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Cincinnati cruised to a 12-5 win over the Astros in the most recent game of this series. The Reds had a huge 1st inning, scoring nine of their twelve runs. As for the Astros, they scored three of their five runs in the 6th. Heading into the game, the Reds were at +125 on the money line.
Nick Martinez started for the Reds and picked up the win, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up just one run. Spencer Arrighetti only went two-thirds of an inning for the Astros and took the loss, giving up nine runs.
Jonathan India and Elly De La Cruz each had three hits and two RBIs for the Reds’ offense. Five different players scored at least two runs for Cincinnati.
Astros Records & Stats
The Astros are on the road today, and they are looking to pick up a win vs. the Reds, as they have dropped the first two games of the series. Currently, the Astros lead the AL West by 5.5 games over the Mariners. So far, they are 75-64 overall and are 21-18 against other teams in the AL West.
At home, the Astros have gone 39-29 this season, and they are just above .500 at 36-35 on the road. As the favorite, the Astros are 57-45 this year and 18-19 as the underdog. Their overall series record is 24-18-2 heading into today’s game.
When the Astros are on the road, they have been a solid run line bet, going 39-32. Their average run margin on the road is +0.2, and they have a 2-game run line losing streak on the road. As the underdog, they are 25-12 vs. the run line.
The Astros are on the road against the Reds today, and the over/under line is set at 9 runs. Houston has played in games with an average of 8.6 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 55-79 overall. When the line is set at 9 runs, they are 12-8-2. Only 13.7% of their games have had lines set at 9 runs or higher this season.
Hunter Brown gets the start for the Astros today as he faces the Reds on the road. This year, he has made 26 starts and has a record of 11-7 with an ERA of 3.55. Brown’s WHIP for the season is 1.29, and opponents are batting .234 off him this year. In his 26 starts, Brown has turned in 16 quality starts. Looking back at his last outing, Brown finished with a no-decision, going 6 2/3 innings and giving up two earned runs on four hits. He did give up two homers in that outing. Before that, he had won two straight starts.
Yordan Alvarez has been on a tear of late for the Astros, going 13/34 with five homers over his last nine games. For the season, he is batting .311 with 30 home runs and 73 RBIs. Catcher Yainer Diaz has also been a big run producer for the Astros, leading the team with 78 RBIs and is batting .298.
As a team, the Astros are 3rd in batting average and 10th in home runs. Overall, they are averaging 4.6 runs per game, which is 13th in the league. Houston has been a good home team this season, averaging 4.7 runs per contest.
Reds Records & Stats
Cincinnati is 67-73 overall, and they are 4th in the NL Central, 14 games behind the Brewers. The Reds have won three straight games, and they are 20-23 against other teams in the NL Central this year. Cincinnati won the first two games of this series vs. the Astros and are 4-6 over their last 10 games.
At home, the Reds are 35-39 this year and 32-34 on the road. As the home underdog, the Reds have gone 14-12 this year, and they are 34-40 as the underdog overall. Cincinnati’s overall series record is 16-25-3, and they have dropped three straight series.
The Reds are 34-40 against the run line at home this season, but they have covered in four straight games at home. They are 75-65 overall against the run line, and they are 41-25 against the run line on the road. As an underdog, they are 48-26 against the run line, and they have covered in seven straight games as an underdog. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.8 runs per game.
The Cincinnati Reds are hosting the Houston Astros today, and the over/under line is set at 9 runs. The combined run average in Reds games this season is 8.9 runs, and their over/under record is 66-67. The average over/under line in Reds games is also 9 runs. When the line is set at 9 runs, their over/under record is 6-19-5. In 29.3% of their games this season, the over/under line has been set higher than 9 runs, while in 49.3% of their games, the line has been set lower than 9 runs.
Rhett Lowder is getting the start for the Reds at home against the Astros. He is coming off a 4-inning outing in which he took a loss vs. the Brewers. In that start, he struck out 6 and gave up 2 hits and 1 earned run.
Elly De La Cruz has been one of the Reds’ most consistent hitters this season, batting .265 with a team-leading 22 home runs. His 63 RBIs are also the 2nd most on the team. Spencer Steer has also been a big power threat for the Reds, as he is 3rd on the team with 19 homers and has driven in 86 runs, which is the best mark on the team and 12th in the league. However, Steer is batting just .234 this season.
Jonathan India and Ty France have been swinging the bat well for the Reds of late, with India going 7/21 in his last six games, and France is 11/26 in his last seven games. France has four-game hitting streak going, as does Amed Rosario, TJ Friedl, and Jonathan India.
