Toronto Blue Jays vs Minnesota Twins Betting Pick & Prediction 8/30/24

At 8:10 PM ET, the Blue Jays and Twins face off in an AL matchup. This one is being played at Target Field in Minneapolis and the Twins are the heavy favorites on the money line, with their odds sitting at -156. The money line odds for a Blue Jays win are at +132, and their starting pitching is Kevin Gausman. Pablo Lopez is slated to start for the Twins.

The over/under line for Friday’s matchup is currently at 8 runs, and BSN is carrying this one on TV. Toronto is 5th in the AL East, while the Twins are 3rd in the AL Central. Minnesota is currently on a four-game losing streak.

MINNESOTA TWINS VS TORONTO BLUE JAYS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Minnesota Twins Moneyline -156

This game will be played at Target Field at 8:10 ET on Friday, August 30th.

HOW TO BET THE BLUE JAYS VS TWINS:

• We have the Twins winning by a score of 6 to 5
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Blue Jays to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

Blue Jays Records & Stats

The Blue Jays’s offense was carried by Ernie Clement in their most recent game vs. the Red Sox. He went 2/4 with a double, an RBI, and a run scored. The Blue Jays really only needed one run, as they picked up the jsonly 2-0 win. Toronto’s other run came in the 3rd inning.

Bowden Francis put together a good start for the Blue Jays, going seven innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just one walk and struck out five Red Sox batters. The Blue Jays’s bullpen closed things out with Chad Green picking up the save.

Toronto is 66-70 overall and trails the Rays by 1.5 games for the fourth spot in the AL East. The Blue Jays are 13 games behind the Yankees for the AL East lead. So far, they are 20-26 in AL East games this year.

The Blue Jays have an overall series record of 16-21-6, and they are coming off a series split with the Red Sox. Heading into today’s game, the Blue Jays have won seven of their last 10 games.

When betting the run line, the Blue Jays have been a better option on the road than at home this season. Toronto is 44-25 vs. the run line on the road compared to 25-42 at home. The Jays have been a better bet on the run line when they are the underdog, going 38-30 vs. the run line in those games. In games they have won, Toronto has an average run margin of +3.1 runs per game, while in losses, they have an average run margin of -3.9 runs per game.

The Blue Jays are on the road today against the Twins. The O/U line is set at 8 runs, which is right on par with their season average of 8.8 combined runs per game. Toronto has a 72-61 O/U record on the season, and when the line has been set at 8 runs, they are 23-13-1. So far this season, 50.0% of their games have had higher O/U lines than 8 runs.

The Blue Jays are sending right-hander Kevin Gausman to the mound today vs. the Twins. Gausman has made 26 starts this year and has a record of 12-9 with a 4.10 ERA. In his 26 appearances, he has turned in 13 quality starts, along with two complete games and one shutout. Gausman’s ERA at home is 6.58, compared to 4.72 on the road. So far, he has a record of 7-3 on the road. In his last outing, Gausman gave up just one earned run in seven innings of work, picking up the win vs. the Angels.

For the season, the Blue Jays are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 22nd in the league. This is also the same number of runs they are averaging on the road. As a team, they are batting .239, which is 15th in the MLB, and are also one of the league’s best teams at not striking out. So far, they have been a below-average home run hitting team.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. comes into the game with a six-game hitting streak, and over his last five games, he is batting .474. For the season, he is hitting .324 and leads the team with 27 homers and 88 RBIs. George Springer is also near the top of the league in homers, but he has a batting average of just .217. Springer has also gone deep just once in his last five games, while Guerrero Jr. has not homered in this stretch either.

Twins Records & Stats

Minnesota closed out their series vs. the Braves with a 5-1 loss. The Twins were the +120 underdog at home going into this matchup. Things started off well for the Twins, as they got on the board with a run in the 1st inning but gave up the lead right away as the Braves scored one run in the top of the first.

David Festa put together a good start for the Twins, going six innings and giving up just two earned runs, and striking out seven. However, the Twins couldnjson’t close things out, and Festa took the loss. Minnesota’s offense scored their only run on a Ryan Jeffers single in the 1st inning. Jeffers went 2/4 and a run scored.

Minnesota is 72-61 overall and trails the Guardians by 3.5 games in the AL Central. The Twins are on a four-game losing streak, dropping their final game vs. the Braves and the first three games of this losing streak. So far, they have gone 28-17 against other teams in the AL Central.

At home, the Twins are 37-29 this year and 35-32 on the road. As the favorite, the Twins are 56-35 and 16-26 as the underdog. Minnesota has dropped three straight series, and their overall series record is 24-16-3.

Minnesota has been a .500 team on the run line this season, with a 64-69 record. The Twins have been slightly better on the road, going 36-31, compared to their 28-38 mark at home. Minnesota’s average run margin is +0.5 runs per game, and they have been a run line underdog in 42 of their games, going 22-20 in those contests.

Minnesota Twins games have averaged 9.2 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 68-61. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 10-16-4. Overall, 54 of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, which accounts for 40.6% of their games. Meanwhile, 49 games have had lower over/under lines, making up 36.8% of their games.

Pablo López has been pitching well for the Twins, coming into the game with a record of 12-8 and an ERA of 4.26. He has made 26 starts this season and has a total of 14 quality starts. In his last outing, López was excellent, going seven innings and not giving up a run. He finished with nine strikeouts in that outing. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight starts. One thing to watch out for is the fact that López has allowed at least one homer in four of his last five outings.

Currently, the Twins are 7th in the league in scoring at 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5 runs per contest. Overall, they are 9th in home runs and have the 5th best team batting average in the league. Minnesota’s lineup has been swinging the bats well of late, with Matt Wallner and Trevor Larnach both batting over .320 in their last 10 and 9 games, respectively.

Carlos Santana, Ryan Jeffers, and Willi Castro have been the Twins’ top power threats this season, with Jeffers leading the way with 20 homers. Jeffers also has the most RBIs on the team, with 59. Castro is 3rd on the team in RBIs and has gone deep 11 times this season.