San Diego Padres vs St. Louis Cardinals Betting Pick & Prediction 8/28/24

Joe Musgrove gets the start for the Padres on Wednesday, as they are looking to extend their three-game winning streak. They are 3rd in the NL West with a record of 76-58. The Cardinals are 3rd in the NL Central and will be looking to end a two-game losing streak. However, they are the slight underdog on the money line (+112).

Wednesday’s forecast in St. Louis calls for overcast skies and temperatures in the mid-90s. BSMW will be televising this NL matchup, and the over/under line is currently at 8.5 runs. Andre Pallante is the Cardinals’ starter.

ST. LOUIS CARDINALS VS SAN DIEGO PADRES BETTING PICK

The Pick: St. Louis Cardinals Moneyline +112

This game will be played at Busch Stadium at 7:45 ET on Wednesday, August 28th.

HOW TO BET THE PADRES VS CARDINALS:

• We have the Cardinals winning by a score of 6 to 5
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Cardinals to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

San Diego picked up a 7-5 road win over the Cardinals in the most recent game of this series. The Padres had a huge 2nd inning, scoring four of their seven runs. As for the Cardinals, they scored three of their five runs in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Padres were favored at -146 on the money line.

Dylan Cease got the start for the Padres, going just 4 1/3 innings while giving up four runs and striking out four. Yuki Matsui got the win out of the bullpen, and Tanner Scott got the save. John King took the loss for the Cardinals out of the bullpen.

Manny Machado and Luis Arraez each had three RBIs for the Padres’ offense. Machado, Jackson Merrill, and Paul Goldschmidt each homered in the game.

Padres Records & Stats

San Diego is 76-58 overall and is on a three-game winning streak, which includes taking the first two games of this series vs. the Cardinals. The Padres are 3.0 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West, and they are 20-20 in divisional games this year.

At home, the Padres are 37-32 and have gone 39-26 on the road. As the favorite, the Padres are 48-36 this year and 28-22 as the underdog. San Diego’s overall series record is 26-14-4.

San Diego has been a strong play on the run line this season, going 70-64 overall. They have been especially profitable on the road, where they are 43-22 on the run line. The Padres have covered the run line in two straight road games and have an average run margin of +1.2 runs per game away from home.

The Padres are on the road against the Cardinals today. The over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, which is below their combined season average of 9.0 runs per game. San Diego’s over/under record for the season is 73-60, and when the line is set at 8.5 runs, they are 18-15. So far this season, 25 of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, accounting for 18.7% of their games. Their over/under streak is currently at 2 games.

Joe Musgrove gets the start for the Padres today as he faces off against the Cardinals on the road. He has made 13 starts this season and has a record of 4-4 with an ERA of 4.43. Musgrove’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.26. In his last outing, he pitched well, going seven innings and picking up the win. In that start, he didn’t give up a run and allowed just one hit. Looking back further, Musgrove has finished with a no-decision in three straight outings. He has made five quality starts this year and is averaging 8.31 strikeouts per nine innings.

So far this season, the Padres offense is batting a league-best .265, and they have also been the best team in the league at avoiding strikeouts. Overall, they are 10th in home runs and are averaging 4.8 runs per game. The Padres have been a better offensive team on the road this season, averaging 5.1 runs per contest.

Jurickson Profar has been the Padres’ top power threat this season, as his 21 homers are the 2nd most in the league. He is also leading the team with 80 RBIs. Profar’s 21 homers are just ahead of Manny Machado, who has gone deep 22 times this season. Machado is also 2nd on the team in RBIs and is on a five-game hitting streak, during which he has gone 8/20 with two homers.

Cardinals Records & Stats

St. Louis is 65-67 overall heading into today’s game vs. the Padres, and they are 10.5 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central. The Cardinals have dropped two straight games, and they are 19-23 against other teams in the NL Central.

As the favorite, the Cardinals are 32-34 this year and 33-33 as the underdog. At home, they are 34-32 compared to 31-35 on the road. St. Louis’ overall series record is 21-18-4, and they have won two straight series.

When betting the run line on the Cardinals, it’s been best to take them as the underdog, as they are 43-23 against the run line in those games. Their overall run line record is 64-68, and they have been a slight underdog in most games, as they are just 21-45 against the run line as the favorite. Their average run differential is -0.5 runs per game, and they have been outscored by 0.7 runs per game on the road. They have gone 32-34 against the run line both at home and on the road.

The St. Louis Cardinals are at home against the San Diego Padres today, with the over/under line set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for their games this season is 8.7 runs, and their over/under record is 63-66. The average over/under line for their games is 8 runs, and their over/under record when the line is set at 8.5 runs is 28-17. In 33 of their games this season, the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, accounting for 25% of their games. Their over streak is currently at 2 games.

Cardinals starter Andre Pallante has made 14 starts this season and has a record of 6-6. His ERA for the season is 3.84, along with a WHIP of 1.29. Pallante has turned in five quality starts this year and is coming off a game in which he went seven innings, giving up just one earned run. In that outing, he gave up two homers. Pallante has won each of his last two starts. Before that, he had a no-decision and a loss. Opposing batters are hitting .224 off Pallante this season.

St. Louis has been one of the league’s worst offensive teams this season, averaging just 4.1 runs per game, which is 24th in the MLB. They have been even worse on the road, averaging only 3.9 runs per contest. As a team, the Cardinals are batting .246, which is 10th in the league, and have the 19th ranked home run total in the league.

Paul Goldschmidt and Alec Burleson are the Cardinals’ top home run hitters this season, but Goldschmidt is batting just .231, and Burleson is only a few points higher at .278. Masyn Winn has been hot of late, going 14/38 in his last nine games, but he has yet to go deep in that stretch. Goldschmidt, Burleson, and Victor Scott II all come into the game on hitting streaks.