New York Mets vs Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Pick & Prediction 8/29/24

At 3:40 PM ET, the Mets and Diamondbacks square off in an NL matchup. This one is being played at Chase Field in Phoenix, and the Diamondbacks are favored on the money line, with their line sitting at -118 compared to the Mets at +100. The over/under line is currently at 8.5 runs.

New York will be looking for a win with David Peterson on the mound, while the Diamondbacks are starting Ryne Nelson. Arizona comes into the game with a record of 76-57, which has them in 2nd place in the NL West. The Mets are 3rd in the NL East with an overall record of 69-64.

ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS VS NEW YORK METS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks Moneyline -118

This game will be played at Chase Field at 3:40 ET on Thursday, August 29th.

HOW TO BET THE METS VS DIAMONDBACKS:

• We have the Diamondbacks winning by a score of 7 to 6
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Diamondbacks to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 13 runs and like the over

Arizona picked up an 8-5 win over the Mets in the most recent game of this series. The Diamondbacks had a huge 2nd inning, scoring eight of their nine runs. As for the Mets, they scored four of their five runs in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Diamondbacks were favored at -128 on the money line.

Eduardo Rodriguez got the start for the Diamondbacks, going just 5 1/3 innings while giving up five runs and striking out five. He did not factor into the decision, as Ryan Thompson got the win out of the bullpen and Justin Martinez got the save. Luis Severino only went 4 2/3 innings for the Mets, giving up four earned runs on eight hits.

Corbin Carroll was the difference for the Diamondbacks, as he homered twice, scored five times, and finished with five RBIs. Joc Pederson also went deep for Arizona, while Adrian Del Castillo had a two-hit game and drove in a run.

Mets Records & Stats

With a record of 69-64, the Mets are 3rd in the NL East, trailing the Phillies by nine games. Overall, they have gone 22-17 against other teams in the NL East. The Mets will be looking to gain some ground on the Phillies today, and they are 9.0 games out of the Wild Card.

At home, the Mets are just above .500 at 35-33 this year. New York has been a bit better on the road, coming in with a mark of 34-31. The Mets have been good as the favorite this year, going 43-35 and 26-29 as the underdog. In their series, the Mets have gone 21-16-8 this year.

When betting on the Mets’ run line this season, it’s been a coin flip, as they’re 63-70. They’ve been slightly better on the road, going 35-30, compared to 28-40 at home. They’ve been a better bet as the underdog, going 32-23, compared to 31-47 as the favorite. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.7, while it’s -3.5 in losing games.

The New York Mets are on the road today against the Arizona Diamondbacks. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The Mets have a combined run average of 9.3 runs per game this season. Their over/under record for the season is 68-61. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs this season, the over has hit in 25 of their 42 games. The over has hit in two straight games for the Mets.

Left-hander David Peterson gets the start for the Mets today as he faces the Diamondbacks on the road. He has made 15 starts this season and has a record of 8-1 with a 2.85 ERA. Peterson’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.32. In his last outing, he went 7 1/3 innings, giving up just one earned run and picking up the win. Looking back over his last four starts, Peterson has allowed just one earned run in three of them. Opponents are batting .230 this season off Peterson, and he has a BB/9 figure of 3.9 compared to 6.96 strikeouts per nine innings.

Heading into today’s game, the Mets are 10th in the league in scoring at 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest. Overall, the Mets are 5th in home runs and have the 7th best team batting average in the league. New York’s offense is led by Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso, who have 27 and 28 home runs, respectively.

Over his last six games, Lindor is hitting .333 with two homers and five RBIs. He has also scored five runs over that stretch. Lindor is also on an eight-game hitting streak. Harrison Bader has also hit two homers in his last six games but is hitting just .154 over that stretch.

Diamondbacks Records & Stats

Arizona is 76-57 overall and is 3.0 games behind the Dodgers for the NL West lead. The Diamondbacks will take on the Mets at home today, and they are 22-14 against other teams in the NL West this year. So far, they are 24-14-4 in series this year, and they have won two straight series.

The Diamondbacks have been the underdog in seven straight wins, and they are 34-32 as the underdog overall. At home, they are 7-11 as the underdog. Arizona has been good at home, putting together a record of 38-27, and they are 38-30 on the road.

Arizona has been a run line underdog in 66% of its games, and it has thrived in that role with a 42-24 record. The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in seven straight games as the underdog, and they have a +0.7 run differential on the road and at home.

The Diamondbacks have seen their share of high-scoring games this season, with their games averaging 10 runs per game. They have gone over the total in 74 of their 126 games this season, and their games have an average over/under line of 9 runs. When the line is set at 8.5 runs, they have gone over the total in 28 of 45 games. Their games have gone over the total in three straight contests.

Ryne Nelson will be looking to build off his last outing, where he picked up the win and pitched well. Against the Red Sox on August 23rd, he went six innings, giving up just two earned runs. Looking at his overall numbers, Nelson has made 22 starts and has a record of 9-6. His ERA for the season is 4.29, along with a WHIP of 1.28. Opposing batters are hitting .268 off Nelson this season. The Diamondbacks right-hander has turned in 10 quality starts this year and is averaging 7.48 strikeouts per nine innings.

Arizona comes into the game as the top-scoring team in the league at 5.4 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.5 runs per game. Overall, they are 2nd in batting average and have the league’s top on-base percentage. The Diamondbacks have also been good at avoiding strikeouts and are 4th in walks. As a team, they are 2nd in OPS and have the 4th best slugging percentage in the league.

Ketel Marte has been the Diamondbacks’ top hitter this season, batting .298 with 30 homers and 81 RBIs. He is also on a 7-game hitting streak. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. and Christian Walker are also having strong seasons, with Gurriel Jr. batting .276 and Walker at .254 with 23 homers.