Houston Astros vs Baltimore Orioles Betting Pick & Prediction 8/23/24

Friday’s matchup between the Astros and Orioles is set to get started at 7:05 PM ET from Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, MD. Houston is currently 69-58 and they are 1st in the AL West, while the Orioles are 74-55 and they are 2nd in the AL East.

The over/under line for this one is at 9 runs, and the Astros are the slight money line favorite, with their odds sitting at -118 compared to the Orioles at +100. Hunter Brown will start for the Astros, while the Orioles are sending Cade Povich to the mound. This game can be seen on MLBN.

BALTIMORE ORIOLES VS HOUSTON ASTROS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Baltimore Orioles Moneyline +100

This game will be played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards at 7:05 ET on Friday, August 23rd.

HOW TO BET THE ASTROS VS ORIOLES:

• We have the Orioles winning by a score of 6 to 4
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Orioles to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 10 runs and like the over

Houston cruised to an easy 6-0 win over the Orioles in the most recent game of this series. The Astros had a huge 2nd inning, scoring four of their six runs. As for the Orioles, they had their best chance to score in the 6th, but could only muster two hits and left two runners on base.

Spencer Arrighetti started for the Astros and picked up the win, going six innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with six strikeouts but issued one walk. On the other side, Corbin Burnes got the start for the Orioles and took the loss, giving up five earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work.

Ben Gamel was the only player in the game to have more than one hit, as he went 2/3 with two RBIs. Shay Whitcomb also had a two RBI game at the plate.

Astros Records & Stats

The Astros are 69-58 overall this season, putting them 1st in the AL West. Currently, they hold a 5.5-game lead over the Mariners for the top spot in the division. Houston is on a two-game losing streak, but they are 7-3 in their last 10 games overall.

At home, the Astros are 35-29 this year, and they have gone 34-29 on the road. So far, they have gone 20-18 as the favorite on the road and 52-42 as the favorite overall. As for their underdog record, they are 17-16 this year. The Astros have won three straight series on the road, and their overall series record is 23-17-1 this year.

When the Astros are the underdog, they are a solid bet to cover the run line, going 22-11. They are 35-28 on the run line on the road, and their average run margin in winning games is 3.7.

When the Astros are on the road, the over/under line is set at 9 runs. Their games have averaged 8.6 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 50-73. When the line is set at 9 runs, their over/under record is 11-7-2. So far this season, 17 of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs, which accounts for 13.4% of their games. Their games have gone under the line in 70.9% of their games this season, and they are currently on a two-game under streak.

Hunter Brown will be looking to build off his last outing, where he faced the White Sox and picked up the win. In that outing, he went 7 innings and gave up just 1 earned run. Looking at his overall numbers, Brown has made 24 starts and has a record of 11-7. His ERA for the season is 3.82, along with a WHIP of 1.34. Opposing batters are hitting .245 off the right-hander this season. Brown has made 14 quality starts and is averaging 9.71 strikeouts per nine innings. For the year, he has allowed 15 homers and is averaging 3.35 walks per nine innings.

Yordan Alvarez has been a great power threat for the Astros this season, as his 25 homers are the best mark on the team and 12th best in the MLB. He is also hitting .306 for the season. Catcher Yainer Diaz has also been a great power threat, as his 15 homers are 5th best on the team, and he is batting .303 this season. Diaz has been on a tear of late, going 11/33 with three homers in his last eight games.

As a team, the Astros are 2nd in the league in batting average at .261, and they are also one of the best home run hitting teams in the league. Overall, they are averaging 4.6 runs per game, which is 12th in the league. Houston is also one of the toughest teams to strike out in the league.

Orioles Records & Stats

With an overall record of 74-55, the Orioles are 2nd in the AL East, trailing the Yankees by 1.5 games. Baltimore lost the first game of this series vs. the Astros and have dropped two straight games overall. In the AL East, they are 28-15 this season.

At home, the Orioles are 37-29 this season, and they are 37-26 on the road. As the favorite, the Orioles have gone 61-42 and 13-13 as the underdog. So far, they are 3-3 as the underdog at home. This season, they have an overall series record of 23-12-6.

The Orioles are 71-58 against the run line this season, including a 32-34 mark at home. They have a run differential of +0.7 runs per game overall, and their average run differential in winning games is +3.7 runs per game. Baltimore is 19-7 against the run line as an underdog this season, and they have covered the run line in each of their last four games as the underdog.

The Orioles have played 89 games with an over/under line of 9 or lower this season, and 69% of their games have had lower lines than today’s 9-run total. Baltimore’s games have averaged 9.3 runs per game this year, and their over/under record is 69-50 overall. When the line has been set at 9 runs, the over has gone 15-14-3, and the under has hit in their last two games.

Through nine starts, Cade Povich has a record of 1-6 and an ERA of 5.77. Overall, he has made nine appearances and has a WHIP of 1.58. Povich has only made two quality starts this year and is coming off a rough outing vs. the Red Sox. In that game, he went 6 1/3 innings, giving up two earned runs, six hits, and one homer. Povich ended up taking the loss in that outing. Before that, he had given up at least three earned runs in three straight starts. The left-hander has a walk rate of 4.74 per nine innings compared to 6.39 strikeouts.

For the season, the Orioles are the top home run hitting team in the league and are 3rd in runs scored, averaging 5 runs per contest. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .253, which is 7th in the league, and have the best slugging percentage in the league.

Anthony Santander has been a big power threat for the Orioles this season, as his 37 home runs are 3rd in the MLB. However, he is batting just .236. Gunnar Henderson is batting .286 this season and is on a three-game hitting streak. Henderson is 2nd on the team with 33 homers and is 14th in the league with 78 RBIs.